snow_wizard Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Looks like the parallel GFS was the first model to show the storm would wash out. Last night's run showed it being pretty messy. Might be time to pay more attention to that model. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 51/38 here today with partly to mostly sunny skies. Down to 39 already this evening. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 I like wind...And windstorms....And I’m surrounded by trees... 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Just now, MossMan said: I like wind...And windstorms....And I’m surrounded by trees... 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 41 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: As long as the Euro doesn’t verify we should be golden. That was a real puketastic 12z run Andrew. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Here we go! C'MON!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 At HR 12 and what do ya know. Weakest run yet so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 00z GFS Day 1.5 Yikes! Hardly even a wave now! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Frankie already made a video warning the NW about the storm. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Hopefully gonna be a lot of rain at least. We need it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 I want a No Ridge November! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 8 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 00Z GFS is the nail in the coffin. Looks weak as hell. Sucks that it completely collapsed like that. Maybe next time. going to give it another day to get its act together then give up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 The models have been doing this for a couple years now. This needs to be taken into account every time something exciting pops up. Downvote away! 2 2 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 5 Mehhhh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 A 28/41 day here. Now 37°F. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 5.5 East wind! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Looks like we are waiting until December for some interesting weather. That’s fine. It will be a December to remember! Unless we enter a split flow hell pattern that lasts weeks and weeks like they usually do. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 9 minutes ago, umadbro said: The models have been doing this for a couple years now. This needs to be taken into account every time something exciting pops up. Downvote away! Rule No. 2. See my earlier post: 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Nice 953mb low by Haida Gwaii(Queen Charlottes) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 I’m liking this GFS run a lot better than the 12z Euro in terms of the overall pattern. Thanks for the frames Rob. Hopefully the GEM improves tonight as well since its 12z run seemed predictive of the trainwreck Euro run a few hours later. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 At least Day 8-9 turns cooler 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: I’m liking this GFS run a lot better than the 12z Euro in terms of the overall pattern. Thanks for the frames Rob. Hopefully the GEM improves tonight as well since its 12z run seemed predictive of the trainwreck Euro run a few hours later. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Almost as if the pattern is resetting Day 9-10... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Day 10 Yuck. It IS Day 10 after all though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 This suddenly is just not looking very Nina after Day 4. With the wind storm busting I'm just wondering how the models will look in 3-4 days and then see if there are any trends to latch onto, etc, etc... and etc.... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Wow what a bust!! Sometimes I seems the models are no better then they were 15 years ago. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Wow what a bust!! Sometimes I seems the models are no better then they were 15 years ago. Might as well bring back the MRF. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Long Range GFS isn't bad at all. The GEM is one of the ugliest runs I've ever seen...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Long Range GFS isn't bad at all. The GEM is one of the ugliest runs I've ever seen...... Euro will likely follow suit with the GEM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2020 Report Share Posted November 12, 2020 Just now, Jesse said: Euro will likely follow suit with the GEM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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