Meatyorologist Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 06z GFS Day 10 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 06z GFS 10 Day Precip/Snowfall Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 06z GFS Day 11 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 06z GFS Day 12 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 06z GFS Day 13 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 06z GFS Day 14 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 06z GFS Day 15 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 06z GFS Day 16 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Not bad. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Mild morning with a few sprinkles earlier, nothing measurable though. 41 currently. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 What an awful 06z run. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Mild morning with rain at times here. Low of 41, 44 currently. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 14 minutes ago, Jesse said: What an awful 06z run. But it had blocking! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Don't worry all. The CFS is back to a cold February and March. Figures. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 10 minutes ago, Jesse said: Mild morning with rain at times here. Low of 41, 44 currently. Ya this is lame. Waking up to morning temps 40+ is stupid haha. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 06z says nope, keep trying for Dec. Let's try Jan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 7 minutes ago, Cloud said: 06z says nope, keep trying for Dec. Let's try Jan. Cutting back on rain totals here the past few runs. 12z 90 hours out showed about an inch, 18z had around 1.2" but the 06z has it down to 12z levels again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Trying to gauge how strong the storm about to wallop the East coast is. How accurate this will be, who know, but looks like my aunt and uncle in Lancaster, PA are going to be buried! 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Very nice improvements with the 00z EPS and the pattern progression seemed to follow the vastly improved Canadian ensembles. The GFS isn't there yet, which shouldn't be a surprised to anyone. C'MON!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Very nice improvements with the 00z EPS and the pattern progression seemed to follow the vastly improved Canadian ensembles. The GFS isn't there yet, which shouldn't be a surprised to anyone. C'MON!!!! I don't see anything too interesting on the 00Z EPS... I expected more in this moderate Nina, low solar winter. Maybe January. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I don't see anything too interesting on the 00Z EPS showing a nice pattern around New Year's Eve into January... I expected more in this moderate Nina, low solar winter. Maybe January. Brian posted the EPS last night (500mb) really nice improvements. Try posting the 500mb HA and not just the 850mb/streamlines/temp anomaly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Brian posted the EPS last night (500mb) really nice improvements. Try posting the 500mb HA and not just the 850mb/streamlines/temp anomaly. I guess the end of the run looks OK at the 500mb level... but I need to see a strong cold signal at the 850mb level. That is almost always the precursor to something meaningful. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 12z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 I remember back in the day when the 6 & 18z’s would almost always give us eye candy to brighter the mood for a few hours. Looks like that doesn’t even happen anymore. I still say we need to bring back the MRF technology that said screw you mountain ranges, I’m going to flow Arctic air right into western Washington by day 10 every single run!! ️ Anyhow...Currently very light drizzle and 40 degrees. .04” so far on the day. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 I may be one of the few people here who thinks it might snow (in the lowlands) this month. Note I said might, not will. Basically, I don't think the models can be trusted very much more than a week out, and the implications of that mistrust cut both ways. 4 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 7 May want to keep an eye on future runs how they handle that rex block/transitory rex block setup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 7 May want to keep an eye on future runs how they handle that rex block/transitory rex block setup. There could be potential for northern regions. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: There could be potential for northern regions. Day 7 (Past 4 runs) You can see if that trend continues the trough would dig back into Eastern Washington. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Call me crazy(no, really), but I actually find some promise on this run.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Day 9'er 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Call me crazy(no, really), but I actually find some promise on this run.... You crazy man! I am too. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: You crazy man! I am too. If the trends Day 5-7 continue for the next several runs, we get a nice chilly shot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Call me crazy(no, really), but I actually find some promise on this run.... I can’t say for certain that you have willed some events into existence, but I wouldn’t bet against it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 12z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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