I hereby allocate the next 2 hours to an open discussion about whether or not Tim only posts good or bad maps and whether he's a consummate truth teller or whether it is low key trolling. This forum to resume at 7:30 for the 00z GFS.
*hits gavel*
I wouldn’t make that prediction if it weren’t for the UHI corruption of surface temperature records.
But pattern this summer (sprawling CONUS ridge as LF pattern) virtually guarantees a record breaker. Or close to it.
The niño signature is collapsing but not seeing the niña signature yet. What we have now is simply a strong MJO/CCKW (subseasonal) component in the tropical forcing.
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