bainbridgekid Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 And two years ago today, Snowmegadon was just getting started here. Ended up getting 25 inches of snow here and will remember February 2019 for the rest of my life. Facebook will be reminding me for the next two weeks just how deep the snow got here. 4 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Another shift west already apparent on 18z gfs. Little changes at the top of the ridge are making huge changes in the troughs that go over it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 We didn’t really start getting much snow here until after dark on February 3rd. Wound up with 2” by mid day February 4th. Our biggest snows were a few days later. 2 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Cutoff low trending south and reinforcing block energy to the west trending stronger.... Both lead to a more stable block and a better southward surge in cold air. This run could be yet another improvement. 2 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 There are some seriously cold ensemble members on the EPS. One shows SEA dropping to 5 on the 13th with a number dropping into the teens. 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Cutoff low trending south and reinforcing block energy to the west trending stronger.... Both lead to a more stable block and a better southward surge in cold air. This run could be yet another improvement. The top of the ridge(south of Alaska) is weaker, which could let energy ride over the top better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Every mile is made of steps... 3 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 This marks 48 straight hours of improvements on the GFS... 2 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 The 18z GFS is digging even better than the 12z, and by a fair margin. 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Incredible how big improvements are occurring just 84 hours out! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Pretty impressive positive trends the last 24 hours on the GFS. Ridge building better into Alaska, cold digging further SW into Washington. 5 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Wow! I just saw the 12z GFS, GEM, ECMWF.... Talk about a drastic change and before Day 5 even. This is down the 'home stretch' so to speak. This could be what I mentioned last night that IF models were to swing in our favor it would happen quickly. Do I for the first time this Winter bring out the infamous "Colder Runs Ahead!" (c)2017? Yakima ensembles shows a real nice signal for backdoor arctic air. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 What do you think AcreJake...Should we be on board yet or hold off?? 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Geeze. Could the Korean end up being right? 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 CZ snow Sunday night on the 18z. 3 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: What do you think AcreJake...Should we be on board yet or hold off?? I can't remember if there is another Jake in the north-ish Sound area...are you talkin to me? Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 18z GFS Day 4.5 here it comes! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 18z looks but better yet day 5 with upstream height falls approaching from the N, higher heights over Midwest USA 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Holy sheit! This run is faster and has a nice secondary shot a bit after the initial cold shot. What an epic model change. 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Crazy shift for 5 days out. Cold shifts a good 1,500 miles further West the last two runs. 4 1 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) We now have big improvements and a solid trend! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, jakerepp said: I can't remember if there is another Jake in the north-ish Sound area...are you talkin to me? No but you count as well! Acre is in Arlington. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Snow for all of Puget Sound on this run. Yes! 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Day 5.5 Nice! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: No but you count as well! Acre is in Arlington. Oh is Acer also named Jake then? I didn't know that! 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 This run brings bitterly cold air east of the Cascades. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Refill looks to come out of Alaska. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 I'll bet the guys at the NWS have their jaws on the ground right now. I know I do! 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 -14 850mb temps to Seattle at hour 138 . . . 9 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 5 (Past 4 runs) We now have big improvements and a solid trend! Unlike anything I can remember. Just speechless right now. 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Sub freezing highs in western Washington by Monday! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Was it feb 2014 that suddenly did this too? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 Day 6 850s -19c The Dalles 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: -14 850mb temps to Seattle at hour 138 . . . Can you imagine if this gets even better? This is fine if the improvement stops right here though. 8 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Geeze. Could the Korean end up being right? The 18z Druncle Korean model drinks soju. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Oh is Acer also named Jake then? I didn't know that! Yes 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Snowdrift said: The 18z Druncle Korean model drinks soju. 18z just following trends I'd say. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Can you imagine if this gets even better? This is fine if the improvement stops right here though. Polar Vortex into the PNW? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: 18z just following trends I'd say. Pretty much Just a little inside joke 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 3, 2021 Report Share Posted February 3, 2021 00z GFS in 5 hours 11 minutes 00z GEM in 5 hours 41 minutes 00z ECMWF in 7 hours 26 minutes !!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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