TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Weird pattern. Really is... sort of fascinating. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: Any bets on if the ECMWF goes in a completely different direction now that the GFS has come around to the ECMWF solution? No idea. IF it's like the UKMET things are going to get real exciting. Fast. If it's like the GFS, not bad. A blend would be nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Any bets on if the ECMWF goes in a completely different direction now that the GFS has come around to the ECMWF solution? Stays the same ML -250 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyperbolic Trendz Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Any bets on if the ECMWF goes in a completely different direction now that the GFS has come around to the ECMWF solution? Not sure. If you get a chance, could you let me know if it SHIFTS EAST? 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 26 minutes ago, MossMan said: Up to .82” on the day, 2.21” for the month, 9.93” YTD. I’m running a little behind your total today. Just 0.01” here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 That 1000'Northbend individual seems angry all the time, I have gotten more down votes from them than anyone else and yet I feel flattered by it!! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 00z ECMWF Day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, Runtmc said: Not sure. If you get a chance, could you let me know if it SHIFTS EAST? He will, guaranteed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Model trends. ECMWF, GEM, GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: I've heard before that the UKMET can be a sign of which way the subsequent Euro run might go. Is that actually a thing? Is there a repetitive pattern of that occurring? Or is it just an old weather wives tale type deal? Just put some Neosporin on it and it will get better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 I haven't been this anxious over a model run in a longgg time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Acer, don't be a follower. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: That 1000'Northbend individual seems angry all the time, I have gotten more down votes from them than anyone else and yet I feel flattered by it!! I don't think he seems angry at all. But nobody goes back and looks at downvotes anyways. I would never have known he was downvoting you. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: I’m running a little behind your total today. Just 0.01” here .90” now! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Model trend. ECMWF, GEM, GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: I don't think he seems angry at all. But nobody goes back and looks at downvotes anyways. I would never have known he was downvoting you. I do now because it's funny and silly to see how people feel on a on the line weather forum towards certain posts, posters and replies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: I like Calgary, Alberta ensembles better. Really surprised average 850's in Calgary are barely below zero this time of year. 3 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, bainbridgekid said: Really surprised average 850's in Calgary are barely below zero this time of year. Huge variation. Can be -20 there and +20 the next dayb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Day 3 Ehhh..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: I've heard before that the UKMET can be a sign of which way the subsequent Euro run might go. Is that actually a thing? Is there a repetitive pattern of that occurring? Or is it just an old weather wives tale type deal? Last time I checked their skill scores were similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Model trend. ECMWF, GEM, GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 ECMWF leads at day 5 in the NH at 500mb, followed by the UKMET, CMC and then GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Really surprised average 850's in Calgary are barely below zero this time of year. Yeah, that doesn't look too intimidating. They get chinooks. That may skew the numbers a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Day 4 Nope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 We can only hope the GFS leads the way. It did last week if you remember. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Nevermind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 In before Tim! Noticeable eastward shift at day 3 and nowhere close at day 4... compared to last night's 0z. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Wonderful climate we live in where it’s hard to get some freezing temps 2 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: We can only hope the GFS leads the way. It did last week if you remember. Hope in one hand and sh$# in the other. See which one fills up first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Goodnight folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Nice. Handy chart. Do you have a link for where you get that? https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/STATS_vsdb/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 This run is so toast within 5 days. Meh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Day 5 and........... time to do something else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Well that was a real punch to the ball section. Sorry, ladies. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Models are just complete mess. No agreement whatsoever and even for the touted Euro, it's a completely different run within 5 days from 24 hours ago. The only thing it seems to be consistent on is that massive Greenland block and the trough that gets thrown off into AK. Other than that, it's a mess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 5 and........... time to do something else. The second little ULL south of the original one is a new feature on this run. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Day 5.5 850s some cold air filters into the Gorge, Columbia Basin. Not like the GFS or UKMET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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