Front Ranger Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 http://juneauempire.com/outdoors/2015-01-23/forecasters-winter-over here is the article “Chances are whatever snow we get is probably going to be technically in the spring, and then, only if we get lucky,” Fritsch said. What an idiot. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 NWS is going with -48 right now. Like I said, could make a run at it. Quite the change. No, the NWS is going for -40 to -48. That's not "going with -48." .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 35 TO 45 BELOW. LIGHT WINDS..MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS AROUND 30 BELOW. LIGHT WINDS..MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40 TO 48 BELOW. LIGHT WINDS..TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS AROUND 30 BELOW..TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 30 TO 40 BELOW.HIGHS 20 TO 30 BELOW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 “Chances are whatever snow we get is probably going to be technically in the spring, and then, only if we get lucky,” Fritsch said. What an idiot. No name calling. Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 -.. I say we clock it all back to "the night before" Christmas, and hope for the best. — Either that or and if again, back to daily mediation. http://theweatherfor...thwest/?p=64645- Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 -Fairbanks Alaska made it down to - 23°F yesterday at 00z, 3pm local time .. per main Aviation METARs. http://aviationweather.gov/metar — Coldest for the station yesterday. Bettles Airport, approximately 150 mi. NW of Fairbanks, got down to - 45°F, when I checked at 11z , 2am local, earlier this morning. Bettles Airport Past 12 hours METARs Fairbanks Same for Fairbanks. N. Amer. Temp. Contours (source: "Unisys Wx") Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Sun is up... warm front muckiness is gone. http://s30.postimg.org/4b3jfav2o/nb11.jpg Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 - .. I say we clock it all back to "the night before" Christmas, and hope for the best. — Either that or and if again, back to daily mediation. http://theweatherfor...thwest/?p=64645 - I vote for this solution. Wind the clock back and try it again! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 12z ramps up the action in the long range. Looks to get very active. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 12z ramps up the action in the long range. Looks to get very active. Lots of warm, southerly flow rain on that run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 As strange as the last year has been weather wise. I am confident we see a return to winter in February. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Lots of warm, southerly flow rain on that run.With so.e mountain snow also. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Zero visibility here, with light drizzle. Sure hope to see some clearing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 With so.e mountain snow also. Some... but lots of 850mb spikes into the 3-6C range as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Sunny and mild up here above the fog. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 With so.e mountain snow also. And the 12Z Canadian disagrees and basically keeps the ridge over us through 240 hours. Certainly not active on that run. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_180_0000.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 One piece of good news is the solar activity has dropped sharply this month. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Nice little offshore breeze here... already 55 and totally sunny. Today and tomorrow are going to be insanely nice for Janaury. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 No, the NWS is going for -40 to -48. That's not "going with -48." .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 35 TO 45 BELOW. LIGHT WINDS..MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS AROUND 30 BELOW. LIGHT WINDS..MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40 TO 48 BELOW. LIGHT WINDS..TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS AROUND 30 BELOW..TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 30 TO 40 BELOW.HIGHS 20 TO 30 BELOW. Last night on the specific forecast for Fairbanks airport, they had -48 as the forecast low. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 The ensembles continue to look bleak. Persistent suppressed jet over the North Central and NE Pacific forcing a Western ridge. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Already up to 69 at Horse Creek. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 The ensembles continue to look bleak. Persistent suppressed jet over the North Central and NE Pacific forcing a Western ridge.Yep, this winter is over west of the Rockies. The east is going to get crushed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yep, this winter is over west of the Rockies. The east is going to get crushed. February could certainly have a 1934 look to it. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yep, this winter is over west of the Rockies. The east is going to get crushed. winter is not over. And I am willing to bet more money on that than you probably would care to. Lol 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 And the 12Z Canadian disagrees and basically keeps the ridge over us through 240 hours. Certainly not active on that run. The overall trend in the models the past 24 hours has been to weaken the western ridging considerably by the beginning of February. This continued with the 12z Euro. Here's Feb 1-2 on yesterday's 12z. And then today. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 winter is not over. And I am willing to bet more money on that than you probably would care to. LolMight depend on what your definition of winter is? A snow day with a sub-freezing high probably isn't in the cards for most places. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 The overall trend in the models the past 24 hours has been to weaken the western ridging considerably by the beginning of February. This continued with the 12z Euro. Some type of wet wsw flow seems pretty likely in early February. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman5678 Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 56 degrees at 11:20am here with mostly sunny skies. Feels like spring! Meanwhile Blizzard watch up for my hometown on the east coast where 1-2ft of snow or more is expected. I'm glad this is my last winter out here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Might depend on what your definition of winter is? A snow day with a sub-freezing high probably isn't in the cards for most places. Yeah that could be hard to pull off. I do believe the lowlands will still get some snow this winter and the mountains will get crushed in march. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Already up to 69 at Horse Creek. 77 on 1-17-201477 on 1-16-200976 on 1-19-201375 on 2-13-199675 on 2-23-199574 on 1-15-200974 on 2-27-1992 These are their DJF maximums since the station went online in 1985. Will be interesting to see where they land today. Third straight January they're shooting for the stars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 77 on 1-17-201477 on 1-16-200976 on 1-19-201375 on 2-13-199675 on 2-23-199574 on 1-15-200974 on 2-27-1992 These are their DJF maximums since the station went online in 1985. Will be interesting to see where they land today. Third straight January they're shooting for the stars.73 so far... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 I just went up on Grade Road east of my house toward the general vicinity of Horse Creek. It was about 66 on my car thermometer at that point. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Fog just cleared out here in Happy Valley. Another beautiful day on tap! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 As is often the case with such warm temps aloft, strong inversion today over the Willamette Valley. Almost 30 degrees warmer at 3,000 ft vs 300'. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 No such inversion for the Puget Sound today...was looking like SEA might have an outside shot at their monthly record of 64, but they actually cooled from 58 to 57 the past hour, so probably not. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 No such inversion for the Puget Sound today...was looking like SEA might have an outside shot at their monthly record of 64, but they actually cooled from 58 to 57 the past hour, so probably not. Still a bit of an inversion up there as told by the dew points. There's no real way to mix the lower layers today adiabatically, as you might expect because if things did there would be widespread 70's. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Speaking of Seattle, it was 62/55 at BFI yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 I just went up on Grade Road east of my house toward the general vicinity of Horse Creek. It was about 66 on my car thermometer at that point. I'm about to drive out to the foothills. I want to feel some real warmth. Peak heating should occur between about 1-2pm up there at this time of year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 72 at Wanderer's Peak @ 4,350 feet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 No such inversion for the Puget Sound today...was looking like SEA might have an outside shot at their monthly record of 64, but they actually cooled from 58 to 57 the past hour, so probably not. 65 degrees here... seems to be a little cooler down in the valley. Feels like a nice May day here. My daughter and I went for a bike ride and she told me 'its nice to have summer again'. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Still a bit of an inversion up there as told by the dew points. There's no real way to mix the lower layers today adiabatically, as you might expect because if things did there would be widespread 70's. Oh yeah, still an inversion of sorts...just not like the one in the Willamette Valley today. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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