clintbeed1993 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 SE NE Like just for the Ron Paul Gif! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 ORD-GFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: ORD LAT= 41.98 LON= -87.90 ELE= 673 00Z JAN31 * - APPROXIMATED 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 (C) (C) (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK SAT 00Z 31-JAN -5.1 -7.2 1032 79 70 553 528 SAT 06Z 31-JAN -5.2 -4.3 1029 84 82 0.00 554 532 SAT 12Z 31-JAN -5.0 -3.3 1025 79 45 0.00 555 535 SAT 18Z 31-JAN -0.5 -1.2 1024 64 42 0.00 556 537 SUN 00Z 01-FEB -1.0 -1.6 1023 79 99 0.00 554 536 SUN 06Z 01-FEB -1.9 -4.2 1021 97 99 0.19 549 532 SUN 12Z 01-FEB -3.4 -5.7 1019 94 99 0.19 545 530 SUN 18Z 01-FEB -4.8 -7.4 1016 95 99 0.21 540 528 MON 00Z 02-FEB -7.0 -12.3 1015 92 99 0.15 534 522 MON 06Z 02-FEB -8.1 -15.4 1018 87 100 0.08 530 516 MON 12Z 02-FEB -13.7 -15.5 1023 90 69 0.01 531 514 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 OMA-GFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: OMA LAT= 41.30 LON= -95.90 ELE= 981 00Z JAN31 * - APPROXIMATED 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 (C) (C) (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK SAT 00Z 31-JAN 0.2 4.7 1028 56 63 566 543 SAT 06Z 31-JAN 0.9 3.0 1025 70 90 0.00 564 544 SAT 12Z 31-JAN 1.8 -1.0 1023 83 98 0.00 560 542 SAT 18Z 31-JAN 3.7 -2.9 1021 81 99 0.09 558 541 SUN 00Z 01-FEB 2.2 -3.0 1017 92 99 0.25 554 540 SUN 06Z 01-FEB 0.5 -3.4 1015 98 99 0.23 549 537 SUN 12Z 01-FEB -4.7 -7.2 1019 91 99 0.14 543 528 SUN 18Z 01-FEB -9.2 -13.7 1026 88 100 0.06 539 519 MON 00Z 02-FEB -11.1 -15.0 1029 86 92 0.02 536 514 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralweather44 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 SE NE http://www.reactiongifs.com/r/2013/05/Ron-Paul_Its-Happening1.gifI'm happy the models are showing good amounts for once but dang, I must be the only one worried about the warm temps, warm ground temps, and all of that with mostly rain during the day. I don't think these models are taking that into account. Seen this way to many times. Yes I can see snow falling don't get me wrong but it will be wet and melt as soon as it hits the ground. Mark my words. It happened last year in Feb. and I see it happening once again. Not trying to be a Debbie downer at all but lived in Nebraska my entire life and have seen this happen time after time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 abc 7 chicago has said i 88 on north will get the heaviest snow which they meant to say i 88 on south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 I wonder if grocery stores are gonna be super packed tomorrow. Not only the typical Saturday rush, but people getting Super Bowl stuff a day early so they don't have to go out Sunday. I've liked the model consistency of a 8-12" event over here the last 36 hours. Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 00Z NAM BUFKIT shows 14.6 inches for ORD. Usually it ends up being a bit overdone because it tends to overestimate the snow ratios. I think a general 8-12 inches across the Chicago metro with the best chances of a foot plus south of I-88 seems like a good call. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Problem is the rain tho. What are your thoughts as far as that goes?Yeah it sucks the temps aren't perfect. I'm hoping the heavy precip rates will be enough to create some dynamic cooling and pull down some of that cold air just off the surface so the switchover can occur earlier. I'm hoping for 4-6" in Omaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Frost Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 What time do the next model runs come in? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Canadian soon- then Euro just after midnight.. but this really is getting to the point to focus on short range / hi res models. Kind of in the middle of those as far as time to the event. The HRRR and RAP will go out 15 / 18 hours respectively. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Here is the HRRR at 11am tomorrow. I love the HRRR model, I think it does a solid job. I never liked the RAP though. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrrr/02/hrrr_cent-us_01500_sim_radar.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 CMC Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 31, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 ORD SREF Mean up to 13.5"... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 This sucks. Need like a 20 mile north shift. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 31, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Skilling's in-house model painst 12.1" at ORD, 13.1" at Waukegan. Their model has been increasing totals each run since yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Heard the EURO is coming in wetter. Not sure on details yet. SFC low looks a tad south of the 0z NAM at 48 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Heard the EURO is coming in wetter. Not sure on details yet. SFC low looks a tad south of the 0z NAM at 48how it looking for Lincoln, NE? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 31, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 00z Euro... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Chicago is looking at 10+ easily. This sucks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Euro is amazing here. WOW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nice look on the EURO for you Nebraska people. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 was on another fourm and one member has just said that one run has the localized area just south of the joliet il area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 EURO http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-30018-1422685246_thumb.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6789 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Need that low to track a few miles North and I should hopefully see 10" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 The euro is a beauty. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Euro is amazing here. WOWnot a bad thing to come home drunk to form the bars! Man that things juicer than a grapefruit. I see you EURO. that'd be insane if that happened! Bring it on madre nature. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 not a bad thing to come home drunk to form the bars! Man that things juicer than a grapefruit. I see you EURO. that'd be insane if that happened! Bring it on madre nature.just seems weird jow its almost 40 now and its gonna snow, but these models are more complex, so I guess its gonna happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 winds should also be pretty good in this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Just on the 12z run NE folks were flipping out. WWW earlier talked about how if a storm happened, it was going to be south of him anyways, and he's in line to get at least 6-8 from this if not more. Funny how that works. Maybe I should try being more negative and this thing will go north some more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Just on the 12z run NE folks were flipping out. WWW earlier talked about how if a storm happened, it was going to be south of him anyways, and he's in line to get at least 6-8 from this if not more. Funny how that works. Maybe I should try being more negative and this thing will go north some more.haha I'm feeling for you rn my man. 'sconnie has been shafted as of recent too. Hope this thing edges north for you guys Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Congratulations to the Neb crew with this one. This might be your storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Just on the 12z run NE folks were flipping out. WWW earlier talked about how if a storm happened, it was going to be south of him anyways, and he's in line to get at least 6-8 from this if not more. Funny how that works. Maybe I should try being more negative and this thing will go north some more. Sometimes that psychology works, and is part of the reason I prefer to lean to the negative side (I also feel if I'm negative enough, I get rid of the inner weenie and expectations become less). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 intense precip rates showing up on HRRR updates. nearly .5"/hr qpf as the transition to snow happens here in Nebraska. Looks intense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 intense precip rates showing up on HRRR updates. nearly .5"/hr qpf as the transition to snow happens here in Nebraska. Looks intense..5"/hr QPF. Wow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 03z SREF Plume for ORD: Mean: 15.6 21z SREF Plume for ORD: Mean: 13.4 Went up nearly 2 inches or so since the last run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 Sweetness-- 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 6Z NAM absolutely hammers us. 10-14" OMA/LNK. We are talking insane snowfall rates here. Could be some convection if I'm correct. Can't post maps, but looks like a beauty for Nebraska/Iowa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 A little bump north on the northern side. Most of S. WI is in the 6-10 range. About 3-4 here or so. 13-14 for Chicago Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 18-20 for S. MI towards Detroit. Actually ends up near the 16 range for Chicago. 8-12 for all of Iowa and extending west into Nebraska. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.