Maxim Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 12z Euro Ensembles looking amazing from the Plains/Lakes over the next 2 weeks. Good luck trying to run a snow storm into the kinda warmth the 12z Euro Ensembles are seeing along the East Coast. The -PNA is going to be our "friend" finally for the central CONUS. This will probably be one of the best setups for storms in our region this Winter season.It took until the beginning of March to get the SE ridge to finally pop... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 Most of those Euro ensembles are quite snowy for most of us in here. Nice to see GFS showing a storm for the midwest in multiple runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 GFS doesn't have a storm. If it does form, as the models have hinted, it looks surpressed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 AS Phil Collins likes to say--- "Take a look at ME now!!"-- 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 If only this would come true we would all be happy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 The 384hr GFS lol. Really grasping at straws. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 CAN at 96 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 Nice runs by the GFS and Canadian tonight for a decent clipper within 100 hours. I hope it holds into early next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 GFS doesn't have a storm. If it does form, as the models have hinted, it looks surpressed.What are you talking about???? Look at 00z GFS. Most of us including you get hit good. And the 384 hr GFS isnt "grasping at straws". Its TOTAL SNOWFALL for 384hrs. Model run after model run you are the most negative person ever. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 00z GFS has March opening on a wild ride. Gonna be fun watching models this week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 00z Euro...interesting wave showing up on both the Euro/GGEM for IA next Wed...high ratio snows if this materializes... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 00z Euro...interesting wave showing up on both the Euro/GGEM for IA next Wed...high ratio snows if this materializes...Nice! I noticed 00z GFS is pulling this thing a bit eastward as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 What are you talking about???? Look at 00z GFS. Most of us including you get hit good. And the 384 hr GFS isnt "grasping at straws". Its TOTAL SNOWFALL for 384hrs. Model run after model run you are the most negative person ever.I did and I understand. Maps have been showing that all winter in medium range with not much to show for in reality. It is what it is. If it happens then great if not I'll be ready for an exciting spring storm season. Sorry for my doom and gloom pessimism. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 Past the Clipper -- the Euro matches up pretty well with the GFS for another snow event in the hour 186+ range. This would add on 50% to even doubling current snowfall for the winter for many areas. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 Past the Clipper -- the Euro matches up pretty well with the GFS for another snow event in the hour 186+ range. This would add on 50% to even doubling current snowfall for the winter for many areas.ecmwf_tsnow_mw_41.png1% chance of verifying Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 Lets see what February can offer us. Still another week to go with this dull, frigid month. March can be stormy, but does not excite me that much because Spring is right around the corner. Higher sun angle, higher averages, longer days and etc. I will say this: up to March 10th is where I stop thinking winter and start thinking Spring. Anything after that is just a slopfest, as far as snowfall goes. As far as the upcoming weekend storm, well, lets see how that unfolds. Hope it gives us a decent snowfall. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 Tweet from Mike Hammernick: With 7 days to go, Feb 2015 ranks as Chicago's 3rd coldest on record. 1) 14.6F 1875 2) 15.3F 1936 3) 15.9F 2015* 4) 16.7F 1979 5) 16.8F 1978 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 Anyone have snowfall map for 12z GFS? Next weekend looks interesting with a long duration event. Maybe some mixing issues though? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 Anyone have snowfall map for 12z GFS? Next weekend looks interesting with a long duration event. Maybe some mixing issues though?If this system materializes, it will probably be similar to Saturday's system that hit the southern Midwest. Looks like a sheared wave. Sky AO won't help and also this system looks like a frontal system that is near Japan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 If this system materializes, it will probably be similar to Saturday's system that hit the southern Midwest. Looks like a sheared wave. Sky AO won't help and also this system looks like a frontal system that is near Japan.With those kind of totals around here, I don't care what kind of system it is. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 The beauty Winter can bring....Frozen Niagara Falls...http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/Niagara_falls.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 12z Euro...snow to rain in N IL.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 @Tom. What does the EURO show for the Wednesday clipper in NE and IA? Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 @Tom. What does the EURO show for the Wednesday clipper in NE and IA? Thanks!Both the GGEM/EURO have it primarily in IA. 12z Euro showing 1-4" in IA, GGEM a bit more aggressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 It's very nice to see the troughiness shifting to the west by the end of the month. That will be much more interesting than the bone-dry northwest flow we've been stuck in forever. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 22, 2015 Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 So GFS and Euro in sync for next weekend? Looks like a lot of moisture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2015 CPC outlook looks cold and snowy....http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gifhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gifhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 Remember, the CPC is only accurate if they show wet and cold conditions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 I'm not buying snowy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 I'm not buying snowy!No reason for you to start now. I don't need to remind you of your posts in the SB storm thread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 Loving the trend E with the mid week Clipper--- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 18Z GFS-- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 Loving the trend E with the mid week Clipper--- USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_084.gif00z NAM came east as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 Sweet nice little 2-3" mood snow. I would take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 1% chance of verifyingYour on. 99:1 odds I get. Wanna bet $10??? Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 CAN clipper--- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 UK MET Clipper- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 00Z Euro-- Clipper Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 23, 2015 Report Share Posted February 23, 2015 things are starting to come in line-- 06Z Nam- will the trend E continue?? The ratios with this should be at least 15:1 to even 22:1 at the tail end. Tally Ho!!!- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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