stuffradio Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Could reach 26-28F overnight. I don't believe we have any heavy snowfall coming, but I wonder if anything tries to come if it would go the default Oregon route again like the last 3 times.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Not so sure... the GFS has really stabilized since the upgrade. I saw a few funky ECMWF runs last week that made me think this week would be very wet. But. but.. the ECMWF is always right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Not so sure... the GFS has really stabilized since the upgrade. I saw a few funky ECMWF runs last week that made me think this week would be very wet. Someone posted the stats on here recently. The Euro has outperformed the GFS in the mid/long range since the GFS was upgraded. More anecdotedly, the Euro picked up on the current western troughing sooner, as well as the next wave moving down this week. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Someone posted the stats on here recently. The Euro has outperformed the GFS in the mid/long range since the GFS was upgraded. OK. Maybe I am not paying close enough attention. Sure seems the GFS has stabilized though... it does not swing so wildly it seems before day 10. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Could cause a lot of damage with a wet, heavy snowfall.... Good thing that won't be happening! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Must be a mistake. According to Justin, OLM is headed towards a record warm month. The 58 degree chill there this afternoon was palpable even here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Any believers in the pattern change yet? Is The Torch finally dead?? No and no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Not so sure... the GFS has really stabilized since the upgrade. I saw a few funky ECMWF runs last week that made me think this week would be very wet.I was thinking about that a few days ago. GFS really has been pretty steady Eddie since its facelift. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 18Z ensemble is a little stinker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 The 58 degree chill there this afternoon was palpable even here. 52/32 out here today. Felt downright frigid. Pretty close to average in reality. Also my first freeze since January 3rd!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Really wouldn't surprise me to see ridging return by mid-March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Must be a mistake. According to Justin, OLM is headed towards a record warm month.Someone else said this month was going to be a cold onshore flow revival. Wrongness around every climate change corner! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Really wouldn't surprise me to see ridging return by mid-March.Muy bueno! Too bad that isn't gonna happen. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Muy bueno! Too bad that isn't gonna happen. I hope you're right. I'm not feeling it, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I hope you're right. I'm not feeling it, though.Well I'm riding on your float then. As far as I'm concerned troughing can go **** itself until mid October. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Well I'm riding on your float then. As far as I'm concerned troughing can go **** itself until mid October. Even after such a ridgy summer/fall/winter? That's hard for me to wrap my head around, and I am an outdoors person. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Well I'm riding on your float then. As far as I'm concerned troughing can go **** itself until mid October. The next month is still fine, because we can see meaningful snow in the mountains and possibly even down here. After late March, I'm on board for more ridging. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Even after such a ridgy summer/fall/winter? That's hard for me to wrap my head around, and I am an outdoors person.Quit living in the past, mandingo. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 The next month is still fine, because we can see meaningful snow in the mountains and possibly even down here. After late March, I'm on board for more ridging.The snow next month will be nice... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 The snow next month will be nice... Timberline could pick up another foot or so if we're lucky! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 The snow next month will be nice... Yes, the Spokane area will look gorgeous after it occurs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yes, the Spokane area will look gorgeous after it occurs.I know people there! Long live Facebook!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I hope you're right. I'm not feeling it, though. Hope he is right. Somewhat annoying that places such as Georgia and Louisiana are having a better winter than we are so far. Looks like they are going to get some sleet and snow tonight. <_> Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Hope he is right. Somewhat annoying that places such as Georgia and Louisiana are having a better winter than we are so far. Looks like they are going to get some sleet and snow tonight. <_> I guess the only downside for the people enjoying that is that they have to live in Georgia or Louisiana. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman5678 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Wow, such a goregous day outside! High of 56 here after a low of 28. I work with kids with autism after school and with my student this afternoon we spent an hour and 15 minutes on the trampoline instead of running programs because it was so nice out! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I guess the only downside for the people enjoying that is that they have to live in Georgia or Louisiana. Exactly. I have been to both states. Louisiana is so horrible you can't even imagine if you haven't been there. Georgia is tolerable, though the people are just barely... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Wow, such a goregous day outside! High of 56 here after a low of 28. I work with kids with autism after school and with my student this afternoon we spent an hour and 15 minutes on the trampoline instead of running programs because it was so nice out! Its awesome you do that after school. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Olympia down 22 degrees in four hours! #takethatshitBoston 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman5678 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Its awesome you do that after school. Yeah, I love it! I usually just work over the summer but this year I decided I wanted to work during the school year! It's a lot of work and quite tiring and makes it so I dont really have much free time but I love it! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Geez. At hour 240 on the GFS it looks really cold...In Boston. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Don't worry the mountains are getting pummeled with snow at hour 384! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Geez. At hour 240 on the GFS it looks really cold...In Boston.I think the cold ends up farther west than the GFS has been showing today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 The 58 degree chill there this afternoon was palpable even here. It was a negative anomaly day at OLM. Not helping your odds one bit. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 No and no. O ye of little faith. The pattern has already shifted from where it was most of Jan through the first half of this month, and it's probably getting colder/wetter for the PNW before it's done. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I was thinking about that a few days ago. GFS really has been pretty steady Eddie since its facelift. Not recently. The Euro has been leading the way with the recent pattern shift to colder weather in the West. GFS has been all over the place past day 5. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 It was a negative anomaly day at OLM. Not helping your odds one bit. 2006-2015! Impressive anomalies at OLM! 1957-58! Better than the 1950s! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Someone else said this month was going to be a cold onshore flow revival. Wrongness around every climate change corner! Actually, what I said was that I thought it would be better than January. After a horrid first half of the month (aside from the much needed rains in CA), we've certainly see a better pattern for the West overall return the second half of this month, better than anything since late December in terms of cold and widespread snowfall. That hasn't translated into "goodies" for the PNW, but the pattern is growing progressively colder, and there's a decent shot of mountain snow coming later this week it appears. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Euro verification scores have been below the GFS this winter. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Euro verification scores have been below the GFS this winter. You were the one saying just the other day the Euro has been better since the upgrade? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Hope he is right. Somewhat annoying that places such as Georgia and Louisiana are having a better winter than we are so far. Looks like they are going to get some sleet and snow tonight. <_> Sleet is annoying. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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