February 2015 PNW Discussion

[stuffradio]

It'll drive you to drinking if you let it. The argument could be made we're still paying for January/early February 1950.

Only on special occasions.

[Deweydog]

Only on special occasions.

Apparently there's a new drinking game sweeping tha nation's colleges. Do a shot everytime NWS Boston's hourly report comes in with +SN.

[Jesse]

Apparently there's a new drinking game sweeping tha nation's colleges. Do a shot everytime NWS Boston's hourly report comes in with +SN.

 

Sounds like a lot of alcohol poisoning on the way!!

[TT-SEA]

Last we heard from Jim... ensembles showed excellent agreement on a ridge along 150W.     He was not sure if we will have a full on arctic blast or just cold with snow in the mountains or a combination of both at times.   

 

Any update on this???

[Deweydog]

Last we heard from Jim... ensembles showed excellent agreement on a ridge along 150W. He was not sure if we will have a full on arctic blast or just cold with snow in the mountains or a combination of both at times.

 

Any update on this???

Sure seems like the models have changed their tune a bit, eh! MY OH MY! IT JUST CONTINUES!

[Jesse]

00Z is looking pretty ridgy.

[HighlandExperience]

Dog knows how to enjoy a 70+ degree day in February...

 

 

Your location will pay for this. Lots of cold rain and clouds. 

[TT-SEA]

Your location will pay for this. Lots of cold rain and clouds.

We have had like 8 inches of rain this month already. This is payback for that.

[Deweydog]

Boston is the new Halifax.

[ShawniganLake]

Boston is the new Halifax.

Looking possibly snowier than that. Halifax has an all-time max snow depth of only 37".

 

Fredericton?

[TT-SEA]

Boston is the new Buffalo.

[stuffradio]

New weeklies from Brett.

 

http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/alertengine/2015/590x458_02131943_feb13a.png

 

http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/alertengine/2015/590x458_02131945_feb13b.png

 

http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/alertengine/2015/590x458_02131946_feb13c.png

[Deweydog]

New weeklies from Brett.

 

http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/alertengine/2015/590x458_02131943_feb13a.png

 

http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/alertengine/2015/590x458_02131945_feb13b.png

 

http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/alertengine/2015/590x458_02131946_feb13c.png

 

Brought to you by Crayola.  

[BLI snowman]

1915-16 repeat next winter.

[Deweydog]

1915-16 repeat next winter.

 

What's the word on 1815-16?  

[Deweydog]

PDX gaining on Boston...

 

PDX down TWO from 45 to 43 in the last hour while Boston is only down ONE from 9 to 8.  

[HighlandExperience]

Brought to you by Crayola.  

 

I'm pretty sure he uses microsoft paint from Windows 2000.

[BLI snowman]

What's the word on 1815-16?  

 

Probably pretty cold. Tambora's eruption in 1815 was huge! Year without a summer in 1816!

[ShawniganLake]

Probably pretty cold. Tambora's eruption in 1815 was huge! Year without a summer in 1816!

While the death toll of people living on Sumbawa and surrounding coastal areas was high enough, even more fatalities can be attributed to the indirect effect of global climate deterioration after the eruption. These changes turned 1816 into the "year without a summer" for much of Europe, causing widespread famine. It is estimated that it caused the death of over 100,000 people.

The reason for the climatic changes was increased absorption of sunlight due to a veil of aerosols (consisting mostly of tiny droplets of H2SO3 acid, formed by SO2 release) that were dispersed around both hemispheres by stratospheric currents from the tall eruption column. Global temperatures dropped by as much as 3 deg C in 1816 and recovered during the following years.

 

http://www.volcanodiscovery.com/tambora.html

[Deweydog]

While the death toll of people living on Sumbawa and surrounding coastal areas was high enough, even more fatalities can be attributed to the indirect effect of global climate deterioration after the eruption. These changes turned 1816 into the "year without a summer" for much of Europe, causing widespread famine. It is estimated that it caused the death of over 100,000 people.

The reason for the climatic changes was increased absorption of sunlight due to a veil of aerosols (consisting mostly of tiny droplets of H2SO3 acid, formed by SO2 release) that were dispersed around both hemispheres by stratospheric currents from the tall eruption column. Global temperatures dropped by as much as 3 deg C in 1816 and recovered during the following years.

 

http://www.volcanodiscovery.com/tambora.html

 

The weenies that happened to survive must have been in heaven, though!

[Deweydog]

I'm going out on a limb.  April 5, 2015 will be cold.  

[Skagit Weather]

Mount Baker down to 23" base. Looks like they will have to close pretty soon unless they can pile all their snow onto the three runs they are operating currently.

[westcoastexpat]

We're due for a hot April/May. 2009 was awesome.

 

May 2014 had some heat. So did end of April/early May 2013. Two years in a row now where the end of April/early May time period have delivered a strong ridge and beautiful weather.

[richard mann]

http://www.proxigee.com/vote.jpeg
 
…. Can't even punch a "radio-button". (?)   .... Four responses, zero comments. (?)  
 
Certainly puzzling, the lack of response to the "poll" that I've set up here. 
 
http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/816-poll-pattern-description/
 
.. In my view, and I'm sure many others even more remotely interested in weather and climate study as the idea relates to the PNW or greater Far West, the current pattering along with that having been in effect for a "while" now looked at together with resulting conditions, is certainly able to be viewed as more significant, even more "water shed" or "mark". 
 
And so, with this poll, I'd hoped to have elicited at least some level of response and input from people marking it / working to document it as such—perhaps toward the idea further, of its being able to be refered back to at whatever future point more.

[IbrChris]

New weeklies from Brett.

 

 

 

Go to the Fox 12 weather blog and you can see the real maps (most of the time). Mark tends to post the 500 mb anomaly charts from the Euro Weeklies.

[stuffradio]

Go to the Fox 12 weather blog and you can see the real maps (most of the time). Mark tends to post the 500 mb anomaly charts from the Euro Weeklies.

I have a subscription that lets me see them too, but I can't post them.

[Jesse]

Heading for the coast with the loved one this Valentine's Day. Looks absolutely gorgeous.

[TT-SEA]

Nice c-zone brought enough rain here to water in my fertilizer.   I was a little worried but went with the typical weather behind a front here despite the models showing almost nothing.

[ShawniganLake]

The 12z GFS is sure chilly and damp looking as we head into the new month.

[TT-SEA]

The 12z GFS is sure chilly and damp looking as we head into the new month.

 

Hope it works out.    

 

Need mountain snow.

[stuffradio]

CFSv2 is cold and wet next month.

[TT-SEA]

CFSv2 is cold and wet next month.

 

 

Almost has to be at this point.   Best to happen in March and April when it can bury the mountains.

[ShawniganLake]

Hope it works out.    

 

Need mountain snow.

Its only 2 weeks away, what could go wrong.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just looked at the gfs output for Boston. -28 850mb temps later this week. Wow.

[Deweydog]

Nice c-zone brought enough rain here to water in my fertilizer. I was a little worried but went with the typical weather behind a front here despite the models showing almost nothing.

I can breathe again.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Its only 2 weeks away, what could go wrong.

 

winterinmarch.png

Looks gorgeous

[Dan the Weatherman]

Its only 2 weeks away, what could go wrong.

 

winterinmarch.png

That is exactly the pattern that the West needs right now that has been absent for the last 3 years! Hope it verifies!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That is exactly the pattern that the West needs right now that has been absent for the last 3 years! Hope it verifies!

I hope so too. We have no real chance of getting back near normal. But maybe we can salvage a little something.

[DareDuck]

Beautiful day here in Bend. 58 where I'm at and all sun. So glad I'm not in eugene.

[Front Ranger]

Completely unrelated to our current warmth, of course, but February 2015 is well on its way to breaking the record for warmest ever February, globally. This is notable since the old record is February 1998, which represented the most extreme anomaly during the 1997-98 super nino.

 

And yet, many places in the Northeast have a good shot at their coldest February in the past 100+ years.

 

Then there was last year. Somehow the U.S. pulled this off.

 

 

 

 

Fact of the matter is, you would care much less about the global temp if the PNW was experiencing cold anomalies. I know this is true because I've seen it in action