SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Surprisingly cloudy this morning. Sub-80 high?! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Medford running ahead of July 2015 right now. Yet some on here would like us to believe this month has been cool regionally. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 26 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Medford running ahead of July 2015 right now. Yet some on here would like us to believe this month has been cool regionally. Literally no one has said that. But comparing this year to 2015 is absurd. Pattern is massively different, if not inverted in some respects going forward into late July and early August. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 It’s been drizzling all morning but not enough to wet the ground still. It’s nice to see atleast we’ve only had a little bit of drizzle on 2 or 3 mornings since mid June. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 16 minutes ago, Phil said: Literally no one has said that. But comparing this year to 2015 is absurd. Pattern is massively different, if not inverted in some respects going forward into late July and early August. I deal in observed weather. It has been HOTTTTTT! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 That pattern in the medium/long range is going to flood the nation with smog. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: It’s been drizzling all morning but not enough to wet the ground still. It’s nice to see atleast we’ve only had a little bit of drizzle on 2 or 3 mornings since mid June. Sun is trying to come out here and its 67 in North Bend now. But I see it looks quite wet in Bellevue... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 I was looking at North Bend on the Oregon Coast. They are sitting at a 0.0 departure for the month. Mean temp so far this month is 59.8. Sounds so heavenly. 3 days on the Central Coast last week was not enough, I think I have two trips over there planned for August. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 43 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Sun is trying to come out here and its 67 in North Bend now. But I see it looks quite wet in Bellevue... Just amazing what the marine influence can do right? Especially when it comes to the models. This was totally unexpected and there’s no way they are able to pick up the drizzle. I mean, this stuff dont even show up on the radar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Sunny and 75F here. Amazing how often the Puget sound gets socked in with low clouds and drizzle. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 22 minutes ago, Cloud said: Just amazing what the marine influence can do right? Especially when it comes to the models. This was totally unexpected and there’s no way they are able to pick up the drizzle. I mean, this stuff dont even show up on the radar. Actually... just looked back at the 12Z ECMWF run from yesterday and it did show precip around Seattle this morning. It also showed it being drier out here. It did quite well... just did not notice it. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Sunny and 75F here. Amazing how often the Puget sound gets socked in with low clouds and drizzle. Chehalis Gap... its a curse in the winter and the summer! They need to put up some bigger hills west of Olympia. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Some patches of blue sky starting to appear. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Chehalis Gap... its a curse in the winter and the summer! They need to put up some bigger hills west of Olympia. Also those warm waters in the strait of Georgia seem to repel low clouds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Also those warm waters in the strait of Georgia seem to repel low clouds. Also related to geography. NW flow off the coast bypasses VI and there are also mountains there blocking it from coming in from the SW. No such luck down here. Although the ridge behind our house is often a good block when onshore flow is weak. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Also related to geography. NW flow off the coast bypasses VI and there are also mountains there blocking it from coming in from the SW. No such luck down here. Although the ridge behind our house is often a good block when onshore flow is weak. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Satellite tells the tale... NW flow off the coast which then curls inland through the Chehalis Gap and up into the Seattle area with nothing to block it. You can also see the mountains on VI blocking the clouds from coming inland. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Still lots of goldilocks weather... and much more to come. And this keeps the smoke away which is real blessing right now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 63 at noon. Cloud deck is still quite low as evident by the planes being above the clouds approaching SeaTac from here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 8 minutes ago, Cloud said: 63 at noon. Cloud deck is still quite low as evident by the planes being above the clouds approaching SeaTac from here. 62 here. Looks like the cloud deck will hold on a while longer. It drizzled all the way up to 11am or so wasn’t enough to wet anything down though. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Marine layer breaking up here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Sunny now. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 73 at SLE, so they should easily top 80. Looks like we should be back up to 90 for Friday and Saturday. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Heartbreaking. https://www.oregonlive.com/environment/2021/07/wells-run-dry-in-many-klamath-basin-homes.html 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Actually... just looked back at the 12Z ECMWF run from yesterday and it did show precip around Seattle this morning. It also showed it being drier out here. It did quite well... just did not notice it. A lot more than what the model was advertising though it seems. Still waiting for numbers for SEA but WFO picked up 0.06”. Base on what was fallen this morning, I think the dry streak is over at SEA. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 This is some cool stuff. The Puget Sound is very capable of creating its own weather. Just amazing. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 44 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Satellite tells the tale... NW flow off the coast which then curls inland through the Chehalis Gap and up into the Seattle area with nothing to block it. You can also see the mountains on VI blocking the clouds from coming inland. The strait of JdeF is a pretty big gap and is aligned WNW. But you don’t see the low clouds swirling up into the Strait of JdeF nearly as often as Puget Sound. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 If we extrapolate the forecast SLE will be sitting at a monthly mean of 72.2 through the 26th, which would essentially be tied with July 2018 for 3rd warmest July on record. Brrrrrrr.... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Blue sky now... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 12Z EPS... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Blue sky now... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 48 minutes ago, Cloud said: This is some cool stuff. The Puget Sound is very capable of creating its own weather. Just amazing. The convergence zone being the most famous Puget Sound generated weather phenomenon. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Medford running ahead of July 2015 right now. Yet some on here would like us to believe this month has been cool regionally. Some here want to use a station at the far southern fringe of the region, basically California, as the barometer for the month! 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: If we extrapolate the forecast SLE will be sitting at a monthly mean of 72.2 through the 26th, which would essentially be tied with July 2018 for 3rd warmest July on record. Brrrrrrr.... OLM, SEA, PDX, BLI not top 10. Monthly high of 84 at OLM and 82 at SEA so far. Hotttttt... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 On 7/19/2021 at 6:49 AM, TT-SEA said: The ECMWF did a great job showing the marine layer being mostly wiped out. And it has adjusted to the trough being a little farther east and shows more marine layer the next 2 days... but it only "sticks" for the day in King County. A situation in which the WA coast is sunnier than the Seattle area. ECMWF did a great job with today and I assume tomorrow will be the same... basically sunny on the coast and cloudy in the Seattle area as advertised. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 59 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS... Ouchie. Flying home today, just in time for the smog, followed by heat next week. Mis-timed the death ridge by 2 weeks. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Andrew’s smoke has reached NYC. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just now, Phil said: Ouchie. Flying home today, just in time for the smog, followed by heat next week. Mis-timed the death ridge by 2 weeks. You timing is always off... its your specialty. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 8 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said: Persistent cloudy day in North Bend, though we missed out on the drizzle further west. Only 65°F at home after a low of 53°F. FullSizeRender.mov 6.43 MB · 0 downloads It's sunny right now... and 69 here. It's been partly sunny since about 12:30. Very few solid marine layer days this summer where it stays cloudy all day. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted July 20, 2021 Report Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just a trace at SEA so their dry month remains intact. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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