July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

Euro actually has some showers around on Sunday in western WA, decent convergence zone signature. 

Both the Euro and GFS have that trough quite a bit closer than they did yesterday.

[Phil]

22 minutes ago, Jesse said:

To kick off our late August/September furnace right?

Second half of August looks pretty nasty in the West. But the first half will probably have the blowtorch east of the Rockies.

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Yea, what a curse it would be to get some rain. How horrible.

That was tongue-in-cheek.     Some rain would be nice... but the ECMWF way over-estimated rain with the last trough so I am not too hopeful.  

[TT-SEA]

58 minutes ago, iFred said:

What I wouldn't give to finally have a summer that was rain free, mid to upper eighties, low humidity with a pleasant breeze from the east to keep the humidity down. My family likes to have summer time campfires after a long day of boating in cascades, so those wonderful dry nights are the best.

I actually prefer some humidity in the summer!    Those warm, humid summer evenings are the best.   

[Phil]

 

[Requiem]

8 minutes ago, Phil said:

 

Not only did this fire start on the intersection of Dixie and Camp Creek Roads (the namesake for a certain other extremely significant fire) but preliminary reports suggest the cause might also be the same.

[Jesse]

26 minutes ago, Phil said:

Second half of August looks pretty nasty in the West. But the first half will probably have the blowtorch east of the Rockies.

The entire summer so far has been pretty nasty in the west (aside from the deep SW which has enjoyed a more active monsoon season). So I guess nothing will change in late August.

[Phil]

14 minutes ago, Jesse said:

The entire summer so far has been pretty nasty in the west (aside from the deep SW which has enjoyed a more active monsoon season). So I guess nothing will change in late August.

That said, if the EPS is correct with this p1-p4 progression of the tropical circulation, it might be the Plains/Midwest region that really blowtorches hard, instead of the West.

Either way, this screams lower-48 blast furnace.

[TT-SEA]

Seattle Times concurs... 

 

[TacomaWaWx]

82 here…we will see if we bump any higher in the next half hour. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

We did it again!! 90F baby!!

[Cloud]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

82 here…we will see if we bump any higher in the next half hour. 

It’s so weird that on days like these I consistently run warmer than SEA being only a few miles away. 
 

At home it’s currently  85F. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

It’s so weird that on days like these I consistently run warmer than SEA being only a few miles away. 
 

At home it’s currently  85F. 

Everything about SEA has been strange lately.    The updated averages wiped out the UHI effect on departures and that makes sense... but lately it always seems to be cooler than expected as well.   TacomaWaWx used to always run colder than SEA.   Now it seems his location is about the same as SEA.  

[TacomaWaWx]

5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

It’s so weird that on days like these I consistently run warmer than SEA being only a few miles away. 
 

At home it’s currently  85F. 

SEA is a cold station now. 

[TacomaWaWx]

82/52 today. 

[Front Ranger]

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Everything about SEA has been strange lately.    The updated averages wiped out the UHI effect on departures and that makes sense... but lately it always seems to be cooler than expected as well.   TacomaWaWx used to always run colder than SEA.   Now it seems his location is about the same as SEA.  

OLM, station of the gods, is still our only reliable source for WTF is actually happening.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

OLM, station of the gods, is still our only reliable source for WTF is actually happening.

The radiational cooling at OLM is a very unique thing... its real and based on geography and soil composition but it's not representative of the region.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

It has. Not nearly as impressive as 2018, 2015, etc for the western PNW lowlands, though. 

Kinda interesting, looking like it could be one of the smallest differences in average temperature between June and July in quite awhile (for many places). At this point, would have to go back to the 1980s to find something comparable.

You do understand June 2018 was like 5F cooler than this past June. Also south of Portland July 2021 has been remarkably similar, if we get a heat pulse toward the end of the month it will end a dead ringer for July 2018. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

As TWL mentioned, EUG hit 90, and now so did SALEM!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like the NWS is going with a high of 80 at SLE on Wednesday. That is the one chance for a sub-80 high this week. Back up near 90 Saturday-Monday. 

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

The radiational cooling at OLM is a very unique thing... its real and based on geography and soil composition but it's not representative of the region.

Tim. We've been over this. Anomalies cover this.

[MossMan]

Just got the new IPhone 12 Pro Max! Can’t wait to take fancy pics and videos of our record breaking snow and cold the last week of November!! 
76/49 on the day. 

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You do understand June 2018 was like 5F cooler than this past June. Also south of Portland July 2021 has been remarkably similar, if we get a heat pulse toward the end of the month it will end a dead ringer for July 2018. 

Would you like me to run regional numbers for you again, Drew?

We were talking July.

[Jesse]

87/57 day here, still no 90s this month.

Nice marine push in progress this evening. Breezy NW winds and down to 72.

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Would you like me to run regional numbers for you again, Drew?

We were talking July.

Been an impressively cool month around much of the region, Flatty.

 

[Phil]

Nice West-Pacific cooling. Lets keep this going.

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Been an impressively cool month around much of the region, Flatty.

 

That's EXACTLY what I said!

[Meatyorologist]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

Nice West-Pacific cooling. Lets keep this going.

ENSO has been catching up as well. Getting closer everyday.

[Meatyorologist]

Today will be two minutes and seven seconds SHORTER than yesterday! 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Down to 60F. Another very pleasant night.

[Link]

4 hours ago, Phil said:

Nice West-Pacific cooling. Lets keep this going.

Little tiny red strip right along our coast.   Figures.

[Cloud]

Getting some drizzle this morning! This is the first time in over a month that I'm getting some precip from the sky. It actually feels nice with the mist!  A bit of a warm night with a low of 59 and currently 61. 

[Cloud]

Quite a pleasant surprise with the drizzle this morning. Good enough to wet the roadways.

[TacomaWaWx]

31 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Quite a pleasant surprise with the drizzle this morning. Good enough to wet the roadways.

Got down to 59 this morning and drizzling here too but not enough to wet anything down. 

[Jesse]

Mostly cloudy with a low of 59 here. No drizzle yet.

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Got down to 56F. Now 69F and beautiful.

[Blizzard777]

Light rain

59*

[Jesse]

20 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Got down to 65F. Now 69F and beautiful.

Just 12 degrees warmer than the official station down there.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KEUG&num=26&raw=0&banner=off

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Just 12 degrees warmer than the official station down there.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KEUG&num=26&raw=0&banner=off

Looks like the seizures caused me to mix up the 6 and 5...can't win 'em all. Took me like 10 mins to type it.

[ShawniganLake]

Clear skies and a bit breezy this morning with a low of 58F here. 
 

35 days without precip at YVR.  5th longest streak on record.