GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z runs were boring, so I created an entry. Wish me luck. Cliff has a new book out, he's doing a book signing on 11/17. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said: Cliff has a new book out, he's doing a book signing on 11/17. I have The Weather of the Pacific Northwest. Read it once and remember about 8% of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Visible snow flakes falling with the rain. WTF. 38 degrees. 5 1 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Visible snow flakes falling with the rain. WTF. 38 degrees. Splat test has been confirmed here now under this shower, 38° as well. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: puking rn How’s your cam at twisp doing? Getting anything? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Hmmm... 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 This would of been a fun pattern if it was a colder air mass. Would of been about a foot of snow today here. 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 The ECMWF looks pretty serious at the end. Tons of cold air in play. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 If we're going to follow 1970 to some extent the 0z ECMWF would certainly make sense. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Moderate rain again. Should be over the 5” mark for the month momentarily. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 hour ago, GHweatherChris said: Doesn't look like a tornado. Either that or a microburst. Certainly not typical for these parts. The Weather Service will have to make the determination. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 13 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: This would of been a fun pattern if it was a colder air mass. Would of been about a foot of snow today here. It still was very interesting for this time of year. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Just now, snow_wizard said: It still was very interesting for this time of year. Was? It's on going currently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: Moderate rain again. Should be over the 5” mark for the month momentarily. Amazing. I've had about half that here and it seems very wet. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said: Was? It's on going currently. I was talking about yesterday specifically. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I was talking about yesterday specifically. Perhaps my memory is short but remind me, what is so special about yesterday? SEA had a 52/44 with 0.10” day. Today was much colder and more dynamic that would produce something more meaningful if it was colder. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Subtle hints of retrogression on the Canadian ensembles. GEFS somewhat similar. C'MON!!!! 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 22 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 There are many videos on You tube showing the aftermath of the tornado and it was definitely serious. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 11 minutes ago, Cloud said: Perhaps my memory is short but remind me, what is so special about yesterday? SEA had a 52/44 with 0.10” day. Today was much colder and more dynamic that would produce something more meaningful if it was colder. It was simply an interesting day. Snow mixed with rain around area, low snow levels, thunder, hail, and of course what happened in Vancouver. Sorry it was so boring where you live. Most places were much more active. SEA dropped to 41 BTW after a high of 47. Yesterday was Saturday...I think you're talking about Friday. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 The EPS has trended more west with the mid month block again. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Looks like the GFS ensemble control has 850s dropping to -10 with a major cold snap. This thing has a chance of happening. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It was simply an interesting day. Snow mixed with rain around area, low snow levels, thunder, hail, and of course what happened in Vancouver. Sorry it was so boring where you live. Most places were much more active. SEA dropped to 41 BTW after a high of 47. Yesterday was Saturday...I think you're talking about Friday. Lol. My place was certainly not boring my dude. I had numerous squalls that came through that produced some fun stuff. I simply forgot we already struck midnight and thought you were referring to Friday. Which was boring. But Chris is still right, this whole thing is still ongoing. Some places looks like it could get snow overnight. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Lol. My place was certainly not boring my dude. I had numerous squalls that came through that produced some fun stuff. I simply forgot we already struck midnight and thought you were referring to Friday. Which was boring. Yeah...I figured that out right in the middle of writing that up. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Sitting at 4.98 of rain on the month so far. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Hmmm............ 6z GFS in 1 hour 17 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 6z NAM Models perhaps shifting the deep low closer to us? 12z runs might be mildly interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 6z NAM model trends (Past 2 runs) Definite southeastward shift, but will that continue. Who knows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Snowflakes confirmed for a couple minutes about 10 minutes ago, it was a mix but flakes were visible, still 38°. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said: Snowflakes confirmed for a couple minutes about 10 minutes ago, it was a mix but flakes were visible, still 38°. Maybe those crazy EURO runs weren't so crazy after all? or at least snow in the air/slushy stuff.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 The latest CFS looks fun for December. GOA blocking with undercutting westerlies. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Kind of hoping for a more exciting 6z GFS run, and then 12z runs tomorrow morning. I'm outta here. Good night all. 6z GFS in 1 hour 12z NAM in 5 hours 2 minutes 12z GFS in 7 hours 12z ECMWF in 9 hours 8 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 13 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Maybe those crazy EURO runs weren't so crazy after all? or at least snow in the air/slushy stuff.... They still crazy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 15 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Kind of hoping for a more exciting 6z GFS run, and then 12z runs tomorrow morning. I'm outta here. Good night all. 6z GFS in 1 hour 12z NAM in 5 hours 2 minutes 12z GFS in 7 hours 12z ECMWF in 9 hours 8 minutes Is this factoring the time change? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: They still crazy. You’re probably under these heavier showers which are helping drag the temp down a little bit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: You’re probably under these heavier showers which are helping drag the temp down a little bit. I was, yes. I am about 5 miles west of Montesano. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Rain again. I love how these keep marching in and come right over me. Quite windy and chilly out as well, just had a blast of 30mph gust. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Welcome back to standard time! Feel like I just travel back in time.... wasn't it just 1AM? Now 1AM again?! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, Cloud said: Welcome back to standard time! Feel like I just travel back in time.... wasn't it just 1AM? Now 1AM again?! I just time traveled back from December and it was colder than tonight. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I just time traveled back from December and it was colder than tonight. Was there plenty of snow? Please tell us there are plenty to go around! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 7, 2021 Report Share Posted November 7, 2021 Night shift here!! Let’s get some fuckkin’ action on the GFS!!! Currently 38F and very comfortable. 4 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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