Phishy Wx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Are you thinking a February 2019 redux is going to happen? would like, we had a big storm in late Feb then, was almost borderline ground blizzard conditions after it. lots of blowing and drifting in my yard 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kayla Posted January 20, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Are you thinking a February 2019 redux is going to happen? Unlikely...but always possible I suppose. That one came in multiple waves and we're only really looking at the first cold wave at this point and that might be it after the first week of Feb. I'd wager for cold'ish onshore flow by mid month and beyond. Something is definitely coming though and I do think the cold will be a bit more centered over the Intermountain region this time around so much more likely for Portland folks to do well. 11 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Are you thinking a February 2019 redux is going to happen? I doubt it’s anything close to that, but who knows. The February events in 2018, 2019, and 2021 all followed major SSW events timed well w/ intraseasonal cycles. Feb 2022 will be evolving into a +NAM/strong vortex state with some degree of -PNA arising from the IO/Indo MJO, which may be transient in nature (save any leftover low freq tendencies). Colder than average pattern, yes, but it doesn’t strike me as an ideal setup for arctic cold. Just my opinion, though. 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Looks like PDX’s 60-less season was about a month and a half this year. They hit it today. 1 1 1 3 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 EPS weeklies also hinting at another MJO transit across the WPAC/WHEM late February into March. Assuming +NAM is the dominant signal going into that, then it’s likely the pattern either trends warm/progressive towards the end of February, or returns to a +TNH type look. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 11 minutes ago, Kayla said: Unlikely...but always possible I suppose. That one came in multiple waves and we're only really looking at the first cold wave at this point and that might be it after the first week of Feb. I'd wager for cold'ish onshore flow by mid month and beyond. Something is definitely coming though and I do think the cold will be a bit more centered over the Intermountain region this time around so much more likely for Portland folks to do well. That’s close what I’ve been thinking for the last week now. Think this event ends up being 3 or 4 34/30 temp spread days with 1 or 2 chances of snow mostly favoring Oregon this time. It’s obviously way too early to know that just a guess. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 53 here and some sunbreaks. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said: It rained one night for a couple hours in Feb 2020. Snow came back in March but wasn't a great amount. Glad you still get snow in KY. 1 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 This would be a top-10 strong PV event in terms of 10mb zonal winds @ 65N (for early February). 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post jakerepp Posted January 20, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 From my dad and brother at their respective workplaces in Boise. That's just over an hour worth of snow. 10 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 18z just a little different than 12z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, RentonHillTC said: 18z just a little different than 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 The torch is real though. I just killed a yellow jacket on the outside screen. I'm hoping there isn't a nest inside somewhere. It looked to be a worker as it is all striped and not spotted like most queens. Shocked because it is sunny but not that warm. Was hoping it was a queen but probably not. That's another reason to root for cold weather. Shocked to find one now when we had such low temps last month. 1 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 8 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said: The torch is real though. I just killed a yellow jacket on the outside screen. I'm hoping there isn't a nest inside somewhere. It looked to be a worker as it is all striped and not spotted like most queens. Shocked because it is sunny but not that warm. Was hoping it was a queen but probably not. That's another reason to root for cold weather. Shocked to find one now when we had such low temps last month. Sounds like Christmas I had here, there was one day a wasp would never leave one of my windows. Back in Klamath these things died by beginning of November. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 20 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 New gfs would be pretty interesting if it verified. No rain for the rest of January then some rain transitioning to cold and snow in early February. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 53/48 today…likely going to get a midnight low considering it’s already down to 49. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Noice 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Days 10-15 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Noice Hey mr MBA is back for druncle! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 18z GEFS at day 10 vs 12z 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Hey mr MBA is back for druncle! I’m ready to model run 24/7 again!! Bring out the plow!!! @MossMan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 I bet hour 424 on the operational would look great. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I bet hour 424 on the operational would look great. I was thinking the same thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Hr 270 GEFS vs 12z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: This is great but I assume this will get pushed back about two weeks like every other time we see this in the long range. 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2022 Report Share Posted January 20, 2022 Solid improvement thru hr 294 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2022 Report Share Posted January 21, 2022 Yeah, the operational is quite a bit warmer than the mean from the 28th-2nd. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 21, 2022 Report Share Posted January 21, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 21, 2022 Report Share Posted January 21, 2022 It’s starting to feel like we’re building towards something interesting again. 4 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 21, 2022 Report Share Posted January 21, 2022 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 21, 2022 Report Share Posted January 21, 2022 Wait what? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2022 Report Share Posted January 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Wait what? Wowzers. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 21, 2022 Report Share Posted January 21, 2022 It’s gotten pretty breezy here and the clouds have increased as the convergence zone slides south. It might hit us or fizzle and mostly be east of here we will see. Down to 47. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 21, 2022 Report Share Posted January 21, 2022 5 day 850s 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 21, 2022 Report Share Posted January 21, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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