TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Hard to see Tuesday verifying as a high-end event with such a massive windfield and such an odd trajectory. Crazy to see it bomb over land though... Much better to focus on snow during a very specific 12 to 18 hour period 10 days from now instead.Our voice of reason! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 PuyallupJon checking in here. No snow today in the swamp. Closest we got was 37 and rain. Carry on.Hey there fellow swamper! Thanks for confirming my earlier statement about the status of snow out here as some seemed to doubt it. I think we should go mud bogging later and maybe do some toad stomping'... What you think?! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Yesterday was the first time SEA didn't reach 50 degrees since February 1st. Shattered the longest such streak by 26 days. Pretty impressive. Ironically the high was 50 IMBY, but I had a number of highs below 50 earlier in the month. Thank goodness I got my first freeze a couple of weeks back also. Nice to see things going away from the endless torching. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Hard to see Tuesday verifying as a high-end event with such a massive windfield and such an odd trajectory. Crazy to see it bomb over land though... Much better to focus on snow during a very specific 12 to 18 hour period 10 days from now instead. Are you actually surprised that the relative focus is on the cold airmass potential next week, rather than a middle-of-the-road looking wind setup? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 I'm not sure why Tim is being so picky about the pattern 10 days out. Even the Euro looks pretty nice with cool temperatures and offshore flow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Hard to see Tuesday verifying as a high-end event with such a massive windfield and such an odd trajectory. Crazy to see it bomb over land though... Much better to focus on snow during a very specific 12 to 18 hour period 10 days from now instead. I'm going to be interested to see how the wind threat plays out. It just looks too unconventional to be a classic event, but you never know I guess. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 The next suite of models as we get closer will help paint this wind storm picture Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Another thing to consider in the wind debate is the fact the NWS has been overly trigger happy about mentioning high winds lately. The wind advisory they had just a couple of days ago busted miserably. All in all it's been a rough stretch for the NWS lately. Their miss by 5 to 8 degrees on last night lows is testimony to that. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Are you actually surprised that the relative focus is on the cold airmass potential next week, rather than a middle-of-the-road looking wind setup? If it's not snowing the moment the turkey is being carved, why the **** bother? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 I'm not sure why Tim is being so picky about the pattern 10 days out. Even the Euro looks pretty nice with cool temperatures and offshore flow. I am not really... I love the pattern on the 12Z ECMWF for next week. Not real confident in anything though considering Thursday and Friday looked clear and chilly just yesterday and now the ECMWF shows dumping rain on Thursday and into Friday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 If it's not snowing the moment the turkey is being carved, why the **** bother? Either way it's going to be the kiss of death for the artist formally known as January. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Either way it's going to be the kiss of death for the artist formally known as January.You must have read my post from the other thread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Lots of chunky rain up here today. Was really thinking I would see a few flakes in air. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Either way it's going to be the kiss of death for the artist formally known as January. I remember a certain young man who was quite bullish about a January of this year... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 I remember a certain young man who was quite bullish about a January of this year...Desire and logic can be hard to extricate from one another at times! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 You must have read my post from the other thread. 31 days and 31 nights of annual pure hell. Can we perservere? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 I remember a certain young man who was quite bullish about a January of this year...I remember watching it snow and cold in November of last year and posting how "I could feel January slipping away". You reminded me that January was 31 days long and hadn't started yet. Many people appreciated and "liked" your insight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 I remember a certain young man who was quite bullish about a January of this year... No, wisely just January 5, a date that we did at least manage to salvage a half-assed Chilliwack ice event. Score! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 31 days and 31 nights of annual pure hell. Can we perservere? Hey, you're in Ridgefield now! I just noticed. Now your post about the front being to your WNW for hours yesterday makes more sense. What is your elevation there? I know there are some fairly high hills on the bluffs above the Columbia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 No, wisely just January 5, a date that we did at least manage to salvage a half-assed Chilliwack ice event. Score!Probably a 1 in 50 year ice event just east of there. And a busted snowfall warning here, that failed to produce a single flake. Triple Score! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 I remember watching it snow and cold in November of last year and posting how "I could feel January slipping away". You reminded me that January was 31 days long and hadn't started yet. Many people appreciated and "liked" your insight. Yeah...cold Novembers and cold Januaries don't go hand in hand very D**n often. There are a few notable exceptions though. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Yeah...cold Novembers and cold Januaries don't go hand in hand very D**n often. There are a few notable exceptions though. Probably has something to do with there being less cold Januaries single and on the prowl. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Either way it's going to be the kiss of death for the artist formally known as January. This made me laugh quite hardily! or is that heartily? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Hey, you're in Ridgefield now! I just noticed. Now your post about the front being to your WNW for hours yesterday makes more sense. What is your elevation there? I know there are some fairly high hills on the bluffs above the Columbia. ~250 feet. I'm a little SE of town, a few miles away from the river. Other than the Mt. Vista area I'm not sure any of the hilltops on the western side of Clark County exceed 400 feet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 ~250 feet. I'm a little SE of town, a few miles away from the river. Other than the Mt. Vista area I'm not sure any of the hilltops on the western side of Clark County exceed 400 feet.Depends on where you drawn the line between eastern and western Clark County. If you are talking west of I-5 then of course it will be slim pickings because most of that area is the floodplain of the Columbia. The hills east of La Center and Woodland rise into the 700-800ft range pretty quickly, though. And those are only 3-4 miles from the county's western boundary (the Columbia River). Goose Hill is about two miles east of I-5/Woodland as the crow flies and it is over 900'. But yeah, 330' or so seems to be about the max in the area immediately around Ridgefield. Although there is a hill between there and Felida, north of 199th street, that gets all the way up to 450'. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Hey so my internet went out for awhile. The rain began transitioning to snow around 4am. Started sticking around 530am. Fell moderately until 7am. Measured 1.75" of slushy wet snow, it has mostly all melted now. I will try to post some pics in a bit. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Hey so my internet went out for awhile. The rain began transitioning to snow around 4am. Started sticking around 530am. Fell moderately until 7am. Measured 1.75" of slushy wet snow, it has mostly all melted now. I will try to post some pics in a bit. That's awesome. I bet you were happy to see it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 And its gone... http://s16.postimg.org/rec6celhh/2015_11_15_07_38_21.jpg http://s13.postimg.org/g8hymjfpj/2015_11_15_10_55_33.jpg http://s16.postimg.org/jrcpa6mo5/2015_11_15_13_13_33.jpg Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 That's awesome. I bet you were happy to see it! I was it was nice. The models did a tremendous job with it, the UW-WRF 4km resolution nailed the snow amounts. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Well, well, well, what do I see here I count 6 members below -15C Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Hey so my internet went out for awhile. The rain began transitioning to snow around 4am. Started sticking around 530am. Fell moderately until 7am. Measured 1.75" of slushy wet snow, it has mostly all melted now. I will try to post some pics in a bit. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Well, well, well, what do I see here Even most of the ensembles still showing the chilly snap later this week. Though I remember from last winter, if its within a couple days and the operational is the outlier it is the ensembles that are out to lunch. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Big improvement on the 12z Ensembles. Looks like about half give us arctic air around Thanksgiving. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Well, well, well, what do I see here I count 6 members below -15C The Germans need to learn how to spell Kanada. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Even most of the ensembles still showing the chilly snap later this week. Though I remember from last winter, if its within a couple days and the operational is the outlier it is the ensembles that are out to lunch. The operational has been gradually trending that way too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Nice November day here. Mostly sunny and 43F here this afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 I remember watching it snow and cold in November of last year and posting how "I could feel January slipping away". You reminded me that January was 31 days long and hadn't started yet. Many people appreciated and "liked" your insight.Was I wrong? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 Was I wrong?Haha, no. You know the Calendar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 15, 2015 Report Share Posted November 15, 2015 I'm going to be doing some driving over the Cascades Thanksgiving week. Could be interesting. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.