HuskyMaestro Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 17 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I feel like a night shift is in order, Rob. During the summer I didn't sleep until 2 AM and it felt dead and surreal on here to be the only one online at times. Here's for some great night shifts from here on out! 6 1 1 Quote ๐๐ฏ ๐ฎ๐บ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฅ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฎ๐ด, ๐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ต๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฏ. ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ถ๐ฑ. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: IDK about that. Looks to me like the snow level will bounce around between 3,500 and 5,500 feet. Stevens will get periods of rain between each snowfall which will probably keep much from piling up at pass level. Itโs too early in the season for any cold East wind helping out the passes so theyโll have to rely on cold enough upper level air masses. Does look like the upper slopes there will get a lot though. For sure. I meant in terms of snowfall. The 7-10 day is looking really promising and hopefully doesnโt get too watered down. The upper slopes is what really matters for ski season and they looked to get a good base going.ย 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said: During the summer I didn't sleep until 2 AM and it felt dead and surreal on here to be the only one online at times. Here's for some great night shifts from here on out! Looking forward the night shifts this winter! Itโs gonna be EPIC!!!!!!!! 5 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, Cloud said: It says NOPE.. I'm going back the other way.ย Professor: โThe exam is todayโย 18z:ย 1 Quote ๐๐ฏ ๐ฎ๐บ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฅ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฎ๐ด, ๐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ต๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฏ. ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ถ๐ฑ. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Another tornado today maybe? ย 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said: Professor: โThe exam is todayโย 18z:ย Yup... it's literally me trying to sabotage the latestย model run and showed up to the exam the day after all confused.ย In all seriousness, was just catching up on the runs today saw these hilarious frames! Thus, the meme. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Up to .92โ on the day and itโs currently dumping!ย 1 1 Quote Elevation 580โ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth!ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Not often we see the EURO, GEM, and GFS in sync like this at Day 6. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Not often we see the EURO, GEM, and GFS in sync like this at Day 6. Just what I was thinking.ย I think I like the finest details on the ECMWF the best though.ย Looking good for at least a minor cold shot. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Do you guys and gals prefer me to post the past 4 runs and model comparisons like this? or? it just takes a bit longer as the ECMWF hi-res runs slower. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 26 minutes ago, MossMan said: Up to .92โย 6" on the day and itโs currently dumping!ย Won't be much longer before you post something like this.ย 2 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5โ 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" ย ย ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kolk1604 Posted October 25, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Hoping I don't jinx this, but this is Nov 1 and 5 AM Love the trend of the 850s getting colderย 8 4 Quote ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Do you guys and gals prefer me to post the past 4 runs and model comparisons like this? or? it just takes a bit longer as the ECMWF hi-res runs slower. It's your offense my man. I post just single frames overnight. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25โ Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 ย Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Itโs coming. Thatโs all this looks like to me. 3 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Whistler would be able to open by Halloween on this run.ย ย 4 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5โ 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" ย ย ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Hmmmmย 2 1 5 Quote ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 A November to remember? A few more days of model runs like this and I'll have to dust off the 'Colder Runs Ahead!'(c)Rob 2017? 6z GFS in 2 hours 35 minutes 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: A November to remember? A few more days of model runs like this and I'll have to dust off the 'Colder Runs Ahead!'(c)Rob 2017? 6z GFS in 2 hours 35 minutes I hope so.ย 850's warm at the end, but we all know switch can flip on the next runย 1 Quote ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 November is going to be cold enough to freeze off a cows balls. Something like that. 00z ECMWF in 22 hours 35 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: November is going to be cold enough to freeze a cows balls. Something like that. 00z ECMWF in 22 hours 35 minutes I can't wait until we fall back and that's 21 hours and 35 minย 1 Quote ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Why did King County just get a flash flood warning? Am I missing something? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 The ECMWF spits out a 43/35 for SEA on day 9, and better stuff is coming it would appear. 3 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, smerfylicious said: Why did King County just get a flash flood warning? Am I missing something? Must be a mistake. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Seattle WA 1043 PM PDT Mon Oct 24 2022 The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... North Central King County in west central Washington... * Until 245 AM PDT. * At 1043 PM PDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.2 and 0.3 inches of rain has fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.25 to 0.5 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is possible. Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will result in debris flow. The debris flow can consist of rock, mud, vegetation and other loose materials. HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage and low-lying areas. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... mainly rural areas of North Central King County PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move away from recently burned areas. Life-threatening flooding of creeks, roads and normally dry arroyos is likely. The heavy rains will likely trigger rockslides, mudslides and debris flows in steep terrain, especially in and around these areas. Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks. ย 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Must be a mistake. Spooky 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 850s 6C below normal at hour 180 on the EPS. 3 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Seattle WA 1043 PM PDT Mon Oct 24 2022 The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... North Central King County in west central Washington... * Until 245 AM PDT. * At 1043 PM PDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.2 and 0.3 inches of rain has fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.25 to 0.5 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is possible. Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will result in debris flow. The debris flow can consist of rock, mud, vegetation and other loose materials. HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage and low-lying areas. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... mainly rural areas of North Central King County PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move away from recently burned areas. Life-threatening flooding of creeks, roads and normally dry arroyos is likely. The heavy rains will likely trigger rockslides, mudslides and debris flows in steep terrain, especially in and around these areas. Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks. ย I'll be dipped! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 EPS control at hour 270.ย It looked very much like the operational at day 10.ย Wicked trough! 8 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, smerfylicious said: Why did King County just get a flash flood warning? Am I missing something? ย 4 1 Quote ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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