The Swamp Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I would love nothing more than for timing to get moved up. A nice arctic blast for the Carolina Panthers game would be epic! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I'm pleased to see this might happen in early December. Sets up a reasonable potential for a repeat about 30 days later which would put January in play. If it ends up being top tier January is less likely to work out, but at least top tier anytime in December is certainly better than if had happened in November.A couple years ago, I was talking to one of my co-workers about a top-tier event possibly happening. It looked epic for around New Years. Temps would have dropped to -15 to -20, but it fell apart I don't get as excited about temps that cold (except maybe for stats reasons alone), but I get super excited about lots of snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Out getting scrap wood today to fill up the wood bin. Cannot have to much wood heading into the coldest winter since 1861-62. 5 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Looks like a pretty nice Black Friday in Seattle: http://50yrcamera.spaceneedle.net/ Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Maybe the CFS isn't all bad... http://i.imgur.com/SVRp29l.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Maybe the CFS isn't all bad... A broken clock is right twice a day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Most of next week still looks fairly chilly. Cooler than this week has been for sure. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Booooo.Are you saying boo, or boo-urns? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Talk about strong agreement. The updated runs of the 12z GFS, GEM and EURO all agree that the Arctic Front is just north of Vancouver Island at Day 10. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016112512/240/850th_nb.na.pnghttp://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016112512/240/850th_nb.na.pnghttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016112512/240/850t.na.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liquidsnow Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I bought a new TV. The last time I bought a TV? December 2008.The time before that? December 1996. You're welcome. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I bought a new TV. The last time I bought a TV? December 2008.The time before that? December 1996. You're welcome. December 2013 was when I got the laptop I'm typing on. Right before the arctic blast. Thanks you're welcome. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I bought a new TV. The last time I bought a TV? December 2008.The time before that? December 1996. You're welcome. It was right time for an upgrade. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liquidsnow Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 December 2013 was when I got the laptop I'm typing on. Right before the arctic blast. Thanks you're welcome. Hmmm, I smell a crowdfunding idea! Please donate me $$$ for my annual December TV! The bigger the TV, the bigger the arctic blasts will be! Anyone know where Phil is? I want him to weight in on the recent trends. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I bought a new TV. The last time I bought a TV? December 2008.The time before that? December 1996. You're welcome. Post of the month right here! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 For the record I don't think we are going to have a true arctic blast in early December. But likely something decently cool and some lowland snow in the PNW Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 For the record I don't think we are going to have a true arctic blast in early December. But likely something decently cool and some lowland snow in the PNWI don't ever put much stock in anything past day 10, but the consistency is pretty impressive and does give some credence to this idea. It's important to remember it doesn't take a blast to get significant lowland snow in December and January. Plenty of examples of that. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Canadian ensemble mean days 11-15. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I don't ever put much stock in anything past day 10, but the consistency is pretty impressive and does give some credence to this idea. It's important to remember it doesn't take a blast to get significant lowland snow in December and January. Plenty of examples of that. Yeah, at this point this upcoming pattern looks like it has a better shot at being a snow producer than some recent blasts. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Yeah, at this point this upcoming pattern looks like it has a better shot at being a snow producer than some recent blasts. I'll take a snow producer over a cold producer any day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 The ECMWF ensemble continues to improve. The control model shows us going into the freezer with snow. This is the ensemble mean.' 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I'll take a snow producer over a cold producer any day Both is the best! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 The ECMWF ensemble continues to improve. The control model shows us going into the freezer with snow. This is the ensemble mean.'Wow! This is reminding me of December 2008 with the great model agreement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Hoping we see improvements with the 12z EC EPS.... Onto 00z! in 8 hours 18 minutes !!!!What about our favorite drunk uncle 18z Mike? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 What about our favorite drunk uncle 18z Mike? -25 850s for SEA? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It will be interesting to see how much rain I picked up yesterday when I get home in a bit. Models show another 2.5" or so over the rest of the weekend at my location. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 -25 850s for SEA?That would work!! Get him another drink, stat!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 The other piece of good news is this looks to happen before I leave for Oklahoma on the 14th. That'll be our mild reset week 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 The other piece of good news is this looks to happen before I leave for Oklahoma on the 14th. That'll be our mild reset week I'll be hunting in south Texas Jan 11-16th that will be the epic blast here. Book it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I'll be hunting in south Texas Jan 11-16th that will be the epic blast here. Book it What will you be hunting in Texas? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 18z running now OMG. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Strap in. It's time for the 18z. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Tomorrow evening and Monday look good for Oregon Cascade snow above 4,000'. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Strap in. It's time for the 18z. I added some straps to my office chair just for this occasion. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Today's CFS is UGLY for December. The Rex block pretty much sets up over the west coast. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Tokyo just had its first November snow in 54 years. What does the updated run of the 12z JMA say? It says the same thing all the other models are saying! Unbelievable agreement between the models, their all on the train now! http://img.meteocentre.com/models/jma_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_240_0000.gifhttp://img.meteocentre.com/models/jma_amer_12/TT_GZ_UU_VV_240_0850.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It just snowed in Tokyo for the first time in 54 years. What does the updated run of the 12z JMA say? It says the same thing all the other models are saying! Unbelievable agreement between the models, their all on the train now! Truly unreal to have everything showing it. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 What will you be hunting in Texas?Deer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 CFS NOT ON BOARD. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It just snowed in Tokyo for the first time in 54 years. What does the updated run of the 12z JMA say? It says the same thing all the other models are saying! Unbelievable agreement between the models, their all on the train now! That was their first November snow in 54 years, not their first snow. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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