December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[snow_wizard]

You can see it on satellite and even radar that this baby is moving southeast fast.

The models insist it will slow way down when it gets to this area. Maybe it will get hung up on the terrain or something. There is also good snow falling from the bands north of the low. That is all going to move through. Try a little optimism for once!

[TT-SEA]

This is a classic atypical C-Zone situation for us. The actual zone where the pressure is higher both to the north and south. When that happens the moisture gets further squeezed between the Olympics and the Cascades. This one of the better scenarios for us. Interestingly the models have been trending toward keeping snowfall going into the morning in this area now.

 

 

Pretty sure the c-zone is going to set up to your north tonight.   With lighter precip tomorrow... might be a rain/snow mix below 500 feet.   That is my honest assessment anyways.     

[snow_wizard]

Wow, looked out the window two minutes ago and there was heavy snow falling.. Now have moderate rain falling, never seen such a quick changeover.

That's the problem with systems moving down from the north. They suck warm air up ahead of them.

[TT-SEA]

Okay Jim.... Not going to argue with you.  <_>

 

 

Sort of silly.  

[snow_wizard]

Okay Jim.... Not going to argue with you.  

We'll know soon enough.

[Chewbacca Defense]

The wind shift in Abbotsford in a couple of hours ago. It's snowing nicely. The roads are going to be pretty bad everywhere since people don't want to go out for plowing tonight.

 

 

Oh I'm pretty sure there will be some folks going out and getting plowed tonight!!

 

 

It has stopped precipitating in my neck of the woods for the time being, looks like another slug of moisture is about to move in off the water...radar shows it as rain, hopefully it will fall as snow once it hits land...

 

went from 35-33 from 3-4 this afternoon, been stuck at 33.2 since then.  We got a dusting on the grass and cars, but I think it has pretty much melted off.... 

[snow_wizard]

I'm not seeing any real difference on the NAM. Not that it matters much anyway with that model.

[Chewbacca Defense]

2-3" at the fire station by yew st

 

http://i.imgur.com/JMp7WY5h.jpg

 

 

Nice!  How have you done so far at your house?

[Jesse]

I'm not going to comment on posts like this anymore tonight.

It is what it is. I don't like it anymore than you do.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Looking at the satellite and radar that sure likes the center of a low moving SE. Just a quick notice and sharing for discussion. Based on movement and rotation.

 

 

[Perturbed Member]

HIO 33F with precip picking up. Winds calm. A dusting possible before south winds?

[Poulsbo Snowman]

I wish some of you would stop being a******* to Wiz. 

[TT-SEA]

I wish some of you would stop being a******* to Wiz. 

 

 

But he can be an ******* to everyone else all day?    

[TT-SEA]

Looking at the satellite and radar that sure likes the center of a low moving SE. Just a quick notice and sharing for discussion. Based on movement and rotation.

 

Screen Shot 2016-12-31 at 6.07.08 PM.jpg

 

 

Winds are still from the south way north of where you place that low.

[MossMan]

Looking at the satellite and radar that sure likes the center of a low moving SE. Just a quick notice and sharing for discussion. Based on movement and rotation.

 

Screen Shot 2016-12-31 at 6.07.08 PM.jpg

What site are you using for that radar shot?

[The Swamp]

This thing seems to be racing SE at a really fast clip.

 

I wish it would dig a big more and head SW just a bit.

 

Oh well.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Still 31 degrees with some light rain now falling. A nice glaze on everything. Fun.

[TT-SEA]

Looking at the satellite and radar that sure likes the center of a low moving SE. Just a quick notice and sharing for discussion. Based on movement and rotation.

 

Screen Shot 2016-12-31 at 6.07.08 PM.jpg

 

 

On you map... the low should up near Ladysmith BC

[Bryant]

44 near Neah Bay with a strong NW wind.

You're trying your hardest right now... A+ for effort

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This forum is becoming no fun at all. To much bitching and whining. Of all the forums i belong to this one is by far the most childish.

[luvssnow_spokane]

What site are you using for that radar shot?

It is a secret...  Nah, here it is: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/weather/radar.shtml#

[luvssnow_spokane]

Winds are still from the south way north of where you place that low.

Okay, it was just a quick observation without a lot of research. thanks!

[luvssnow_spokane]

Raining like cats and dogs. Temp stuck at 35.9

[TT-SEA]

Okay, it was just a quick observation without a lot of research. thanks!

 

 

New MM5 NAM says it moves east and dissolves near Bellingham.

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_nam/images_d2/slp.09.0000.gif

[The Swamp]

Raining like cats and dogs. Temp stuck at 35.9

 

I'm stuck at 38.7.

 

It is totally dumping.

 

Wow!

 

Gonna be hard to accumulate after all this rain.

[HighlandExperience]

This forum is becoming no fun at all. To much bitching and whining. Of all the forums i belong to this one is by far the most childish.

Yea I agree. We need a real snow event to flush out all the crying.

[crf450ish]

We may not be getting what we want right now, but come on.....look at this. Something is going to happen somehow somewhere down the line. The feedback loop will inevitably grace us with cool anomalies some time soon. 

 

 

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2016 total: 32 days (8%)  
2015 total: 0 days (0%) 
2014 total: 1 day (2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
Updated 31 Dec 2016

 

 

Some say that solar doesn't have the immediate effect I think it does. While I have no scientific proof it does(who does?), I am merely weighing in on what moderate research I have done on the fact. Somethings gotta give soon (not later). Look, 32 days in 2016 of no sunspots. December 24, 25, 26...three days in a row with no sunspots. This hasn't happened since 2010. Be patient. It's coming, and when it gets here, I am willing to bet it will blow what happened in January 1950 out of the water. Might happen in February this year...might happen January of 2018.....

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

New MM5 NAM says it moves east and dissolves near Bellingham.

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_nam/images_d2/slp.09.0000.gif

post the next frame.

[The Swamp]

I might go out in the yard with the leaf blower later and try and dry off the grass before the snow starts to enhance it's ability to stick.

 

The neighbors will love me.

[Bryant]

But he can be an ******* to everyone else all day?

You're an idiot

[Poulsbo Snowman]

But he can be an ******* to everyone else all day?    

You instigate more crap on this board than anyone.

 

All he is doing is demonstrating how the goods may be delivered to people--which is why most ae on here.  All you do is antagonize him.  I mostly quit coming here because of you.  You are, indeed, annoying.  Love sitting up thee where you live knowing the goods are going to be delivered and yet mostly tell people what the MOS says for Seattle.  I couldn't give two rats a** what the MOS says in Seattle.  I want to hear from others what they think about the models while I develop my own thoughts--which I rarely share in here since I don't feel like being mocked.

[TT-SEA]

I'm stuck at 38.7.

 

It is totally dumping.

 

Wow!

 

Gonna be hard to accumulate after all this rain.

 

 

The cold air earlier is really helping now.  

[TT-SEA]

You instigate more crap on this board than anyone.

 

All he is doing is demonstrating how the goods may be delivered to people--which is why most ae on here.  All you do is antagonize him.  I mostly quit coming here because of you.  You are, indeed, annoying.  Love sitting up thee where you live knowing the goods are going to be delivered and yet mostly tell people what the MOS says for Seattle.  I couldn't give two rats a** what the MOS says in Seattle.  I want to hear from others what they think about the models while I develop my own thoughts--which I rarely share in here since I don't feel like being mocked.

 

 

No one would mock you... certainly not me.   

 

The things I post are usually very pertinent if you want to learn.    When signs are good... I am the most positive poster on here.   Every single time.  

 

Jim was all over many people today.   The one person who melts down the most demanding happiness.     Dumb.    

[Bryant]

Nice! How have you done so far at your house?

Just pulled up. Not as good as the fire station, but close to 2"

 

http://i.imgur.com/HJkBasCh.jpg

[TT-SEA]

Just pulled up. Not as good as the fire station, but close to 2"

 

http://i.imgur.com/HJkBasCh.jpg

 

 

Wow... impressive.  

[TT-SEA]

post the next frame.

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_nam/images_d2/slp.12.0000.gif

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Switched to a snow/sleet mix now. 

[TT-SEA]

Absolutely dumping heavy wet snow right now. Accumulating fast.

Very nice... I like where this is setting up.

[luvssnow_spokane]

[TT-SEA]

Just pulled up. Not as good as the fire station, but close to 2"http://i.imgur.com/HJkBasCh.jpg

You are going to have snow on the ground all week now.