westiztehbest Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 What the f*ck are you smoking? Arctic Kush with a dab of Drunk Uncle's fairy dust. Snowing here now but expecting marginal accumulations due to temps at 33 F. Should get purdy cold next week. Snow chances late Monday and Thursday should be enjoyable as high temps will be in the teens and 20's. Hoping to get 6" at least b/t the two storms and 1-2' in the mountains. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mountainman Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 hahaa dwai go git ur own chit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mountainman Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Ya PDX good luck gittin snows down in those suthern parts. Dream like we do up here. This global crisis is like walking deads. U can't beat em down hahahahNow git ur hands offa my crackkk bChacha Go look at models instead..don't respoind here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Wtf? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 For those keeping score the 12z ECMWF operational and 18z GFS ensemble mean both show 850s dropping to -9 for Seattle. The number I said we were likely going to see a couple of days ago. Not bad for a wish caster like me. I also mentioned later model runs would probably remove the snow shadow from the Central Puget Sound. Happened on the 12z GFS, 18z GFS and 12z ECMWF. Some user who shall remain nameless really pissed me off this morning so I will gloat if this all goes according to plan. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 PDX NWS Discussion starting to add more details: Monday night through Friday...Unsettled winterweather will be the rule to start the period. It looks as though afew showers will continue Monday night into Tuesday in the wake ofthe system on Monday. Breaks in the clouds and a generally cool airmass will lead to lows near freezing many areas Tuesday morning,meaning some of the showers will be of snow even at low elevationsbut with light spotty accumulations if any. The models show brisknorth to northwest flow aloft taking hold later Tuesday, withoffshore flow taking effect Tuesday night and Wednesday leading tobrisk cold and rather widespread east winds over the forecast area.Gradients through the Gorge could be on the order of 8 to 10 mb, sothese winds are not likely to be garden variety east winds.Wednesday looks generally dry as a result. The faster GFS and theslower ECMWF are coming together slowly and will go with anincreasing likelihood of precipitation Wednesday night and Thursday.The moisture will override the colder air in place so expect somewinter weather with this system as well. Thermal profiles andthickness values suggest that any low elevation snow might brief andthe main impact will be a period of freezing rain. The actual threatof freezing rain will be determined by how cold the surfaces can getWednesday night and Thursday morning, which will also be influencedby events earlier in the week. At this point, model differences aretoo large to pinpoint the transition back to rain with anycertainty, but probably by Friday. An interesting week is ahead ofus. Tolleson&& Mark's forecast http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/ibs_web_7-day.jpg Unless the models trend in our favor,, I think Monday is a OLM north event for the lowlands. Hopefully things go a bit better for Thursday but current models don't look good for snow there either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 What the f*ck are you smoking? He gets free heroin in Vancouver BC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Ya PDX good luck gittin snows down in those suthern parts. Dream like we do up here. This global crisis is like walking deads. U can't beat em down hahahahNow git ur hands offa my crackkk bChacha Go look at models instead..don't respoind hereDude, should we call someone for you or what? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 PDX NWS Discussion starting to add more details: Monday night through Friday...Unsettled winterweather will be the rule to start the period. It looks as though afew showers will continue Monday night into Tuesday in the wake ofthe system on Monday. Breaks in the clouds and a generally cool airmass will lead to lows near freezing many areas Tuesday morning,meaning some of the showers will be of snow even at low elevationsbut with light spotty accumulations if any. The models show brisknorth to northwest flow aloft taking hold later Tuesday, withoffshore flow taking effect Tuesday night and Wednesday leading tobrisk cold and rather widespread east winds over the forecast area.Gradients through the Gorge could be on the order of 8 to 10 mb, sothese winds are not likely to be garden variety east winds.Wednesday looks generally dry as a result. The faster GFS and theslower ECMWF are coming together slowly and will go with anincreasing likelihood of precipitation Wednesday night and Thursday.The moisture will override the colder air in place so expect somewinter weather with this system as well. Thermal profiles andthickness values suggest that any low elevation snow might brief andthe main impact will be a period of freezing rain. The actual threatof freezing rain will be determined by how cold the surfaces can getWednesday night and Thursday morning, which will also be influencedby events earlier in the week. At this point, model differences aretoo large to pinpoint the transition back to rain with anycertainty, but probably by Friday. An interesting week is ahead ofus. Tolleson&& Mark's forecast http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/ibs_web_7-day.jpg Unless the models trend in our favor,, I think Monday is a OLM north event for the lowlands. Hopefully things go a bit better for Thursday but current models don't look good for snow there either. That's from yesterday... New 7 day has changes. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 That's from yesterday... New 7 day has changes. Take a look at it yourself, that is what I see right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 The NWS has snow levels 1000 feet or below for all of next week Sunday through Friday for the East Puget Sound lowlands. That's pretty bold actually. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 PDX NWS Discussion starting to add more details: Mark's forecast http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/ibs_web_7-day.jpg Unless the models trend in our favor,, I think Monday is a OLM north event for the lowlands. Hopefully things go a bit better for Thursday but current models don't look good for snow there either. Looks reasonable, I would say it looks a little too cold for Monday and too warm for Thursday and possibly Wednesday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Dude, should we call someone for you or what?LOL, that guy is special. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 I've recorded a -28 here in Redmond. It was February 2014. Minus 20 a few times in December 2013.-28F? Umm not in Redmond western Washington you didn't. Theres no way it ever got that cold there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Wtf?That idiot migrated here. LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 -28F? Umm not in Redmond western Washington you didn't. Theres no way it ever got that cold there.Central Oregon Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Wtf?Is that hawk ? 2 Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Central OregonOh ok, thank you for the correction. Apparently my geography sucks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Ya PDX good luck gittin snows down in those suthern parts. Dream like we do up here. This global crisis is like walking deads. U can't beat em down hahahahNow git ur hands offa my crackkk bChacha Go look at models instead..don't respoind hereI don't want crack tho Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Is that hawk ?Hahaha Could be! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Hahaha Could be!Probably is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 NAM looks awesome for my location Monday. 6-8". Come on NAM, you got this one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trainwreck Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Looks reasonable, I would say it looks a little too cold for Monday and too warm for Thursday and possibly Wednesday.You probably know more than Mark. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trainwreck Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Redmond Oregon. We tied the all time record low that month. Been close to it a few times since I've lived here. Brutal cold to say the least. I grew up in the Portland area so when I moved here it caught me off guard. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 NAM looks awesome for my location Monday. 6-8". Come on NAM, you got this one. Way too warm down here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 00z GFSBegins in.... 15 minutesWe need the Kona Low to behave so the GOA/Alaskan block holds a tad longer allowing the Arctic trough to dig a bit more favorably out of BC.Feel free to play along (You may need to refresh pages)Northwest view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nwus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197North America view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=namer&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197North Pacific view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=npac&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197Alaska view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=ak&pkg=T850&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Way too warm down here.The MM5 NAM is way drier than what is shown on the tropical tidbits site. Temps look marginal at best up here as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 NAM looks awesome for my location Monday. 6-8". Come on NAM, you got this one. I never even look at the NAM anymore. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Lake Washington in a month... http://cdn-image.travelandleisure.com/sites/default/files/styles/1600x1000/public/1448910459/Siberia-WTG0116.jpg?itok=Db4I0-_z Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Lake Washington in a month... http://cdn-image.travelandleisure.com/sites/default/files/styles/1600x1000/public/1448910459/Siberia-WTG0116.jpg?itok=Db4I0-_zNot much snow on the ground. Dry cold is B-O-R-I-N-G. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Day 1 block slightly stronger, tad more amplified, and a slight notch further northwest than 18z, 12z http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016120300/024/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Block looks nappier, nippier, nocturnal, nationalist and neapolitan. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 HR 36 - Kona may be developing slower and taking more of a W/NW track.http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016120300/036/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Nice to see you back DJ. Hope things are better at home today! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Day 2 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016120300/048/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Nice to see you back DJ. Hope things are better at home today!Hey thanks. She is doing much better. Model riding and discussing weather with you all is very helpful distraction. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Hey thanks. She is doing much better. Model riding and discussing weather with you all is very helpful distraction.Great to hear! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 HR 66 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016120300/066/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Chilly willy run so far. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2016 Report Share Posted December 3, 2016 Chilly willy run so far.Arctic trough digs a bit more favorably Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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