PNW December 2022 - Part II

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

I do agree with Andrew though, I’m reluctant to call anything a “real deal” a week out right now considering the models are even struggling 2-3 days out.

I do think some areas in the puget sound region get absolutely nailed with convergence Sunday and Monday. As for the overrunning. Way way way too early to have any idea on that. 

[Terreboner]

Wait until MS sees my snow blob.  #mindblownyoutubeToobin

[Hawksfan2008]

Quite the hedge  

[MossMan]

Exciting!! 

[smerfylicious]

I wish weather underground used a model blend. It's like 100% GFS and looks terrible. My location missed the projected high by 5 degrees...and it was only supposed to get down to 31, but it's 28 right now

[Terreboner]

Probably the biggest GFS run of the year coming up.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Snyder sounds like a complete Washington homer. To be honest I don’t give 2 sh*t what he has to say.

People in Washington don't give a sh*,t about what Mark says either.   Of course he is a Washington homer, it's where he lives and forecasts.  And he has talked about snow possibilities for Portland Western Oregon 

 

Edited December 17, 2022 by Brian_in_Leavenworth

[RentonHill]

Nam Hr 45 last 3 runs. Less over water. More penetration from the north. 

[GHweatherChris]

Such BS, at this rate it is gonna be a Northern California special.  I haven't had a decent snowfall in 9 months, I am doooo, very doooo, heartbreaking.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Terreboner said:

Probably the biggest GFS run of the year coming up.

Not really... it feels like its sort of become irrelevant when its off on its own like this.

[Jbolin]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Snyder sounds like a complete Washington homer. To be honest I don’t give 2 sh*t what he has to say.

I don't either, the guy is an egotistical, arrogant POS and I stand by that.

[Cloud]

Just now, GHweatherChris said:

Such BS, at this rate it is gonna be a Northern California special.  I haven't had a decent snowfall in 9 months, I am doooo, very doooo, heartbreaking.

 

[Hawksfan2008]

NBM. We’re one GFS run away from the NWS sounding the alarm. 

[Terreboner]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Not really... it feels like its sort of become irrelevant when its off on its own like this.

Ya, but at some point it has to cave.  If it initializes warm while it's snowing then I will never look at it again.

[MossMan]

The entire family has gathered around the kitchen where I am at listening to MS! My wife goes “wow a weather freak listening to a weather freak!!”

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, Cloud said:

 

Don't mock my mojo lol, I know what I am doing, I am very good at this part, very high success rate!!  Many know the gift I possess!! 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Nam Hr 45 last 3 runs. Less over water. More penetration from the north. 

Man, that is a brutally cold Arctic airmass we are about to tap into.

[Terreboner]

I will get kicked off of Youtube if I tell him what I want to tell him.

 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Quite the hedge  

His use of the word "light" there just about guarantees heavy snow in Seattle. 

[Sandy rocks]

One thing to keep in mind about Portland is that it sits in a hole at sea level. Going south and west is a 6% grade and east is a gradual climb to Gresham at 350 feet, then you get into the foothills. There is a huge differences in elevation. The west hills are over a thousand feet. Generally when cold comes through it takes an additional two days for Troutdale to moderate and another two to four days for the Gorge. The temperature is usually about four degrees warmer in Portland than Sandy.

[RentonHill]

3 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Man, that is a brutally cold Arctic airmass we are about to tap into.

Some uncut goodness straight from the border

[TacomaWx]

Not sure why there’s the hate against mike Snyder. Maybe it’s warranted if someone had a bad experience with him but I haven’t seen anything to make me think negatively of him. He’s pretty darn good IMO and is definitely a snow and cold fan. You can tell he gets excited to track this stuff. 

[Terreboner]

I wonder if Snyder is wearing cut off jean shorts.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Sandy rocks said:

One thing to keep in mind about Portland is that it sits in a hole at sea level. Going south and west is a 6% grade and east is a gradual climb to Gresham at 350 feet, then you get into the foothills. There is a huge differences in elevation. The west hills are over a thousand feet. Generally when cold comes through it takes an additional two days for Troutdale to moderate and another two to four days for the Gorge. The temperature is usually about four degrees warmer in Portland than Sandy.

Yeah we're at 250ft just to the west of the west hills. I've noticed we also get a pretty strong east wind that accelerates off of them. How did your area do during the April snowstorm?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Eugene down to 30 already. -5 at Foster Flat in SE Oregon. 

[Cloud]

Love this time of the year with clear skies. Temps just plunge after sunset. SEA’s down to 34. 36 here. Many places already below freezing. 

[Jbolin]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Not sure why there’s the hate against mike Snyder. Maybe it’s warranted if someone had a bad experience with him but I haven’t seen anything to make me think negatively of him. He’s pretty darn good IMO and is definitely a snow and cold fan. You can tell he gets excited to track this stuff. 

The guy is known by several folks to be very abrasive, cold, arrogant, etc "away from the spotlight" so to speak.

I myself had a very negative experience with him one on one almost 12 years ago.

People DON'T forget those who treat them like s*** for no reason.

 

[The Cats Meow]

This could be an exciting week.

My vote is for more cold in Washington with an arctic front and more snow for Oregon.

Despite no SE ridge it appears this bad boy is going to drop into the area and burst some pipes.

[MossMan]

Yeah up further North than modeled around Camano Island!! Hrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, JSnowlin said:

The guy is known by several folks to be very abrasive, cold, arrogant, etc "away from the spotlight" so to speak.

I myself had a very negative experience with him one on one almost 12 years ago.

People DON'T forget those who treat them like s*** for no reason.

 

Didn’t know that…interesting. Just from what I’ve seen from following his weather stuff the last few years I haven’t thought anything negative but people can be very different in person too. 

[TT-SEA]

00Z NAM... snow through Monday morning. 

[flya00]

-1C Freezing Fog in Abbotsford and Chilliwack right now

[Sandy rocks]

I think I got about six inches. Sandy alone varies from about 800 feet on the west end of town to about 1100 feet on the east end of town and its a small town.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I just made a video, but the file size was too big. I’ll make a new shorter one. 

[MWG]

37F right now high was 52 at the airport! Tomorrow will be another frosty morning.

[Terreboner]

I'm having a drink for every time MS says "convergence zone".  I'm getting smashed!!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Big night on the way! 

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

I'm having a drink for every time MS says "convergence zone".  I'm getting smashed!!!

How about the winds from the north and the winds from the south colliding at a specific spot resulting in explosive cloud covers and water falling from them? 
 

Does that make you want to drink less?

[Terreboner]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Big night on the way! 

IMG_0676.MOV

Holy hell.

[SnowPlz]

Why in the world are people in here mad at MS