PNW December 2022 - Part II

[Hawksfan2008]

Icon is going to place the snow band in the same spot as the HRRR/NAM. The sound might just thread the needle…just need Euro to drop a tick south tonight 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

That hairline is a devastating trend.

my wife keeps mentioning it and I’m in denial! 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

There's a narrow band developing over the southern tip of the island stretching into Mount Vernon at the moment: 

Currently 24.3F here and the snow that's falling is like dust, you can kind of see it on a nearby traffic cam where it's blowing around on the road - 

[Terreboner]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

my wife keeps mentioning it and I’m in denial! 

How is it in the back?  Thinning? LOL.  

[fubario]

Snyder: "the hrrr is a higher resolution version of the gfs". didn't know that

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Terreboner said:

How is it in the back?  Thinning? LOL.  

Nah it’s good in the back. 

[Terreboner]

Just now, fubario said:

Snyder: "the hrrr is a higher resolution version of the gfs". didn't know that

All the more reason not to trust it.

[Blizzard777]

Light snow falling…no accumulation and stuck basically at  33* 

Bottom line…I’ll take it as I know it will only get better from here ! 

[MossMan]

Possible over performer north of the warm tongue! MS

Edited December 19, 2022 by MossMan

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

I am refusing to give up. Radar on 2/3/19 before the deformation band set up, and radar right now. I don’t think the atmospheric conditions are exactly the same but hey the radar is similar If I recall models did not show the band setting up.

I knew we were getting a foot or more that night.. so the ECMWF must have showed something big.

[Deweydog]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

my wife keeps mentioning it and I’m in denial! 

Mine’s been BSF for longer than I can remember.

[KingstonWX]

Snow had stopped here momentarily but now its snowing again and pretty heavily. Temp is 30. DP is 29. Wind out of the north at 2mph.

[Brennan]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Hanging at my college bar and watching the models roll in… 

Send pic of models !!!!

[MikeInEverett]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I knew we were getting a foot or more that night.. so the ECMWF must have showed something big.

I believe it showed quite a bit out your way but over here most models had the main show as the CZ that happened early that afternoon and nothing else after. I don’t think anything like that will actually happen but I guess ya never know.

[KingstonWX]

Shitty vid but you get the point. 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

Light snow falling…no accumulation and stuck basically at  33* 

Bottom line…I’ll take it as I know it will only get better from here ! 

Still 36 here but it’s trying to snow harder. Unfortunately I think tonight I’ll just be a bit too far west for the accumulating stuff…but for work tomorrow I’m driving to enumclaw then Kent and possibly bothell so I’ll get to see some snow tomorrow! Should be interesting driving around and seeing what areas did good overnight. 

[Brennan]

Pretty uniform temps across the county now. Tad bit colder up north. There’s always something so fascinating to me about being down on the Lake (Whatcom) when temps are in the teens. Also love how it’s relatively calm in the bowl, mostly protected from the NE wind with the exception of places due west of the gap between Mt Baker Highway and Lake Whatcom (Y road and Squalicum Creek Road). 14 with NE 30 in Sumas. IMO that’s just miserable for anyone with children who love to play in the snow.. or anyone for that matter.

[MossMan]

Story of my day! 

[MikeInEverett]

Just now, MossMan said:

Story of my day! 

Pain

[Frontal Snowsquall]

20 minutes ago, Doinko said:

RDPS!

 

Very impressive! This means the 00z GEM should come in cold.

[TacomaWx]

I think tonight might be tough for people south of Seattle that are west of I-5 the way it’s looking. Looks like it’s going pretty well east of I-5 though! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, Brennan said:

Send pic of models !!!!

Haha it’s a dive bar in Oklahoma. No models here, just the people of wal mart! 

[fubario]

Snyder: "Some places are going to outperform Seattle North w/ Tuesday's system. Maybe Seattle. Olympia and Tacoma. Potentially very potent."

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, fubario said:

Snyder: "Some places are going to outperform Seattle North w/ Tuesday's system. Maybe Seattle. Olympia and Tacoma. Potentially very potent."

I have 5 kids so I’d say I’m very potent! 

[Terreboner]

Dewpoints below zero in Portland on Thursday with a strong/warm pacific system coming in.  Holy cow......this one is going to be epic.

[Hawksfan2008]

Icon follows the NAM/HRRR/RGEM and drills the sound. Seattle is on a roll tonight! 

[High Desert Mat?]

57 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

32 / dp 29 at SEA now.  The cold is really flooding in.

That really isn’t all that cold. Or dry. 

[Terreboner]

Just now, High Desert Mat? said:

That really isn’t all that cold. Or dry. 

LOL

[Frontal Snowsquall]

19 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

Was about to post the same. Crazy maps. I'm sure reality won't be quite as impressive but it is pretty unusual to even see these kind of temps on models outside of clown range here. No matter what happens with the snow/sleet/zr, I think the cold could be pretty remarkable. 

This kind of reminds me of the June 2021 heatwave where the models were showing ridiculously high temperatures that we all dismissed at first. But then it didn’t waver and did pretty much verify at the end. We are dealing with a top tier anomalous airmass and everything seems to be aligning up perfectly to maximize the potential cold temperatures. This all occurring right around the winter solstice will help to.

[bainbridgekid]

11 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

Shitty vid but you get the point. 

Looks like a really confusing neighborhood it would be easy to get lost in.

[Kolk1604]

I usually don't like team NAM, but it's snowier and keeps Tuesday cold 

[fubario]

Snyder "The European doesn't beat the GFS by much usually." Also said not a fan of ICON.

[Blizzard777]

25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Hanging at my college bar and watching the models roll in… 

Dog gone we’re similar with the hair color and same facial hair although mine a bit snowier looking

[yellowstone]

3 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Icon follows the NAM/HRRR/RGEM and drills the sound. Seattle is on a roll tonight! 

I have the thinnest dusting on record tonight after being between the stuff earlier this season. Please don’t let this bust!

[Kolk1604]

5 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Icon follows the NAM/HRRR/RGEM and drills the sound. Seattle is on a roll tonight! 

ICON can't make up it's mind. It keeps changing locations every run. The 06z will be more focused on the south sound. 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Story of my day! 

It's pretty light here, maybe a lot of evaporation in the cold/dry air. Just producing enough to cover stuff in dust. We've got lots of ice though, the snow that fell in the morning melted but the Arctic air froze it rapidly so there are frozen water drops on the trees/grass/cars/etc and a few icicles already.

[Gradient Keeper]

Arctic front through Ephrata now just north of Moses Lake.

[Hawksfan2008]

2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

ICON can't make up it's mind. It keeps changing locations every run. The 06z will be more focused on the south sound. 

It has not done any worse than the others… 

[Gradient Keeper]

Arctic front through Seattle(Sea-Tac)? Temp: 32, Dewpoint: 27 NE wind and pressure rising.

[fubario]

Snyder "Favor the European and Canadian models. Should have resolution tomorrow morning."