Niko Posted October 13, 2017 Report Share Posted October 13, 2017 More rain coming late tonight and into tomorrow b4 the storms move in late tomorrow night. Cooler air follows next week b4 warming up slightly into the 70s briefly. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 13, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 13, 2017 More rain coming late tonight and into tomorrow b4 the storms move in late tomorrow night. Cooler air follows next week b4 warming up slightly into the 70s briefly.Top notch postseason baseball weather Tue, Wed and Thu at Wrigley! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 13, 2017 Report Share Posted October 13, 2017 Top notch postseason baseball weather Tue, Wed and Thu at Wrigley! Yup...cant get any better! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 13, 2017 Report Share Posted October 13, 2017 Blizzard of 2011 in Chicago: Here ya go Tom....... http://s-ak.buzzfed.com/static/enhanced/terminal01/2011/2/2/14/enhanced-buzz-14952-1296674534-29.jpg I remember Jim Cantore from TWC reporting from downtown Chicago during that blizzard that night and suddenly he saw lightning and went absolutely crazy on air. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Top notch postseason baseball weather Tue, Wed and Thu at Wrigley! Might be there Tom!! I was selected again with the ticket lottery; I have an opportunity to buy tickets tomorrow at 11. Hoping I can get through! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Gale watches are hoisted, and 50 mph pre-frontal gusts are possible Sat night. Should be an interesting weekend. #realwx! Yes! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 BAMwx says MJO points towards a developing -NAO & JB tweeted that there is currently record MJO surge in Phase 5 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Gale watches are hoisted, and 50 mph pre-frontal gusts are possible Sat night. Should be an interesting weekend. #realwx! Yes!Don't be surprise if ya get some real loud boomers too. Winds will be the real issue. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Currently, fairly nice evening and mild for this time of the year. Temps holding in the low 60s. Lets just say temporary. Brief cooldown early next week followed by a warm-up and then, a real cooldown. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Blizzard of 2011 in Chicago: Here ya go Tom....... http://s-ak.buzzfed.com/static/enhanced/terminal01/2011/2/2/14/enhanced-buzz-14952-1296674534-29.jpg I remember Jim Cantore from TWC reporting from downtown Chicago during that blizzard that night and suddenly he saw lightning and went absolutely crazy on air.Same here! He was on Michigan Ave at that time and actually saw multiple flashes. My lights flickered on and off a few times from the gusty winds. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Man, cannot wait for this to cycle back around when it's got actual cold air to play with. Snow just east of Superior, and this is the warm pattern remember. Nice winds for a "warm storm" Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Same here! He was on Michigan Ave at that timte and actually saw multiple flashes. My lights flickered on and off a few times from the gusty winds.I find it hilarious when Jim Cantore gets really excited when he see's lighting while reporting live . Overall, I like the guy. Ive been watching him for years on TWC. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Yeah, Cantore's a grin. Saved that biz from utter demise Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Models have been gradually trending south with the heavy rain. A couple models (like the 3k nam) are now keeping the main show tonight and Saturday south of my area, with perhaps only a half inch total falling here. Today's rain appears to be staying north of me. Growing excessively excited to see the rain and storms shifting SE over my area as models run. Better than starting over me and moving NW like the last 2 yrs.Looks like everything wants to be the opposite of last year, including last minute trends. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Turning the page to the tropics real quick, Hurricane Ophelia (CAT2) is now heading towards Europe. Will be off the coastline of Madrid in a couple of days and will have been downgraded to a CAT1 by then. Afterwards, it will be a strong low pressure area heading north towards Ireland with heavy rains and strong winds. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMB443 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 This is turning out to be a nice soaker for us - so far about half an inch, nice and steady. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Looks like everything wants to be the opposite of last year, including last minute trends.Yes sir. I absolutely am glad for that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 I couldn't ask for a better birthday present from the atmosphere. That Bering Sea low is a great sign going forward. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms tomorrow for IL 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 I couldn't ask for a better birthday present from the atmosphere. Screenshot_20171013-231522.png That Bering Sea low is a great sign going forward.Happy B day! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Happy B day!It's not til Monday, my friend, but thank you. I think it's going to be a good birthday. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 It's been a soggy night as training showers/storms have already dumped .84" at ORD with up to 1.7" in some spots locally. Latest RPM model is targeting SE IA/N IL/ S MI with the heaviest rains... Hancock building struck by lighting at 4:05am... Large part of the Midwest will see a severe wx outbreak later tonight...CPC just updated their outlook... http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif?1507985800270 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Its pouring buckets out there. Really enjoying hearing the raindrops hitting my rooftop continuously, instead of just seconds and having that sun come out. Nice soaker coming today and look-out tanite with big t'stms breaking out. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 It's been a soggy night as training showers/storms have already dumped .84" at ORD with up to 1.7" in some spots locally. Latest RPM model is targeting SE IA/N IL/ S MI with the heaviest rains... Hancock building struck by lighting at 4:05am... Large part of the Midwest will see a severe wx outbreak later tonight...CPC just updated their outlook... http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif?1507985800270Cant remember last time my area was in the "Slight" category. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 It's not til Monday, my friend, but thank you. I think it's going to be a good birthday. @ Tom Cool shot buddy! I think the Storm gods sent a signal that the torch has been passed to Chi-town going forward And, something that I didn't see forecast, more +RN on an east wind with a high baro. This CF wasn't progg'd to get south of me, yet it has pushed thru and now included in the FW, which I was hoping to avoid tbh since training T-storms are a recipe for basement water and we had weeks of that in early spring. This new SRC pattern really looking like the complete opposite of this past year's thus the new trend is SE vs NW. Imagine if we should score lower baro events come winter. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Btw: A a shock to the system for many on here as far as chilly weather is concern. I.E., my highs on my Sunday are forecasted to be in the 70's and lows in the 30's. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 ORD already at 1.22" of rain and this is just the beginning. Another 2 rounds coming..next big wave around Noon and the final round will finish off with a bang just after dinner time where severe storms are possible. Looking more likely a line of severe storms will form between 7pm - Midnight tonight. Higher rez models are now beginning to dial in on a deepening SLP coming out of E IA and into S/C WI later tonight into tomorrow. I think I saw the RPM flash rain/snow mix near Rhinelander, WI over night tonight as the storm strengthens and winds really pick up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 You might be scraping off some Frost on the way to work on Monday as the chilliest night/mornings of the season are expected. First widespread Frosts for the Midwest??? Kinda surprised how much its trended colder....trends continue??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 @ Tom Cool shot buddy! I thing the Storm gods sent a signal that the torch has been passed to Chi-town going forward And, something that I didn't see forecast, more +RN on an east wind with a high baro. This CF wasn't progg'd to get south of me, yet it has pushed thru and now included in the FW, which I was hoping to avoid tbh since training T-storms are a recipe for basement water and we had weeks of that in early spring. This new SRC pattern really looking like the complete opposite of this past year's thus the new trend is SE vs NW. Imagine if we should score lower baro events come winter. I was just thinking about the characteristics of this storm system and how it could play out in the future cycles. It's been a long duration event which started late evening yesterday as waves of precip broke out in IA/WI. Today, the main event takes shape and I like the recent trends of a more develop SLP moving across the GL's. Good signs pointing towards an active storm track through our region going forward. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 It's not til Monday, my friend, but thank you. I think it's going to be a good birthday. Well, in case I have flooding to deal with, I'll go ahead and say Happy B-day now as well! Now, blow out every candle so that wx wish you posted comes true!! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 So far here at my house I have received 0.33” of rain for this event. Right now I have cloudy skies and a temperature of 59° Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 (edited) You might be scraping off some Frost on the way to work on Monday as the chilliest night/mornings of the season are expected. First widespread Frosts for the Midwest??? Kinda surprised how much its trended colder....trends continue??? Can't help but notice that since that heatwave broke, the trend has been for warmth to under-achieve and/or get muted by cloud cvr etc from how it was forecast 3-5 days out. At least for here. Last weekend, GRR's 5-day for Marshall looked like a continuation of summer with most days depicted sunny and mild, if not warm. In reality, we got only 1.5 days of that. Mon b4 the front swept in, and half of Fri after the clouds finally mixed out. Got to 70 briefly here before eve. A day ago, they had me with sunny and hot for today, pre-CF so I planned to finish a landscape project. That's not happening though. Not digging in the mud, Edit - Asos unit takes reading at 20 min intervals @ our little airport, and it only reached 70 with two readings. Edited October 14, 2017 by jaster220 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 I was just thinking about the characteristics of this storm system and how it could play out in the future cycles. It's been a long duration event which started late evening yesterday as waves of precip broke out in IA/WI. Today, the main event takes shape and I like the recent trends of a more develop SLP moving across the GL's. Good signs pointing towards an active storm track through our region going forward.Great signs! I like that they are ramping up as they head our way. This is time stamped yesterday, but pretty amped for 1st half of Oct. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Can't help but notice that since that heatwave broke, the trend has been for warmth to under-achieve and/or get muted by cloud cvr etc from how it was forecast 3-5 days out. At least for here. Last weekend, GRR's 5-day for Marshall looked like a continuation of summer with most days depicted sunny and mild, if not warm. In reality, we got only 1.5 days of that. Mon b4 the front swept in, and half of Fri after the clouds finally mixed out. Got to 70 briefly here before eve. A day ago, they had me with sunny and hot for today, pre-CF so I planned to finish a landscape project. That's not happening though. Not digging in the mud, Edit - Asos unit takes reading at 20 min intervals @ our little airport, and it only reached 70 with two readings.I've noticed something similar for here. On multiple occasions we have had all models pointing towards 5-10 degrees warmer than what it actually was. OAX had to issue a last minute freeze warning this past week. Most models were showing in the ballpark of 36* for LNK, it got to 30. Last Tuesday, we were supposed to get into the 60s according to models, we had to rely on a late afternoon peek of sun to even get to 50. This is better than last year where models had a cool bias, so game on. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Love the model trends. Really like how theres that nice little subfreezing dot right next to me. Should wake up to my first frost and likely first sub-32 freeze for my birthday. Doesnt get much better than that. @Jaster, I'll put a few extra candles on the cake for us all if it will get a great winter that we can all enjoy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 It's been raining buckets here all morning long...waves and waves of heavy rain with rumbles of thunder. This stationary boundary is working its magic across N IL. After all the sunny, warm days in September, I forgot how dreary cloudy days can get. Great day to catch up on the DVR and watch some flicks! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMB443 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 Also pouring here with some nice thunder - great day, hoping we get something like this in the snow variety this winter! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 So far about 0.46 inches of rain here today. I think we should be able to get at least an inch maybe up to 1.5 with more activity forming to the southwest of my location now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 14, 2017 Report Share Posted October 14, 2017 So far about 0.46 inches of rain here today. I think we should be able to get at least an inch maybe up to 1.5 with more activity forming to the southwest of my location now.Asos saying 1.26" total as of 14:34 The updated NWS graphic is even more impressive. Must be legit, cuz GRR is usually the last regional office to bring any wind headlines to a party. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.