Doinko Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 GEM is pretty cold 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, ShawniganLake said: Huge step back from the 0z. Cut my snow from 45” to 0”. Just now, Doinko said: GEM is pretty cold Not enough snow in Shawnigan Lake 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: And it is now snowing!! 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Gfs clips the pnw next weekend. Drops a lot of cold air into the center of the country. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Getting breezy. Skies looking darker but sun still on trees. 5 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Gfs clips the pnw next weekend. Drops a lot of cold air into the center of the country. It gets pretty darn cold here too. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Down to 33 here…wind is very light offshore. Could be interesting here when the precip arrives I still don’t think it’ll amount to anything but fun atleast. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 30 with freezing fog here after a low of 28. This possible cold snap is almost seeming too easy at this point. Incredible model agreement on the big picture. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 34 now with east wind picking up. Still sunny but clouds are moving in from the west. Radar looks fun. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Big airmass into the CONUS. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It gets pretty darn cold here too. Meh... that is a disappointing GFS run through at least day 11 or 12. It shows highs in the 40s and dry next weekend and into early next week. As opposed to the overrunning snowstorm that the 00Z run showed at that time. But of course the next run could be very different again. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 West of Olympia. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Short-term models all calling for a @MR.SNOWMIZER Special later today. It’s probably going to happen. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 00z gfs sucked south of PDX , 12z is a lot better down here. But the 06z was best of both worlds. Cold everywhere, and snow for most except I guess not in BC, 2 Kold 2 snow there. 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 FWIW... the 06Z ECMWF showed temps in the mid 30s with some lowland snow around noon today before temps jump into the 40s by 2 or 3 p.m. when the SW wind breaks through. 5 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Yo @MR.SNOWMIZER check your PM. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Not sure what the problem has been with the GEM. As was mentioned the 0z finally came out on some sites and was cold. This run seems to be very slow again. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Meh... that is a disappointing GFS run through at least day 11 or 12. It shows highs in the 40s and dry next weekend and into early next week. As opposed to the overrunning snowstorm that the 00Z run showed at that time. But of course the next run could be very different again. It's the GFS. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Overall though the GFS isn’t great. One bite at the apple and it slides east. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Not sure what the problem has been with the GEM. As was mentioned the 0z finally came out on some sites and was cold. This run seems to be very slow again. GEM looks pretty cold, it's loaded on Pivotal. Looks like a bit of snow at the end too 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, snow_wizard said: It's the GFS. Normal clown range flip-flopping. Almost always happens. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Not sure what the problem has been with the GEM. As was mentioned the 0z finally came out on some sites and was cold. This run seems to be very slow again. I’ve seen the whole run on tidbits. It’s meh. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Everleigh Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Currently 29* here in my part of Yelm. Low of 25.5* this morning. Waiting to see how this precip falls.....Maybe I'll see a flake or two!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 The GEM is almost the opposite of the GFS, it’s essentially too far west with the pattern for a true blast. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: FWIW... the 06Z ECMWF showed temps in the mid 30s with some lowland snow around noon today before temps jump into the 40s by 2 or 3 p.m. when the SW wind breaks through. Then possibly down to freezing again later tonight. Too bad that brief shot of warmth comes through. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Lakeview hit -6 this morning. Burns -2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 9 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Short-term models all calling for a @MR.SNOWMIZER Special later today. It’s probably going to happen. 32 degrees here with moisture a fee miles to the south. 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Overall though the GFS isn’t great. One bite at the apple and it slides east. The big picture is still pretty much the same though. As usual it's all over the place with the details. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Lakeview hit -6 this morning. Burns -2 Kind of like earlier in the winter. Cold even before the good stuff gets here. The air mass coming in behind this cold front is even colder than the one behind the last trough. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Then possibly down to freezing again later tonight. Too bad that brief shot of warmth comes through. Maybe early tomorrow morning... but the ECMWF shows temps in the upper 30s through most of the night. The dewpoint stays above freezing tonight and all day tomorrow then goes below freezing with clearing tomorrow night. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The big picture is still pretty much the same though. As usual it's all over the place with the details. Yeah, don’t misinterpret what I’m saying. I’m just commenting on the run at face value, not making a forecast. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I’ve seen the whole run on tidbits. It’s meh. Nice looking GOA block. Details kind of suck for us. Trough doesn’t really tap into any of the really cold air. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Cold flow offshore low northwest good flow cold snow strong. 1 2 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Petty wintry out there this morning. Dark and foggy with heavily frosted trees. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Could start flurrying here in a bit judging by radar. 2 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Impressive. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Impressive. I’m on my way out there to green mountain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Impressive. About the 2nd shade of green for me! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Holy pancakes Rob 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted January 21, 2023 Report Share Posted January 21, 2023 Light rain here 31.0 degrees 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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