PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Requiem]

2006 redux? 1950? 2023?

[Doinko]

Late January will make 1950 look like 2010.

[Anti Marine Layer]

PNW January 2023

Lots of ARs? More low level snow? Ice storm of the century? Or will California get the brunt of it all?

[Anti Marine Layer]

Happy New Year

[snow_wizard]

Pretty cool show at the Needle.

Happy New Year Everyone!

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

PNW January 2023

Lots of ARs? More low level snow? Ice storm of the century? Or will California get the brunt of it all?

You'll get the rain and we'll get the cold and snow!

[snow_wizard]

EPS control says...let's do this!

[snow_wizard]

2023 arrived and the gunk cleared out.  Hmmm...

[Doinko]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

EPS control says...let's do this!

Would this be a pattern that gives us undercutting snowstorms?

[NWbyNW]

Listening to explosions going off and watching them light up the sky around the city and over the reservation lands.  I hope everyone has a great new year and a superb 2023.  

[Doinko]

Very dense fog right now

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Would this be a pattern that gives us undercutting snowstorms?

It would probably give some places snow before that weakness fills in under the block.

 

[NWbyNW]

Wow, the moon is allowing for a surprisingly BRIGHT night over Westport looking out towards the Pacific.  Impressive actually. 

 

[TacomaWx]

It’s January…and it’s not snowing yet. Matt I hope you’re right about this month!

[HuskyMaestro]

Happy New Years amigos, may the rest of this winter be blessed with good heavy snow and for all of us to have good health for the year!

[The Blob]

27 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Very dense fog right now

Oh good, I wasn't sure if it was smoke from the fireworks going off in my neighborhood. 

[Christensen87]

Happy 2023 everyone! Here’s to some more fun weather to track soon. 

Go Hawks! 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Happy new year everybody!! Some good ballgames and model runs upcoming today!!

[MillCreekMike]

Happy 2023 y’all!! Have a hunch this will be a fun year here!

[MWG]

Happy New Year!!! We just got home and it's 34F and foggy! Let's have some snowy January and February too!! 

[Blizzard777]

Happy New Years from beautiful Prescott Az!  

Same weather as back home …yikes 

[Anti Marine Layer]

7 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

EPS control says...let's do this!

What happened to the SSW?

[Anti Marine Layer]

Dead start to 2023

[The Blob]

31 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

What happened to the SSW?

It went NNE

[TT-SEA]

10 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

GFS has definitely been a NW outlier with this storm, even among its own ensembles. It's a point of discussion with NWS FSD over here - which track to believe. I've been riding with the Euro more than usual lately as the GFS seems to be flailing worse than usual and the NWS seems to be thinking the same. The Canadian has remained a nice middle ground and it's showing about 16 inches. For reference, FSD's highest daily snowfall is 18.1 inches on 3/10/56. 

12Z GFS shifted south. 

And the 06Z ECMWF was completely insane for your area... the biggest snowstorm of your life?

 

[AlTahoe]

30"+ of heavy wet snow is frozen solid this morning. Snow blowing and shoveling is gonna be a work out. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

30"+ of heavy wet snow is frozen solid this morning. Snow blowing and shoveling is gonna be a work out. 

Do you have a snowblower?  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, Blizzard777 said:

Happy New Years from beautiful Prescott Az!  

Same weather as back home …yikes 

I feel like the hotel I stayed at when I was in Prescott was right on the other side of that highway. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

2022 saw slight below normal temps in Spokane.  Wonder when the last time that happened.

We have had 95 inches of snow so far this winter in Leavenworth, which is what we average for the entire winter, and still another 3 months to go.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We just gotta get through this month!

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We just gotta get through this month!

Days get longer faster after that.

[MossMan]

Before I head back home to the land of no internet, just want to say Happy New Year! Chilly cloudy morning. 37. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

8 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

2023 arrived and the gunk cleared out.  Hmmm...

Not here

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Days get longer faster after that.

February has treated many of us very well! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

February has treated many of us very well! 

February is the new January.

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

February is the new January.

Is March the new February?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, Mr Marine Layer said:

Is March the new February?

I would say January is. In the past 20 years or so, the two months seem to have swapped their typical roles, at least in the lowlands.

[Phishy Wx]

Greetings from humid NYC.  53 today. been pretty warm, rained yesterday.

so any pattern changes on the horizon back in the PNW?

[TT-SEA]

Nice New Years Day morning...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hit freezing this morning. Nice day. 

[Deweydog]

Drove (sober) through some of the the craziest fog last night. It was like hitting a wall a couple times. Analog????

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF is more reasonable with the Wednesday wind event compared to the crazy 12Z run yesterday (on bottom for comparison).  

[TT-SEA]

Here is Oregon map...

 

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is more reasonable with the Wednesday wind event compared to the crazy 12Z run yesterday (on bottom for comparison).  

You beat me to it.  Very glad to see this.  Still enough wind to be fun for people who like it without being destructive.

[snow_wizard]

Decent 0z and 12z GFS runs today.  Both show things getting chilly around mid month.

[snow_wizard]

For the people who are hung up on the SSW...

We really don't need it to flip the pattern.  The current and forecasted AO is already minus.  The first thing an SSW often does is flip the AO from plus to minus.  That having been said an SSW could be enough to shake up the pattern in this case, but the models are showing that at mid month regardless.  I've learned many times to never put your eggs in one basket in this game.

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF shows temps dropping into the mid 30s by early evening tonight.  At least that's a bit chilly.

[Deweydog]

First weenie of 2023!

Happy New Year and god bless us everyone! 

[AlTahoe]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Do you have a snowblower?  

yep a Honda and a craftsman. still took me 2 hours. there was a layer of water on the bottom of all that

[ShawniganLake]

What happened to Phil and Rob.  They’ve been absent for a long time.