PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[Cold Snap]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

That would have been horrific! 

I still managed a 3 inch depth going into the cold from the snow that came before the switch to rain and after it switched back to snow so it definitely could have been worse but it was still a bummer to just miss out on the higher amounts.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

21 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Meh…It was okay. Could have used a few more inches. 

I only had about 10" new that morning. Much of the rest of the metro area got 12–14". A tad disappointing.

[Doinko]

Looks like trough digs a bit farther offshore

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I only had about 10" new that morning. Much of the rest of the metro area got 12–14". A tad disappointing.

I’m sorry for the disappointing snow

[SouthHillFrosty]

A little worse for the WV

[WeatherGeek2022]

10 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

New forecast just dropped 

sounds about right either a taste of the mountains or sweet disappointment with cold rain.

 

 

whatever it does though just please don't shift into another ice storm...

[RentonHill]

[Seattle]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

I did qualify it by saying most... but I remember rain turning to heavy snow in Seattle on 12/20 and a biting cold east wind a couple days later.    It was really impressive from downtown Seattle north and eastward and not likely to be exceeded this time around.

It was very dynamic day indeed. Wet snow the night of 19th into the early morning hours of 20th that fully melted under heavy, 39F rain that switched to heavy snow and a flash freeze. But we only got about 1-1.5" in Seattle. I think Marysville north it was 'impressive', i.e. more substantial snow. 

[MossMan]

10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

A little worse for the WV

Just into the purple it appears! 

[TT-SEA]

Wow... the 18Z erodes the cold really fast and decides to put western WA in a warm bubble already by Saturday.

[WeatherGeek2022]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... the 18Z erodes the cold really fast and decides to put western WA in a warm bubble already by Saturday.

nah we just can't be having this now can we. druncle trying to ruin the fun before it even has a chance to start.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... the 18Z erodes the cold really fast and decides to put western WA in a warm bubble already by Saturday.

Can’t have a good model ride without some ups and downs!

[RentonHill]

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... the 18Z erodes the cold really fast and decides to put western WA in a warm bubble already by Saturday.

We fail again!!!!

[Omegaraptor]

Aren't we pretty late in the season for a long-hitting Arctic event anyway?

[High Desert Mat?]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... the 18Z erodes the cold really fast and decides to put western WA in a warm bubble already by Saturday.

You just love to be the bearer don’t you? 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

You just love to be the bearer don’t you? 

I’m sure the 18Z would have involved super long-playing cold if only Tim wasn’t around to post it.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

You just love to be the bearer don’t you? 

I post things I find interesting.    You can't ignore me highlighting the ridiculous cold meteograms early this morning and snow maps from the 00Z runs and then call me out for highlighting the model trends today to erode the cold air faster.    Its an age old discussion on here.   Some only want what they consider to be good news and other people want all the news.    I fall into the second category.  

[joelgombiner]

You have to laugh when a good rug pull on the 18z leads to a forum meltdown. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Winter cancel 

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

You have to laugh when a good rug pull on the 18z leads to a forum meltdown. 

Right on schedule too. I told everyone to gird!!!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, joelgombiner said:

You have to laugh when a good rug pull on the 18z leads to a forum meltdown. 

For some value of “rug pull.” It’s still modelled to get plenty cold. It’s just no longer modelled to be a long-lasting March 1951 replay so for some that counts as an epic bust I guess.

[SouthHillFrosty]

[MossMan]

Welp since winter is finished…What are everyone’s summer plans? Looking forward to jetsking in 95 degree blazing sun at Lake Entiat a few times this year! Cannot wait!! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Welp since winter is finished…What are everyone’s summer plans? Looking forward to jetsking in 95 degree blazing sun at Lake Entiat a few times this year! Cannot wait!! 

Hoping to finally take the road trip up through Whistler to Lillooet via the Duffey Lake Road that I was going to do last summer before a family crisis had other plans for me.

[SouthHillFrosty]

GEFS Is slightly snowier and colder….

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

GEFS Is slightly snowier and colder….

Wow. Odin be praised. 

[Christensen87]

Yeah, 18z shows no more cold at all after next week. CFS as well, bummer. 

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

GEFS Is slightly snowier and colder….

We’re going to want ensemble member 20. Hits us up here with a double dogbanger

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Christensen87 said:

Yeah, 18z shows no more cold at all after next week. CFS as well, bummer. 

Justin is going to Hawaii during the last week of March.   Another round of winter is definitely coming.

[RentonHill]

OUTLIER OUTLIER OUTLIER ALRRT

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, RentonHill said:

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It’s party poopers like you that ruin a good forum meltdown. I hope you’re happy with yourself.

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

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LFG!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Didn’t the operational GFS perform well for the Dec event? Had us pegged for a sub-freezing high several days out.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

5 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

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Omg  

[SouthHillFrosty]

18z GEFS rn might carry us 

 

 

[TT-SEA]

36 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

We fail again!!!!

Has to be my favorite meme.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Ensembles say…

[TT-SEA]

14 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

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I am certain the 00Z run will be cooler in the long range... and be back to assuming massive accumulating snow with temps in the 40s.   And all will be good in the world with pepto maps will soothe frayed nerves!  

[Phil]

52 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... the 18Z erodes the cold really fast and decides to put western WA in a warm bubble already by Saturday.

That looks like springtime GFS NPAC cutoff bias again. Getting close to the time of year where that will be a problem (March-June is when it’s the worst).

[thisisacreativename]

10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

LFG!