Jump to content

PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


Recommended Posts

KPTV updated their forecast

Mark is going with Trace - 4 inches for any place west of the Cascades until models converge a bit more.

image.thumb.png.6fb99d9f8453ebc08e989a58c0f05c3f.png

 

"

There’s a decent chance some area between Longview/Astoria (north end) and Eugene/Florence (south end) gets a surge of snow showers Wednesday around sunset and beyond. At that point it would be cold enough to stick anywhere. If your neighborhood is going to get more than 1/2″ of snow this week, this is the most likely time. Gut feeling is that we’ll see a huge variety of snow totals west of the Cascades. I’m thinking somewhere between a Dusting to 4″. Really! A big contrast in totals as we saw last week. We hopefully can narrow that down a bit tomorrow.

"

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

KPTV updated their forecast

Mark is going with Trace - 4 inches for any place west of the Cascades until models converge a bit more.

image.thumb.png.6fb99d9f8453ebc08e989a58c0f05c3f.png

 

"

There’s a decent chance some area between Longview/Astoria (north end) and Eugene/Florence (south end) gets a surge of snow showers Wednesday around sunset and beyond. At that point it would be cold enough to stick anywhere. If your neighborhood is going to get more than 1/2″ of snow this week, this is the most likely time. Gut feeling is that we’ll see a huge variety of snow totals west of the Cascades. I’m thinking somewhere between a Dusting to 4″. Really! A big contrast in totals as we saw last week. We hopefully can narrow that down a bit tomorrow.

"

He’s to warm Saturday-Monday. 

  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

My brother said they got a couple inches of snow on the south coast in February 2018. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

The  GEM, RGEM and NAM have generally produced solutions where PDX is too far north to get much if any snow Wednesday-Thursday, the 12z UKMET also moved the bullseye well south of PDX whereas the 00z run had it right over the metro. 

With the 18z euro also scaling back on snow in PDX and producing higher totals around SLE and south it raises a question of if this is just noise and meaningless fluctuations or if this will end up being the start of a trend. 

The ICON and GFS are the two remaining models that produce very significant totals in PDX metro. 

I suspect 1-2 inches of snow is pretty doable around the north WV and maybe more likely than not, but it looks like some areas can end up missing out still.

I think we'll do okay in Washington county. Maybe 1-3" if we are lucky

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

52 mph gust at Paine Field in Everett. Westerly surge looks pretty significant tonight between Everett and Mt. Vernon and west through Whidbey and Camano Islands.

  • Like 1

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 88"

2023-24: 3"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Doinko said:

I don't think it's rained more than a trace here yet since the snow on Valentine's day

Same here. We average 9” in February and we are at maybe 2-2.5”.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't understand how the weather service and TV mets can say we are going to get so little snow when the models, especially the Euro Mark Nelson's favorite, show so much and they say so little. The forecast for Sandy only says rain/snow mix. Not even a long period of snow. It's hard to know what to believe.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

50 and cloudy in Sublimity.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

50 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Didn’t see any Sasquatch in this.  But Phil wins. Much windier than mossman’s house

airborne Sasquatch’s are a legit possibility in some of the wind videos on my phone. 😅 Too much R-rated language to post, but y’all would have a nice laugh at my expense. they include me getting knocked on my ass, hit in the face with a flying trashcan, and other stuff.

  • Popcorn 1
  • Windy 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Not picking up very well via the pics but the sky is a very interesting color currently! 

70701DC5-67D8-4BF2-AE77-A916F2E8B511.jpeg

4033D48A-B7F4-416E-88B9-1317568FBDA9.jpeg

It looks pink.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A bit unrelated but today I learned that acid snow exists and is produced in the same way as acid rain. In Pervouralsk, Russia during Feb 2019, while we were enjoying some historical heavy snow in our own backyards, they had accumulating acid green snow over there because of all the industrial plants chugging out so much pollution 🤢. Parts of Siberia are pretty nasty overall cause of the industrial plants doing god knows what to the environment, most infamously Norilsk. 

  • Sad 1
  • Snow 1
  • Sick 3
  • Facepalm 1

𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴,

𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯.

𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱.

Reddit: HotlineMaestro

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have decided to ignore the NAM. Join me in my revolutionary act! #NAMisoverparty 

  • Like 2

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

34 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said:

A bit unrelated but today I learned that acid snow exists and is produced in the same way as acid rain. In Pervouralsk, Russia during Feb 2019, while we were enjoying some historical heavy snow in our own backyards, they had accumulating acid green snow over there because of all the industrial plants chugging out so much pollution 🤢. Parts of Siberia are pretty nasty overall cause of the industrial plants doing god knows what to the environment, most infamously Norilsk. 

Can you pass the acid snow?

05A4CFD3-C32C-4ABC-96E1-99C9EFB3E5CC.jpeg

  • Like 1
  • lol 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

ICON really nails Washington County again. I would definitely not mind!

It orients the precip pretty well over us here too, most the icon has shown for this area. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

If this hit in November, feels like we'd see significant power outages. Was just walking my dog and holy shite.

After some breezes earlier it had been dead calm here. 😔

  • Sad 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks like this is the final tally... ICON shows about 24 hours of snow in the Portland area from Wednesday morning through early Thursday morning.  

icon-all-washington-total_snow_10to1-7168000.png

Weird how that banding sets up. Even Silverton/ Molalla get hit hard. Our area looks to have around a foot on this map. But Salem gets donut holed. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...