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PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


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Took a walk around at home during lunch, just lovely!! My deck snow pile has been revived! Just got back to work and it’s starting to snow a bit again! 

87D790C0-A3D2-42CF-A66D-46827AE71EA2.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Just now, Doinko said:

Still cloudy, hasn't snowed since the morning. Hoping we can get some soon

Don't think we have much of a shot of anything until after 4 PM at the earliest and more likely after 7 PM.

We are going to have the worst post count/hours model riding to measured snowfall ratio in the history of this forum if this busts here.

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1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

Don't think we have much of a shot of anything until after 4 PM at the earliest and more likely after 7 PM.

We are going to have the worst post count/hours model riding to measured snowfall ratio in the history of this forum if this busts here.

I think you guys will be golden. 

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

Don't think we have much of a shot of anything until after 4 PM at the earliest and more likely after 7 PM.

We are going to have the worst post count/hours model riding to measured snowfall ratio in the history of this forum if this busts here.

Not such a bad thing having the best precip fall after dark though. 

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5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Good sign IMO. Keep the moist/warm air close as much as possible. Just gonna be an agonizing wait for some folks but it'll work out.

Yeah, such cruelty. They need what we’re kind of trying to put off as long as possible. It’d be nice to get a nice burst after sunset then they can have it.

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  • Weenie 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Today's CFS had some very cold weather in mid-March.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, Christensen87 said:

Keeps going back and forth as usual, many runs show it warming up starting around the 8th. 

True, but interesting to see the potential. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, JW8 said:

How will that low NOT shoot moisture right in to the PS? Not sure what the models are seeing that I'm not.

https://atmos.uw.edu/current-weather/northwest-ir-satellite?speed=10&length=12&end=22Feb2023;12:30

I was wondering that same thing but I think it might have to do with a drying effect from the east winds. Not 100% sure though.

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2024 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 2

Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86)

Number of 90+ days - 0

Number of 95+ days - 0

Number of 60+ lows - 0

 

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Looks like snow is really starting to accumulate over towards PDX and east of the Willamette River and north of HWY 26. So a large part of the PDX metro. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Radar shows a lot of blue over me and from Lebanon, Salem and north and east to Sandy including PDX  and Gresham but not doing anything here.  Temp is bouncing between 39-40.  Still getting a little southerly drift.  It's killing me.  I might moderate a degree or two being along the creek but still too warm yet for anything. 

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35 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

The best dynamics have trended north in the models over the past day or 2. It originally looked like the bullseye would be more Malahat to Nanaimo.  Now it’s more Ladysmith to Qualicum.  We’ll have to see what transpires here more south, late this afternoon and this evening, as a little more moisture lifts north and things possible destabilize a bit. 

I kind of figured this would happen, Nanaimo's a snow magnet. They've often get hit even in the dry blasts like Jan 2017 or Feb 2018. Hopefully some of that moisture can break through the outflow. Clouds are a bit thicker here now and I noticed a few small flakes making it to the surface. Looks like nearly 6" up at my parent's place in Nanoose 

IMG-20230222-WA0001.jpg

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Makes me nauseous!! No dripping here thankfully! Temp is 33.1 degrees with a DP  of 28! Trees are still caked! The snow has evaporated from the roads it looks like though. 

826F6C3E-310D-4627-9A7F-8E0ED85D7E80.jpeg

Dewpoint is low here so not much is really melting off the ground.    And the shaded sides of the trees still perfectly caked in snow.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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That band over PDX is pretty impressive. 

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Uhhhh...

snku_006h-imp.us_nw.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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