October 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

ICON model slides a cold low into the PNW early next week.

 

Alberta is getting hammered with snow today. Could be the snowiest October day in history some places, with more than 16” measured

 

Sheridan Lake in the BC Cariboo reported 18” of snow today. Thousands of power outages as many trees are still leafed out.

 

 

Did you hear that PDX was a little warmer than anticipated today?      Any news of early snow and cold is decidedly fake.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The ICON would bring a lot of rain to NW Oregon next week.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS looking much more like the ICON.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just imagine this in 2 months!

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Tim wouldn't mind this!

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Check out the block!

 

[BLI snowman]

My post was in mocking response to the loud complaints by some on here today that global warming is why PDX reached 70 today with sun and southerly flow ahead of this cold front.   Never would have happened 20 years ago.   

 

Not what's been said of course, just that we wouldn't be wildly celebrating a week of minor league "cold" nearly as fervently 20 years ago. Pretty basic stuff.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Just imagine this in 2 months!

 

Holy ****! Would be a monster snowstorm for PDX 2 months from now. Heck even just 1 month from now!

 

[FroYoBro]

ICON model slides a cold low into the PNW early next week.

 

Alberta is getting hammered with snow today. Could be the snowiest October day in history some places, with more than 16” measured

 

Sheridan Lake in the BC Cariboo reported 18” of snow today. Thousands of power outages as many trees are still leafed out.

Sounds fun.

[BLI snowman]

Impressive to think that we might miss some record lows by only 5 to 10 degrees here next week.

[MossMan]

Was 45 and sideways rain in Monroe when I was there late this afternoon. Felt like December!

[Timmy]

Impressive to think that we might miss some record lows by only 5 to 10 degrees here next week.

20 years ago we would probably be breaking those records by 5 to 10 degrees. The times, they are a changin’!

[seattleweatherguy]

Check out the block!

 

That looks amazing

[Deweydog]

This place SUCKS.

[TT-SEA]

That looks amazing

 

Check out that amazingly persistent ridging in Alaska and along the East Coast.    Been stuck for weeks.

 

Luckily certain people on here don't live there!  

[Jesse]

My post was in mocking response to the loud complaints by some on here today that global warming is why PDX reached 70 today with sun and southerly flow ahead of this cold front.   Never would have happened 20 years ago.   

Today didn’t feature southerly flow. It was actually NW flow behind the weak drizzle front this morning. This is like meteorology 101 stuff.

[Jesse]

This place SUCKS.

I always thought you liked it here. Weird.

[Jbolin]

For the third straight year no less.

Holy ****! Would be a monster snowstorm for PDX 2 months from now. Heck even just 1 month from now!

[Jesse]

Gorgeous evening light in Hood River earlier. This is looking SW up the valley, from Panorama Point.

 

[Jesse]

Digging the cool/wet trend on the 00z.

[TT-SEA]

Today didn’t feature southerly flow. It was actually NW flow behind the weak drizzle front this morning. This is like meteorology 101 stuff.

 

 

Did not pay attention to the details down there in Blythe.   

 

But... we had strong S and SW winds up here in the Seattle area today ahead of the front which quickly switched to the north this evening as the c-zone passed through.     So it does not surprise me that it was warmer down there.  

[TT-SEA]

From Cliff Mass... drought freak out!   

 

 

 

But.... its soooooooo dry in western WA.   I thought the only wet place is in my backyard.  

[Jesse]

Did not pay attention to the details down there in Blythe.

 

But... we had strong S and SW winds up here in the Seattle area today ahead of the front which quickly switched to the north this evening as the c-zone passed through. So it does not surprise me that it was warmer down there.

S and SW winds related to a c-zone can often be somewhat localized.

[TT-SEA]

S and SW winds related to a c-zone can often be somewhat localized.

 

 

OLM had SW winds most of the day as well.  

[BLI snowman]

From Cliff Mass... drought freak out!   

 

 

 

But.... its soooooooo dry in western WA.   I thought the only wet place is in my backyard.  

 

Right? These guys just don't know sh*t.

 

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?West

 

Wettest September on record at Rattlesnake Ridge, aka the real Western WA.

[Phil]

Check out that amazingly persistent ridging in Alaska and along the East Coast. Been stuck for weeks.

 

Luckily certain people on here don't live there!

Trollolololol.

[Front Ranger]

Any post longing for a true region wide system must be answered by localized rain reports in rain-favored areas.

[TT-SEA]

Right? These guys just don't know sh*t.

 

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?West

 

Wettest September on record at Rattlesnake Ridge, aka the real Western WA.

 

I think these maps are painted way too generously to freak people out.

 

Its been wetter than normal for the last year.    And around normal for 2018.    Situation is VERY DIRE in western WA.   And Cliff Mass is definitely freaking out about this craaaaaaaaazy drought.   

 

2017-18 "water year" rainfall departures:

 

SEA  +1.82

 

SEA WFO  +5.24

 

OLM   +2.51

 

BLI  +1.57

 

HQM  +1.55

[Jesse]

OLM had SW winds most of the day as well.

Strong NW or WNW winds at PDX all afternoon.

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KPDX&num=48&raw=0&banner=off

 

Same with Kelso.

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KKLS&num=25&raw=0&banner=off

 

Yesterday was the southerly flow day. Today was more of a CAA day behind the front, with WNW or NW flow at 500mb.

[TT-SEA]

Trollolololol.

 

 

Actually I was trolling some members in the PNW.   Did not think I was trolling you... but I can see that from your perspective.  

[Jesse]

It’s ironic to watch someone who continually freaks out about average rainfall mock people for making maybe a quarter as many posts about a legitimately historic drought.

[Jesse]

Any post longing for a true region wide system must be answered by localized rain reports in rain-favored areas.

Sure seems that way.

[Front Ranger]

Strong NW or WNW winds at PDX all afternoon.

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KPDX&num=48&raw=0&banner=off

 

Same with Kelso.

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KKLS&num=25&raw=0&banner=off

 

Yesterday was the southerly flow day. Today was more of a CAA day behind the front, with WNW or NW flow at 500mb.

Eh, more so tomorrow but it's kind of a near miss pattern for NW OR. Clipper to the north. Next week may yield better cold anomaly pattern in your area.

[TT-SEA]

Strong NW or WNW winds at PDX all afternoon.

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KPDX&num=48&raw=0&banner=off

 

Same with Kelso.

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KKLS&num=25&raw=0&banner=off

 

Yesterday was the southerly flow day. Today was more of a CAA day behind the front, with WNW or NW flow at 500mb.

 

 

Again... I made an assumption based on what happened in the Seattle area today.     It was very windy ahead of the cold front and then the wind switched to north behind the cold front.    I did not think Portland was behind the cold front this morning.   It took until 6 p.m. to come through Seattle.

[WeatherArchive]

It’s ironic to watch someone who continually freaks out about average rainfall mock people for making maybe a quarter as many posts about a legitimately historic drought.

Didn't they say 80 something days without a drop of rain in a row? Wouldn't that be a drought even in Dallas Texas?

[Jesse]

Again... I made an assumption based on what happened in the Seattle area today. It was very windy ahead of the cold front and the wind switched to north behind the cold front. I did not think Portland was behind the cold front this morning. It took until 6 p.m. to come through Seattle.

That was the CZ. The primary cold front was this morning.

[BLI snowman]

I think these maps are painted way too generously to freak people out.

 

Its been wetter than normal for the last year.    And around normal for 2018.    Situation is VERY DIRE in western WA.   And Cliff Mass is definitely freaking out about this craaaaaaaaazy drought.   

 

2017-18 "water year" rainfall departures:

 

SEA  +1.82

 

SEA WFO  +5.24

 

OLM   +2.51

 

BLI  +1.57

 

HQM  +1.55

 

SEA is -1.47" for the year to date, OLM is -2.43", and HQM is -2.05".

 

Not difficult to see why those areas are in the "abnormally dry" to "moderate drought" categories, considering the summer we had.

 

Down here we are running about a -10" deficit for the year to date, and I am in Western WA at last check 

[TT-SEA]

It’s ironic to watch someone who continually freaks out about average rainfall mock people for making maybe a quarter as many posts about a legitimately historic drought.

 

I am not freaking out about our normal rainfall in western WA.   Its business as usual.    I am mocking those who think we should all be deeply concerned about drought up here and the only place in the state that is actually wet is my backyard.  

[Phil]

Actually I was trolling some members in the PNW. Did not think I was trolling you... but I can see that from your perspective.

I just figured I had it coming after trolling you through the entire month of June.

[TT-SEA]

SEA is -1.47" for the year to date, OLM is -2.43", and HQM is -2.05".

 

Not difficult to see why those areas are in the "abnormally dry" to "moderate drought" categories, considering the summer we had.

 

Down here we are running about a -10" deficit for the year to date, and I am in Western WA at last check 

 

 

SEA is just over an inch below normal for 2018?    Why didn't you say that before?   Wow.   I had no idea how bad it has been.  That is a serious situation.  

 

We must always be at 125% of normal rain or higher.