TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 So the whole 'absolutely crazy' thing means nothing to you now?? You flip on snow/cold easier than you flip on the Seahawks. And that's saying something. The cold is coming... but I am not sure about snow. I was expecting it to improve. Some places will definitely get snow but I think some places might be left out. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 30, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 That was ridiculously disappointing. The amount of complaining, I mean. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 A bit of a north/south gradient on the 00z EURO though. Looking at temps, they are fairly similar to the 12z PDX-south. Seattle-north is colder. Sub-freezing highs early next week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Some people are either just being trolls or don't know how to properly compare runs. For the Euro, we only have two runs a day. To compare hours side by side, you have to look at the previous one from 24 hours ago. And this Euro run was easily better for every frame through day 8 than the one 24 hours ago. And it gets colder than any frame from the 12z as well.0z runs are 4PM our time, close to the warmest time of day. 12z is 4AM, close to the coldest time of the day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 It's a fact of life, every model accurately depicts actual snowfall, 5 days out all the time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Both the FV-3 and EURO trended east with the cold. Hard to be happy about that. It's over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 30, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 It's over. Fork this winter, shut down the forum. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The cold is coming... but I am not sure about snow. I was expecting it to improve. Some places will definitely get snow but I think some places might be left out. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 EURO showing Monday highs BLI: 23Seattle: 30Oly: 33 Tuesday BLI: 27Seattle: 31Oly: 32 Wednesday BLI: 37Sea: 39OLY: 41 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 There is no second round or reload on the 00Z ECMWF... so this is total snow for the entire event. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 It's decent blocking. Just not great.Tepid, not decent. 540dm over Anchorage is solidly in the tepid shade. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 We might get very little snow going into the cold. Does not look like much for me either. At least down here this sort of cold onshore flow never really leads to widespread big accumulations. Works MUCH better for anyone on a hill though. You get a few lowland areas that get lucky under some showers and might score a quick inch or two. The only reliable way PDX can score big widespread snow totals is with a good overrunning event, east winds and a low taking a favorable track out of the south. No PSCZ to save our butts here. I'll worry about those details once we actually have cold air though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Well it was fun while it lasted ... night Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 0z WRF: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Is our coldest February on record already in jeopardy? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Interestingly EURO showing NW Oregon cooler than the Puget Sound region on Wednesday with highs only mid-upper 30s PDX-EUG. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Less than 12z.... I thought Tim said this run was going to be 'absolutely crazy'?!?!?!? Get him!!!!!!I like how it's showing heavier amounts east of Portland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 There is no second round or reload on the 00Z ECMWF... so this is total snow for the entire event. Not bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Interestingly EURO showing NW Oregon cooler than the Puget Sound region on Wednesday with highs only mid-upper 30s PDX-EUG. Sunny up here and cloudy down there that day per the ECMWF. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Watch 6z GFS early tomorrow morning trolling the s**t out of us with 850s -13c to -17c (PDX to Seattle) Lol This is still hands out the best pattern we've seen all Winter. Period. No uncertainties. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Tepid, not decent. 540dm over Anchorage is solidly in the tepid shade. It's not always all about Anchorage (or alliteration). Prior to the block merger of the developing NE Pacific high and the Alaskan high, you have fairly strong blocking extending well into the Arctic. And that is what establishes the initial load of cold air to push south. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 March 1989 is probably a pretty good analog for what the EURO is showing. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 0z WRF: Thanks for sharing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Tepid, not decent. 540dm over Anchorage is solidly in the tepid shade. Sub-510dm heights over Vancouver Island in an Arctic airmass is pretty impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Sunny up here and cloudy down there that day per the ECMWF. Minor overrunning event down this way. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Is our coldest February on record already in jeopardy? Pretty incredible how fast expectations escalate, in all seriousness. Bound to lead to disappointment. Classic... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I see a lot of cold east wind on the 00z EURO Day 8+ as the low drifts southwestward offshore and that arctic air holds in place over the Columbia Basin(especially below 4000'). Bank on that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Wow, what a lot of pointlessly negative commentary on a run we would have normally been pretty happy with had the expectations not been so high. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Next Thursday is very chilly in Western Oregon. High of only 33 at PDX 38 at SLE. Temps go well into the 20s that night too... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Next Thursday is very chilly in Western Oregon. High of only 33 at PDX 38 at SLE. Temps go well into the 20s that night too... All related to where that ULL ends up. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 March 1989 is probably a pretty good analog for what the EURO is showing.Is there an echo in here??? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Even next Friday is 40/25 at SLE, 39/25 at PDX. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Mark said pretty likely we at least see snow in the air and just about guaranteed some snow in the hills. Bullish for Mark 5 days out. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I see a lot of cold east wind on the 00z EURO Day 8+ as the low drifts southwestward offshore and that arctic air holds in place over the Columbia Basin(especially below 4000'). Bank on that.Once that cold pool gets entrenched in the Columbia River Basin it's going to be hard to scour it out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 What a bunch of pussys. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Next Thursday is very chilly in Western Oregon. High of only 33 at PDX 38 at SLE. Temps go well into the 20s that night too...Nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Once that cold pool gets entrenched in the Columbia River Basin it's going to be hard to scour it out.It gets a lot easier once we move beyond 2/5 or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Sub-510dm heights over in an Arctic airmass Vancouver Island is pretty impressive.That’s what makes this pretty impressive. It’s a February 1989 caliber air mass just without a massive, or even decent, -EPO pattern helping to drive it south and west. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Is there an echo in here??? I was validating you. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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