TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Not yet Tim, not yet Pretty much a given now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Looking a lot like a glancing blow with most of the cold air sliding east. Still world's better than anything we've seen this winter if it verified. I think it will verify, but probably 850s around -6 to -8C for PDX. I'm feeling positive.You can think whatever you want to think will happen, but honest model analysis is important. You make it sound as if the models have been trending worse the last 12 hours, when in reality the opposite is the case. You know that too, yet you still got me to waste a couple minutes writing this paragraph. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The bickering now. Can you imagine this place if the rug gets pulled out like we've all seen way to many times? Would almost make it worth it. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Katu.com says "what arctic blast"?? https://katu.com/news/local/climatologists-say-warmer-drier-trend-to-last-through-spring-in-pacific-northwest Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Pretty morning. Pink sky over a frosty landscape. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 12Z GFS is starting... going to be the coldest GFS run of the season. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 ECMWF shows a c-zone from Everett eastward in Sunday afternoon... Dam Olympic rain shadow it’s going to kill my chances of snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 12Z ICON is solidly on board with the arctic front coming through on Sunday night. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 It shows about 3-4 inches of snow for my location, I'll take that.Ugly rainshadow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Ugly rainshadow That is actually a snowshadow. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 12Z ICON is solidly on board with the arctic front coming through on Sunday night. As long as the Clackamas-Hood River county line is dark blue... Tahoe is getting dumped on! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 12Z GFS is starting... going to be the coldest GFS run of the season. hope so but it’s warmer so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Pretty incredible how far south into Oregon the 504 thickness line stretches on the 12z ICON 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Canadian model cooler than last nights run so far. Particularly north of Vancouver. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Compared to the 06z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Incoming: Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 That 500mb setup almost reminds me of November 2010 in a way. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Tim was right! 522 line into southern Oregon with snow all over western Oregon by 4am monday. Shows about 3” for pdx. These lows coming in from the nw have over performed many times. 2008, 2014 come to mind. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Where the phuck is Fill?!?!? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 hope so but it’s warmer so far The GFS finally figured out the that ECMWF was right. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Full model support. Any further digging it could be a November 2010 repeat. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Where the phuck is Fill?!?!?Last week Fill was all about the Phork for you guys... Lol.. Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Currently 28* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The GFS's surrender is now complete. No warm models left. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 This run craps on Victoria due to the northwest flow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 In this pattern the snow maps will change every run. We will be saying the same thing 24hrs from the event. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Full model support. Any further digging it could be a November 2010 repeat.It does remind me of November 2010. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 This run craps on Victoria due to the northwest flow.Your best bet would be something like what the ICON is showing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I like the look of the GEM this morning. Overrunning event dumps 6 to 7 inches before the flow turns westerly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The GEM gets very cold like the ICON. With the EURO still to run, it looks like the GFS is still the "warmest" of the model suite. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 The GEM gets very cold like the ICON. With the EURO still to run, it looks like the GFS is still the "warmest" of the model suite. It’s starting to look like a quick cold snap which I don’t like though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 It’s starting to look like a quick cold snap which I don’t like though. Looks like the Midwest will get to enjoy our arctic blast eventually as well... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 It’s starting to look like a quick cold snap which I don’t like though. Yeah probably. But better than no cold snap. I don't think this is the year to complain. Also long cold snaps in February, at least in NW Oregon are exceedingly rare. February 1989 lasted about a week, February 2014 was 5 days... Without inversions things tend to moderate quickly. Even the arctic air in 2011 was short lived, just surrounded on both ends by some pretty chilly maritime air. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 It does remind me of November 2010.Only difference at this point is the low placement. The depth of cold looks comparable. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Looks like the Midwest will get to enjoy our arctic blast eventually as well... Bet they can't wait. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Had a torrential downpour last night above lahaina here on Maui which led to a little flash flood this morning coming across the driveway on the property. Probably 20 feet wide and 3 feet deep. Pretty impressive 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 Only difference at this point is the low placement. The depth of cold looks comparable. The models are showing the cold air penetrating much further south, but swinging in from the NW like 2010... GEM throws out some fanciful 1989 like numbers for kicks. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 I remember 2008 looking like a quick hitter. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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