Requiem Posted February 1, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 GEM trending west. If it goes east we're screwed, if it goes west we're screwed. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 If the GEM and EURO agree will be fine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Looks like some light deformation band snow Tuesday AM. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 GEM shows a nice event for our Oregon folks on Wednesday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 GEM trending west. GEM is WAY west of its 12Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Deformation zone over northern OR/southern WA on Monday night. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 GEM is interesting at least. Maybe we do get something, maybe its just later in the week..Who knows... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Well... GFS is a complete non-event. The ball is in the ECMWF court now. Because the 12Z ECMWF showed a nice event for most of us. Looks better than the 18z on Sunday, at this point I'd rather have a trend for the better on Sunday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Looks better than the 18z on Sunday, at this point I'd rather have a trend for the better on Sunday.I think it has a chance of switching back. We all know the flip flopping models do Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Looks better than the 18z on Sunday, at this point I'd rather have a trend for the better on Sunday. Not for most of western WA and OR. Still too warm for snow on Sunday except for the NW interior. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 What will the ECMWF show?? Million dollar question! I cannot imagine it changing that dramatically from the 12Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Here was the 12z GEM 00z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 What will the ECMWF show?? Million dollar question! I cannot imagine it changing that dramatically from the 12Z run. The 00Z GFS still brings decent cold to most. It gets there in the end compared to other runs but it just takes a little longer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 00Z GEM highs still don't go above freezing for Victoria and Vancouver for monday and tuesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Not for most of western WA and OR. Still too warm for snow on Sunday except for the NW interior. And anywhere above 500 ft and that is alot of places besides north west interior. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 So I’m hearing everything from “non event” to “still looks decent” ...okay then. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Monday afternoon... the low is chugging along down the coast just like the 18Z run. The 00Z run is actually a little west of the 18Z run and less organized at this time... so this run is not as good. That model shows snow right where I need it. Covers bothell/kenmore and north king south snohomish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 GEM is interesting. Gets close toward the end of the week too. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Reload!!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Gem has a nice w Washington snowstorm Thursday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Lol we get hammered with about 72 hours straight of snowfall on the GEM--no transition!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Gem has a nice w Washington snowstorm Thursday Turns to rain pretty quickly 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I like the GEM. Interesting. Never warms up, and would be a lot of snow up here. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Lol 15 inches shown here on the GEM. Wouldn't that be awesome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Stays cool Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I think it has a chance of switching back. We all know the flip flopping models do Sure, but what's shown on Sunday is very close to a big snow maker for much of the island. Obviously would be much nicer if the low off the island held together and hugged the coast, but we could still some interesting dynamics along the Arctic boundary. Plus I'd be pretty surprised if a low like that didn't kick up some unexpected moisture over the low level outflow on Monday. The 0z GEM is amazing for this area later next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Sure, but what's shown on Sunday is very close to a big snow maker for much of the island. Obviously would be much nicer if the low off the island held together and hugged the coast, but we could still some interesting dynamics along the Arctic boundary. Plus I'd be pretty surprised if a low like that didn't kick up some unexpected moisture over the low level outflow on Monday. The 0z GEM is amazing for this area later next week.I agree. Gem is awesome, 15 inches here in the next 10 days. The NAM looked good with a deep low, however would have appreciated it being a little further north. A lot of people are overreacting here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Deformation zone over northern OR/southern WA on Monday night.Yeah, the EURO showed this deformation band the past of couple runs. So it's good to see the GFS start to pick up on this as well. These deformation bands can dump lots of snow if they setup right. This might be our best chance of good snow before the reload comes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I told you all the smell of disappointment was gonna start a couple days ago, looks like it is there, just sayin..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Hi bainbridgekid. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 850s bottom out around -7C in NW Oregon early next week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Below freezing 925mb temperatures in the North Sound by 10am Saturday: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 I told you all the smell of disappointment was gonna start a couple days ago, looks like it is there, just sayin..... Prophet. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 You keep claiming he incites stuff, yet you're the one who brought it up this time. Is there a reason you can't give it a break?This is something that has been going on since you were 6 years old might want to stay out of it. Just sayin. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 850s Saturday are as cold as the early week trough. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Fraser outflow is rolling by Saturday night on the 0z WRF. Seems like the timing has moved up quite a bit: 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Onto the 00z EURO. Looking forward to seeing if it will keep showing that deformation band and where it sets up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 Onto the 00z EURO. Looking forward to seeing if it will keep showing that deformation band and where it sets up.Big ECMWF run coming up. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 You know the hit the fan when Jim makes no appearance. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 1, 2019 Report Share Posted February 1, 2019 You know the s**t hit the fan when Jim makes no appearance.Today has been unfortunate for sure. Luckily we still have 48 hours to see some shifting in the models Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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