james1976 Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Highway 20 special in the making? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 GRR announced they will no longer be issuing winter headlines. Something about the gov shutdown. Idk? Said they needed a new excuse not to issue Winter Storm Watches and that the gov shutdown seemed to be a timely excuse. They feel Winter Storm Watches are confusing to the public.  Makes no sense... EDIT: Per USA Today: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which the weather service is under, confirmed in a statement to USA TODAY that its forecasts are on track despite the partial federal closure."Much of NOAA National Weather Service operations are in excepted status and therefore remain in place to provide forecasts and warnings to protect lives and property," the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said in a statement to USA TODAY. "With several storm systems impacting the country, staff continue mission-essential functions." 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2019  Makes no sense... You realize I'm only half joking don't you??  Prolly get a decent GRR Met on duty overnight and if he likes trends, they'll issue something on this event for the morning package.  0z NAMily were staying strong with the FGEN banding along or just south of I-94. I don't know how long they can ignore that. We'll see I guess Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)  Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"  2021-22 = 35.6"    Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Very happy with both NAMs over here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Tom's in for quite the schlammering this weekend tho..  It has been nearly a decade since seeing those totals actually predicted by the NWS in my backyard. This is absolutely amazing, I’m finally getting my Christmas present that I’ve hoped for, for so long. I love Chicago, and despite loving Nebraska, I’m so happy I’m here and this snow is just a plus. I can’t wait this is gunna be an amazing weekend! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 You realize I'm only half joking don't you??  Prolly get a decent GRR Met on duty overnight and if he likes trends, they'll issue something on this event for the morning package.  0z NAMily were staying strong with the FGEN banding along or just south of I-94. I don't know how long they can ignore that. We'll see I guess Ofc I did...that's why it made no sense to me. I am disappointed w the NWS for not at least upgraded us to a WWA for the safety of the public. If at any point they feel that they went too far, they can always downgrade. Not a good idea to add headlines during a snowstorm. Idk, I feel that they are not looking at the facts thoroughly. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wow, the worst possible outcome is coming true for eastern Nebraska. This blows. Oh well! Enjoy your snow Iowa! Maybe next time Nebraska... Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"Â For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :Â https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 It has been nearly a decade since seeing those totals actually predicted by the NWS in my backyard. This is absolutely amazing, I’m finally getting my Christmas present that I’ve hoped for, for so long. I love Chicago, and despite loving Nebraska, I’m so happy I’m here and this snow is just a plus. I can’t wait this is gunna be an amazing weekend! Northern IL is looking good. Hoping the lake effect cranks up for you. it is a crazy experience in Chicago Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Looking forward to Fri night's runs. I think they'll be a lot better. Previous storm was like a last-minute qpf explosion. Let's see if this follows that pattern? Heard that this type of phase is particularly difficult to model. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)Â Â Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)Â Â Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9Â Dec: 7.5Â Jan: 31.7 Feb:Â 6.0 Mar: 4.3Â Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2"Â (Harrison):Â 2023-24 = 53.1"Â Avg = 45.0"Â (KDTW):Â 2022-23 = 33.5"Â Â 2021-22 = 35.6"Â Â Â Â Avg = 49.7"Â (KRMY):Â 2020-21 = 36.2"Â Â 2019-20 = 48.0"Â Â 2018-19 =Â 56.1"Â Â 2017-18 =Â 68.3"Â Â Â 2016-17 =Â 52"Â Â Â 2015-16 =Â 57.4"Â Â Â 2014-15 =Â 55.3"Â Â Â 2013-14 =Â 100.6"Â (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)Â Â 2012-13 =Â 47.2"Â Â Â 2011-12 =Â 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 The 3k nam is basically a wetter version of the 00z HRRR. I don't like the way they are delaying the storm's ramp-up and so are diverting the heavy plume of moisture south and east of much of Iowa. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2"   '21-22: 27.1"   '20-21: 52.5"   '19-20: 36.2"    '18-19: 50.2"    '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 It has been nearly a decade since seeing those totals actually predicted by the NWS in my backyard. This is absolutely amazing, I’m finally getting my Christmas present that I’ve hoped for, for so long. I love Chicago, and despite loving Nebraska, I’m so happy I’m here and this snow is just a plus. I can’t wait this is gunna be an amazing weekend!Exciting to see but best to keep your expectations managed. These sort of scenarios do have moderate bust potential. Likely to see some appreciable snows but I’m still skeptical of those higher totals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 ICON FWIW-Â (all guidance tonight thus far showing reduced totals WNW IA and E.NE compared to 18Z runs) -- not a good trend. 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wow, the worst possible outcome is coming true for eastern Nebraska. This blows. Oh well! Enjoy your snow Iowa! Maybe next time Nebraska...We should have seen this coming days ago... once area schools cancelled classes earlier this evening for tomorrow I could sense a potential bust upcoming. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 00z RGEM The latest HRRR, NAM, ICON, and RGEM all have the same look. The northern band is still there, but weaker. The southern band is being diverted more to the east. Western Iowa is not looking good. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2"   '21-22: 27.1"   '20-21: 52.5"   '19-20: 36.2"    '18-19: 50.2"    '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Ops (Omaha public schools) cancelled classes tomorrow lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 wonder if I get added to a wsw? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 LOL the OmaDome is expanding into Iowa now! Comical!!! http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/hrrr/2019011800/036/snku_acc.us_c.png Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Ops (Omaha public schools) cancelled classes tomorrow lolYeah all my former colleagues are jumping for joy, I told them they got handed a freebie. Lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 00z RGEM The latest HRRR, NAM, ICON, and RGEM all have the same look. The northern band is still there, but weaker. The southern band is being diverted more to the east. Western Iowa is not looking good. Northern stream really doesn’t seem that much weaker on the NAM, at least in the Eastern half of Iowa. And the HRRR has been starting to look better. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 00z RGEM The latest HRRR, NAM, ICON, and RGEM all have the same look. The northern band is still there, but weaker. The southern band is being diverted more to the east. Western Iowa is not looking good. Agree- but it does seem like recent HRRR and RAP are starting to babystep more to the NAM- which is more gracious for W.IA 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 major changes on GFS-- goodbye Warnings for nearly all of W.IA Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 00z GFS.... yikes... fast, weak, dry Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2"Â Â Â '21-22: 27.1"Â Â Â '20-21: 52.5"Â Â Â '19-20: 36.2"Â Â Â Â '18-19: 50.2"Â Â Â Â '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Not good All around. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
badgerwx Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Well wait to rain on my parade lol why do I have a feeling by the time I wake up Ill be downgraded to an advisory and expcting 1 to 3 inches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Good thing I had nothing invested in this storm for my area. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 I would definitely still take that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 If that verifies - it would be the biggest bust I can ever remember this close to an event. Almost the entire state of IA is in a warning to that? WOW. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 It sucks to track a storm for a week and then watch it crap the bed at the last minute. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2"Â Â Â '21-22: 27.1"Â Â Â '20-21: 52.5"Â Â Â '19-20: 36.2"Â Â Â Â '18-19: 50.2"Â Â Â Â '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Not bad I’ll take it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 First signs were RGEM / 3KM NAM from 18Z and also CMC from 18ZÂ The NAM has been solid all winter but right now I have serious doubts about it. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Looks like the hrrr Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 It's just snow people...unless your job/livelihood depends on snow amounts, no big deal. I'll be like Bachman, Turner Overdrive and take what I can get! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Looks like a solid half inch for Omaha 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc400 Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Looks like a solid half inch for OmahaSolid 12-18 mm. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 00z FV3Â Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2"Â Â Â '21-22: 27.1"Â Â Â '20-21: 52.5"Â Â Â '19-20: 36.2"Â Â Â Â '18-19: 50.2"Â Â Â Â '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 No way...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Me thinks there are some interesting conversations going around local NWS offices right about now. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 18, 2019 Report Share Posted January 18, 2019 Full sampling killing everything? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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