February 2019 Observations and Discussion

[FV-Mike]

Hanging my hat on the Friday system. Looking better

[westMJim]

Cloudy and 18.4° here at this time. The NWS office at Gaylord, MI has updated there YTD snow fall page and now have a total snow on the ground map and a couple of webcams

 

https://www.weather.gov/apx/snowgraph_ytd

[Madtown]

Good trip. 8in of snow on Thurs, heavy stuff for 6 hours or so. Cold -7 on Fri but just gorgeous. Trails were fantastic and should be for a long time with the packed flat ice base.

[Money]

Gfs crushes S WI/IL with the Valentine’s Day storm

 

12+ in some spots

[Money]

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2019021012&fh=132&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_mw&p=snku_024h&m=gfs

 

Chicago’s storm?

[Tom]

Good trip. 8in of snow on Thurs, heavy stuff for 6 hours or so. Cold -7 on Fri but just gorgeous. Trails were fantastic and should be for a long time with the packed flat ice base.

Gorgeous pics!  Looks like you had a blast up there....boy, that scenery is just beautiful!

[CentralNebWeather]

Loving the 12z Canadian. Shares the wealth for sure.

[jaster220]

Loving the 12z Canadian. Shares the wealth for sure.

 

Doesn't it always at this range??

[CentralNebWeather]

[Minny_Weather]

I started a thread of the late week storm.

 

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1970-214-216-winter-storm/

[Stormgeek]

Might get an overachiever here today. Storm seems to be back building and training over the area.

[gosaints]

Might get an overachiever here today. Storm seems to be back building and training over the area.

set some records. U will reach warning criteria

[Beltrami Island]

Good trip. 8in of snow on Thurs, heavy stuff for 6 hours or so. Cold -7 on Fri but just gorgeous. Trails were fantastic and should be for a long time with the packed flat ice base.

Best snow now in northern Minnesota since 2013-2014 without a doubt. Was pulling full powder turns on the bay in front of my place. Would have more pics but I found out I somehow snapped off a carbide/wearbar.

[OKwx2k4]

The next 4 weeks are going to be horrible if it doesn't snow. I'd rather get ridged out for the next 4-6 weeks then endure any more fruitless nonsense down here. I love the weather but snowless, boring, ugly, cold and wet is just stupid.

 

 

Is it March yet? If I wanted to be depressed 10.5 months a year and have only the worst parts of fall and spring over and over and over and "oh blazing death! Woohoo!!" and over and over,... I'd move to Seattle. I'm thinking about petitioning the Thunder (formerly Supersonics) to go back home and take their stupid weather with them. Geez. We're sorry already. What do you want?

 

I'm okay. Lol. Really.

[Niko]

The next 4 weeks are going to be horrible if it doesn't snow. I'd rather get ridged out for the next 4-6 weeks then endure any more fruitless nonsense down here. I love the weather but snowless, boring, ugly, cold and wet is just stupid.

 

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_12.png

gfs-ens_apcpn_us_64.png

 

Is it March yet? If I wanted to be depressed 10.5 months a year and have only the worst parts of fall and spring over and over and over and "oh blazing death! Woohoo!!" and over and over,... I'd move to Seattle. I'm thinking about petitioning the Thunder (formerly Supersonics) to go back home and take their stupid weather with them. Geez. We're sorry already. What do you want?

 

I'm okay. Lol. Really.

Seattle, WA will be looking at more than  a foot of snow otg by midweek next week. Idk, but, they are having some wacky weather there. Snowstorm after snowstorm.

[CentralNebWeather]

I love looking at the different model runs though they rarely if ever verify this year around here. 18z GFS for Nebraska, wow. That would be nice.

[OKwx2k4]

Seattle, WA will be looking at more than a foot of snow otg by midweek next week. Idk, but, they are having some wacky weather there. Snowstorm after snowstorm.

Just keeps getting better doesn't it? Thanks buddy!! Haha!

[mlgamer]

I'm beginning to think Oklahoma and Kansas are pretty much done for this winter. Most of the real snow action has been to the north and east of here and I think it will stay that way. We've only had 17.2" of snow in Topeka this winter which is nothing to write home about in my book. As they say in sports..."maybe next year".  (This is a win-win post. If I'm wrong, it means we cashed in on some late season snow.)

[Minny_Weather]

I'm beginning to think Oklahoma and Kansas are pretty much done for this winter. Most of the real snow action has been to the north and east of here and I think it will stay that way. We've only had 17.2" of snow in Topeka this winter which is nothing to write home about in my book. As they say in sports..."maybe next year".  (This is a win-win post. If I'm wrong, it means we cashed in on some late season snow.)

You may be in for a surprise in 9 days...

[hlcater]

15-20” is average for much of KS no?

[mlgamer]

You may be in for a surprise in 9 days...

 

lol...things ALWAYS look great 9 days away.  Still, I'd be happy if you're right!

[mlgamer]

15-20” is average for much of KS no?

 

Pretty much.  I think areas around St. Joe have had nearly twice that this year around 35".  This year looks a little better here because the previous four winters were awful.

 

Maybe I should have put this in the complaint thread...though I really wasn't complaining...just stating expectations for the rest of the winter.

[OKwx2k4]

I'm beginning to think Oklahoma and Kansas are pretty much done for this winter. Most of the real snow action has been to the north and east of here and I think it will stay that way. We've only had 17.2" of snow in Topeka this winter which is nothing to write home about in my book. As they say in sports..."maybe next year". (This is a win-win post. If I'm wrong, it means we cashed in on some late season snow.)

If 17" is "meh" in Topeka, maybe I need to move there. Lol.

 

I still do hold out a slight hope for one good snow before all is said and done but hope can be a fickle and frustrating thing. I'm done ranting.

[Stormy]

I’m still around, but haven’t been keeping up with this forum the last few days. Snow was ripping pretty good for awhile this forenoon while I was at church. Picked up 1.5” & 0.16” liquid. I’m amazed how ice covered the gravel roads are around here. Pretty much a solid sheet of ice with some snow on top now! Heard of my nephews & others ice skating down the rural roads last week ever since that last sleet/frz. rain episode! Didn’t seem that slippery at first with the sleet making a rougher surface, but it kind of smoothed down I guess. Well I’m invited out for supper so will get further behind here.

[jaster220]

Just keeps getting better doesn't it? Thanks buddy!! Haha!

 

Yeah, was gonna say, just what you needed to hear/read, eh? Some students skipped sensitivity training, or so I've heard..

[Niko]

Just keeps getting better doesn't it? Thanks buddy!! Haha!

Keep hope alive there....

[Niko]

Currently at 22F w snow. Its a wintry scene out there.

[gimmesnow]

After a really crappy start to February, it looks like I am going to have some potential powder days coming up. Though it's going to be a little warm, I hope this stuff that's coming can deliver something light and fluffy. Last week was definitely the first bout of "holy crap Winter is almost over what happened!?! There's only a few more weeks left!" No matter what, they pretty much always shut down the hill out here second weekend in March, even if winter is still here the sun angle is too much and everyone has given up on winter by then.

[mlgamer]

If 17" is "meh" in Topeka, maybe I need to move there. Lol.

 

I still do hold out a slight hope for one good snow before all is said and done but hope can be a fickle and frustrating thing. I'm done ranting.

 

lol...yeah not trying to downplay 17", but a lot of that came in 1" or less increments. Besides, what serious winter weather lover wants average snowfall? Give me those epic winters every year...

[OKwx2k4]

lol...yeah not trying to downplay 17", but a lot of that came in 1" or less increments. Besides, what serious winter weather lover wants average snowfall? Give me those epic winters every year...

I agree, friend.

[OKwx2k4]

If theres no suppression whatsoever, the sw express doesnt matter much for me. There should be a great storm somewhere though.

 

Its gotta line up next year but I highly doubt it will this season.

[Niko]

Mostly cloudy and cold w temps holding steady in the 20s and roads out there are a mess. My snowpack has return. Looking more like February.

[Tom]

Surprised that I'm seeing some light LES flurries this morning coming off LM.  Hopefully that bodes well to support more snow than ice around here when the storm arrives.  Meantime, overnight data continues to suggest the pattern/storm track shifts South as we progress through this week.  I'm encouraged to see both the EPS/GEFS suggesting the southern Plains begin to see action as the expected systems on my calendar are still showing up.  KC folks and surrounding locals, the 18th-20th is your storm that I think has the best chance for a widespread winter storm in your neck of the woods.

[Tom]

00z Euro over the next 10 days trying to expand the "Heartland Glacier" even farther south to include are buddy down in OK...

 

 

[Clinton]

00z Euro over the next 10 days trying to expand the "Heartland Glacier" even farther south to include are buddy down in OK...

The 18th-20th should be a big one for me.  I just hope we can avoid more ice, but when I look at the AO index I get a little concerned that the cold air may be a little shallow down here.

[Niko]

Its a Winter Wonderland outside currently w cloudy skies and temps are in the low 20s. Picked up 2.9" last night and more snow on the way.

[westMJim]

With February being a short month, we are now 1/3 thru the month and here is were we stand so far. At Grand Rapids the mean for February is now at 26.9° (+1.8°) snow fall for the month is at 4.5” (-1.3”) so far  the snow fall at Grand Rapids  since December 1^st 38.4” and for the season Grand Rapids is at 52.6” last year by this date Grand Rapids had 62.9”  At Muskegon the mean temperature for February at this time is 27.3° (+1.6)  February snow fall there has only been 1.2” (-6.6”) since December 1^st Muskegon’s snow fall is at 37.3” and for the season it is at 49.8” last year at this time they had 86.8” Off to the east at Lansing for February the mean temp is 27.6 (+3.4) there has been a reported 3.3” of snow fall (-1.0”)  Lansing January snow fall total is not right but going by what is officially reported Since December 1^st 8.9” and for the season 20.8” Last year as of this date 41.8” but as I said January snow fall is not right there.

[Minny_Weather]

With February being a short month, we are now 1/3 thru the month and here is were we stand so far. At Grand Rapids the mean for February is now at 26.9° (+1.8°) snow fall for the month is at 4.5” (-1.3”) so far  the snow fall at Grand Rapids  since December 1^st 38.4” and for the season Grand Rapids is at 52.6” last year by this date Grand Rapids had 62.9”  At Muskegon the mean temperature for February at this time is 27.3° (+1.6)  February snow fall there has only been 1.2” (-6.6”) since December 1^st Muskegon’s snow fall is at 37.3” and for the season it is at 49.8” last year at this time they had 86.8” Off to the east at Lansing for February the mean temp is 27.6 (+3.4) there has been a reported 3.3” of snow fall (-1.0”)  Lansing January snow fall total is not right but going by what is officially reported Since December 1^st 8.9” and for the season 20.8” Last year as of this date 41.8” but as I said January snow fall is not right there.

Snowfall was not reported in Lansing for a period of time. That one big storm that happened there ended up going unrecorded as a result.

[Niko]

Currently at 26F w cloudy skies and a nice snowpack out there.

[OKwx2k4]

00z Euro over the next 10 days trying to expand the "Heartland Glacier" even farther south to include are buddy down in OK...

I might be a good man for the rest of the year if I can just have some of that snow. lol.