SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Yeah if you look at the GEM and GFS I would probably take the GFS pattern over the GEM through about hour 180 if I were someone in the PDX/Valley. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Been stuck at 19.2 for the last 2hrs...hopefully we can decouple and keep skies clear...come on single digits!! Hanging out at 17F here. I would be surprised to hit single digits up here, but I think your area definitely has another shot. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Just got home so I can look more closely at the Skew-Ts. There's strong forcing for ascent above the warm nose through and below the dgz which leads me to believe the warm nose will be too insignificant to matter at KSEA on the GFS 00z. The skew-t progresses from low ratios to high ratios with the greatest forcing above dgz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 jan 2017 PDX got a foot of snow. feb 2017 most of seattle got 3-4" (i got only 1.5"!) though there was 9" on the highest hills of west seattle. we didn't see a flake jan 11. i hope you guys don't get cold rain, but a foot of snow in seattle with nothing in PDX would be some actual payback.Most of the Willamette valley got completely shafted on that still. It was pretty much just PDX and even there most people didn't get 12+ inches. Some spots got 16+ inches however. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 So from what I can tell the GFS has taken another step toward the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Wow, the 0z GFS is cold all the way through like the Euro. Crazy stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Great GFS run. Only bad news tonight is how south of PDX is socked in the low clouds and might end up 10 degrees warmer than forecast. Payback for having a high a couple degrees lower than expected I guess. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Many places that got totally screwed with this last one (Victoria - Ferndale - Vancouver) are looking good on Friday afternoon as per the WRF: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Nah, he's forecasting for Portland. Probably.He stopped forecasting and i think he got a job at a carnival. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Many places that got totally screwed with this last one (Victoria - Ferndale - Vancouver) are looking good on Friday afternoon as per the WRF: 4pm friday, look at the snow already fallen in the north interior while it's still moving south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRG Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Micro snow in East PDX right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 00z UW GFS is also rolling out now, watching for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Many places that got totally screwed with this last one (Victoria - Ferndale - Vancouver)are looking good on Friday afternoon as per the WRF: What are you predicting for this one, now that models are starting to look rather similar run to run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I won't be able to enjoy this storm if Victoria gets even a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Total snow per the WRF through Saturday morning at 4 a.m. Most of this comes during the night on Friday. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I won't be able to enjoy this storm if Victoria gets even a trace.why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 WRF shows snowfall rates over 1 inch per hour in Seattle on Friday night between 10 p.m. and 1 a.m. This 4+ inches in 3 hours... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Snow drifts in my back yard from the wind yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I won't be able to enjoy this storm if Victoria gets even a trace. Why would you say that lol? Seattle got some on Sunday now it's our turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Total snow per the WRF through Saturday morning at 4 a.m. Most of this comes during the night on Friday. That might go some ways to evening things out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Total snow per the WRF through Saturday morning at 4 a.m. Most of this comes during the night on Friday. You got one of these for Portland? "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 why?My enjoyment of weather is a zero sum game. I can't be happy unless someone else on here is unhappy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 You got one of these for Portland? **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Ugh /: Maybe Saturday night is our time? "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Many places that got totally screwed with this last one (Victoria - Ferndale - Vancouver) are looking good on Friday afternoon as per the WRF: Nice! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 My enjoyment of weather is a zero sum game. I can't be happy unless someone else on here is unhappy. Are you sure you didn't move to Silver Falls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 This is incredibly cold onshore flow down here. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Ugh /: Maybe Saturday night is our time? Yeah... probably just too early based on that map time frame. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Clark County special? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Ugh /: Maybe Saturday night is our time?Need ya to quit being so manic depressive. https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Yeah... probably just too early based on that map time frame. I would expect so. Then again, even if it showed 20 inches for PDX i would be skeptical because the model hasn't really been doing so well (except if you ask Cliff Mass). "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Need ya to quit being so manic depressive.He sad, bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Total snow per the WRF through Saturday morning at 4 a.m. Most of this comes during the night on Friday. Lovely color up in my area! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Need ya to quit being so manic depressive. I want snow to fall earlier, me expressing my disappointment that it isn't won't change anything. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Need ya to quit being so manic depressive. Really doesn't matter either way. Its what he wants to do, so what? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I want snow to fall earlier, me expressing my disappointment that it isn't won't change anything.But it absolutely will annoy everyone else posting on this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Clark County special?Haha. You’re too close to the river. Haha. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Haha. You’re too close to the river. Haha.North of Mill Plain b*tch. Well into flavor country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Well, quite frankly....when you spend more time lamenting the snow vs enjoying it, your perspective tends to change. Believe me, when we first moved here, we were fresh and ready for it. When it snowed, it didn't stop, and our kids and us loved it. Then it just kept snowing. And then I had to snow rake the roof. And then plow driveway...like nearly every day in the winter of 16'-17'.... And 17'-18'. It gets old fast. Kind of like a nice sweet brand car that's fast and turns heads. Then it's gets a few miles on it and begins to nickel and dime you. And then, slowly, over time, your attitude towards the flashy new car isn't as attractive anymore. Only then, do you begin to realize that the mediocre used cars you've owned your whole life actually meets your needs and that the difference between a novelty item and one that fits your needs is Paramount.... Edit: I am in no way backpedaling on my (our) move to where we live from western wa. However, with what was said above, it's worth mentioning that the only climate left to test our "adaptability" is the polar opposite of what we've become accustomed to in recent years. If Phoenix doesn't cut the mustard (highly doubtful, Because the wife loooooves the heat...) Then our only option then is to merely move back to our miserable, boring Homeland.I still like the snow(skiing within 30 minutes particularly), but the cold gets to me. I really didn't enjoy the sub zero windchills with this latest blast here, but decided not to complain much here because it usually takes at least that for PNW to solidly lock in sub freezing wet bulb temps to score snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Really doesn't matter either way. Its what he wants to do, so what?Expressing disappointment or uncertainty is fine, but on a weather board where we all come to jerk each other off about a shared hobby, it does get a little tiring when it makes up 95% of the content of one's posts. Think about how Tim used to be a few years ago and compare that to the kind of insightful (not being sarcastic here) posts he contributes now. It's a world of difference. KI2 is young though, he'll grow out of it. I used to get pretty bent out of shape over the weather back in my teenage years too until I started to realize it's not worth getting so worked up over. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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