Perturbed Member Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 You still do well overall. I just notice in each of those six hour frames there seems to be a drier spot there. Yeah I did notice that too, not sure if it is geographical or just bad luck. I can get shadowed pretty bad in a showery orographic pattern but usually do fine with stratiform stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Euro pretty much shifted most of the second event 100 miles south. Amazing how a little change makes a huge difference. Wont be the last time it changes either. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Wednesday morning... finally quiet again. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Total snow over the next week. Ironically... 80% of my snow comes in a 12-hour period on Friday night. Andrew might have roof collapsing issues. I could print that map out, frame it, and hang it on my wall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I could print that map out, frame it, and hang it on my wall. All that snow... and places like Lynden get less than an inch. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I could print that map out, frame it, and hang it on my wall. I might. We can entitle it, "On the Day KI2 decided to Make a Trigger Happy Judgement". 3 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Day 7 looks colder than it did with last nights run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I think I just upvoted Phil for the first time in my life. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Wednesday afternoon... looks ridiculously dry. This climate sucks soooooooooo bad! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Wednesday morning... finally quiet again. Quiet but ******* cold by the looks of it. 32 line offshore up and down even the Oregon coast, and 0F line invading central Washington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Low of 8 in Olympia at hour 180. 13 at Seattle, 16 at PDX and SLE. A BALMY 20 at EUG. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I really don't see the precipitation starting as rain on Friday given the amount of low level cold. The GFS, and other models, are notoriously quick to scour out the cold air. As the saying goes, "Too quick to bring in, too quick to scour out." Judging by the 10PM AFD from NWS Seattle and other comments on their Twitter, I think they are forecasting snow from the start as well. They even made a comment about snow falling all the way out to the coast. It's not going to rain. I can almost guarantee it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Day 7 looks colder than it did with last nights run. And drier... thankfully. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 And the pattern on day 8 now looks prime for a reload. The ridge was never going to happen with the EPS consistency. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 This time it was the latter /:Hey, it’s okay. Still part of your learning process I guess. Next time analyze it more and get a good sense in the output, then make a judgment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Reports are Mark was like a schoolboy on air a few minutes ago after seeing this EURO run. 4 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I feel like my brain might explode. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Crazy that SLE is still hanging out in the mid-30s...A tiny bit of clearing up here and down to 25. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Finally... a pattern that could deliver cold and snow!!! Just 9 days away! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Before anyone starts to enter their manic depressive phase just because snow gluttony has gotten the best of them, here are some more healthy reminders;- surface precip is the last thing to be modeled correctly, by any of them- the HRRR is weirdly bad out here- theme of this winter seems to be drifting north or south and then the day before landfall we see something completely new- if this was the warm run, then hot d**n- the NWS will be conservative probably until Friday afternoon, respect that- tonight’s Euro was not gospel- have fun, don’t worry, and just enjoy the ride- if you think it’s immature, laughable, or irresponsible that people are getting hyped over snow maps that are over 24 hours out, then you must be new here Good tips for the newbies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Good lord 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Another potent wave riding the RNA ridge D9-10. 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Before anyone starts to enter their manic depressive phase just because snow gluttony has gotten the best of them, here are some more healthy reminders;- surface precip is the last thing to be modeled correctly, by any of them- the HRRR is weirdly bad out here- theme of this winter seems to be drifting north or south and then the day before landfall we see something completely new- if this was the warm run, then hot d**n- the NWS will be conservative probably until Friday afternoon, respect that- tonight’s Euro was not gospel- have fun, don’t worry, and just enjoy the ride- if you think it’s immature, laughable, or irresponsible that people are getting hyped over snow maps that are over 24 hours out, then you must be new here I agree with most of these except for NWS being conservative until Friday. If models continue to show what they've been showing, I see them biting by Thursday at the latest. Their AFDs recently, their tweets, etc. all point to them being fairly bullish about this event. I don't think this will be the usual "Wait until 5 inches have fallen to post a WSW" we get out of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Snowing again by day 9. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Reports are Mark was like a schoolboy on air a few minutes ago after seeing this EURO run. Hope there is a vid. Our EUG mets do a great job but Mark and the PDX folks work up there for a reason. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Another potent wave riding the RNA ridge D9-10. Phil what the hell is going on???? (I am mentally grabbing you by the shoulders and shaking you right now) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I don't care if it's the 3rd storm yet to come and still 6 days out, time to break out the top 10 list for our Portland weenies: 24 hour snowfall records in Portland:1) 15.5" - 1/21/1943, Downtown2) 15" - 1/2/1902, Downtown 3) 14.4" -1/21/43, PDX4) 14" 12/22/1892, Downtown 5) 13.5" - 12/10/1919, Downtown 6) 12.8" - 1/1/1937, Downtown 7) 12.4" - 12/16/1884, Downtown 8) 12" - 2/12/1995, PDX9) 11.8" 1/10-11/2017, Downtown10) 10.60" 1/13-1/14/1950 PDX 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 This is like 8 bad a** snow maps from the euro and a large area between portland and Canada is going to get 18 inches of snow. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Finally... a pattern that could deliver cold and snow!!! Just 9 days away! Man, look at that beautiful block centered right at 150. Thing of dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Phil what the hell is going on???? (I am mentally grabbing you by the shoulders and shaking you right now) Me too. There is no historical guide for this... even our coldest periods have warm ups mixed in. This is like they picked up the PNW and moved it to Juneau. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I thought the LRC had 40+ day cycles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I don't care if it's the 3rd storm yet to come and still 6 days out, time to break out the top 10 list for our Portland weenies: 24 hour snowfall records in Portland:1) 15.5" - 1/21/1943, Downtown2) 15" - 1/2/1902, Downtown 3) 14.4" -1/21/43, PDX4) 14" 12/22/1892, Downtown 5) 13.5" - 12/10/1919, Downtown 6) 12.8" - 1/1/1937, Downtown 7) 12.4" - 12/16/1884, Downtown 8) 12" - 2/12/1995, PDX9) 11.8" 1/10-11/2017, Downtown10) 10.60" 1/13-1/14/1950 PDX I think that 1/10/17 storm is why my expectations get so high. If a storm beats that one.... "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 By hour 216 Hood River is at 39" of snow. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 So, does someone have a clip or something of Mark's reaction? Apparently he was on air and played the run... "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 And the pattern on day 8 now looks prime for a reload. The ridge was never going to happen with the EPS consistency. Man look at that beautiful dipole anomaly! Now that’s what I call a block. 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 We could potential smash all records for -PNA. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Am I high or are the models high? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 This pattern might just run all the way thru Feb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Alright... let gets this thing started at day 10! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Finally... a pattern that could deliver cold and snow!!! Just 9 days away! Last night that same day looked like this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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