gabel23 Posted March 23, 2019 Report Share Posted March 23, 2019 Jesus that’s a lot of snow on the 12Z GFS. Through hour 240 and more after this. Total qpf for the full run...With last nights euro showing the same thing look out! I’m interested in seeing what this afternoons euro shows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 23, 2019 Report Share Posted March 23, 2019 Much weaker in the cold sector on the euro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 23, 2019 Report Share Posted March 23, 2019 12z Euro - That's a lot of precip in areas that don't want it. Total precip Total snow precip Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 23, 2019 Report Share Posted March 23, 2019 Ya i hope this one craps the bed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted March 23, 2019 Report Share Posted March 23, 2019 Man, what a beautiful day! Got our to the golf course and it was awesome! Swing wasn’t half bad either for the first round of the year 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 23, 2019 Report Share Posted March 23, 2019 I don't think I saw a cloud today at all. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 Fv3 showing a nasty storm around the 5th. Wild pattern Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 I don't trust the FV3 a day out, let alone 12 days out thankfully. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 The wx was stupendously marvelous yesterday. You can argue it was one of the best days of this Spring so far with calm winds, crystal clear blue skies and temps in the low 50's (50F is normal). It's crazy to say that a "normal" day around here is a nice one. Oh, it helped that it finally came on a weekend and not during the work week. I actually ventured out into my back yard and collected branches that were ripped off the trees from the vicious wind storms in recent weeks. 'Tis the season for "Pneumonia Fronts" and "Cooler Near the Lake"....here's a good graphic showing the "why" behind stronger lake breezes in the Spring. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 On this last week of March, we set our sights on one final storm to effect our Sub and models are trending towards a Plains/Lower GL's storm system. I-80 special??? The last "share the wealth" of the season??? The Euro/EPS was the first model to see the storm target date of the 30th-31st and now the GFS is sorta heading in that direction. Should be an interesting week of tracking this system as there will be arctic air to work with as a strong Canadian HP bleeds south into the pattern while a CO surface low ejects out into the central Plains and tracks near KC and through the MW in a west/east fashion. 00z EPS snow mean has blossomed across NE and somewhat growing in size the farther east you go. I also posted the 00z Euro Control. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 Now, who's ready for REAL Spring to finally show up??? As we flip the calendar into April, while it will be a chilly first few days or so of the month, the overall hemispheric pattern should shift away from the dominant -EPO pattern and flood Canada with warmth which will make its way into the northern/eastern Sub right around the target dates I've had in mind for a long time (April 6th/7th)...might even try to make it here a little earlier than that which would be welcomed by many. But first, we have to get through this lousy, endlessly cool pattern that has been so dominant this entire month. I think ORD has only had 4 or 5 AN days so far this month which is a far cry from a Spring-like pattern. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 The wx was stupendously marvelous yesterday. You can argue it was one of the best days of this Spring so far with calm winds, crystal clear blue skies and temps in the low 50's (50F is normal). It's crazy to say that a "normal" day around here is a nice one. Oh, it helped that it finally came on a weekend and not during the work week. I actually ventured out into my back yard and collected branches that were ripped off the trees from the vicious wind storms in recent weeks. 'Tis the season for "Pneumonia Fronts" and "Cooler Near the Lake"....here's a good graphic showing the "why" behind stronger lake breezes in the Spring. "Cooler by the lake" is very common here on the Michigan side of the lake as well. And we get it from 4 of the Great Lakes. one of the biggest differences I have seen with the cooler by the lake was in June in Manitowoc, WI we had taken the boat across the lake and were staying in the downtown area and we went out to eat at a location just 3 miles from the motel. Downtown the outside reading in the car was just 42 but at the restaurant it was 86 after dinner back at the motel it was still just 45. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 "Cooler by the lake" is very common here on the Michigan side of the lake as well. And we get it from 4 of the Great Lakes. one of the biggest differences I have seen with the cooler by the lake was in June in Manitowoc, WI we had taken the boat across the lake and were staying in the downtown area and we went out to eat at a location just 3 miles from the motel. Downtown the outside reading in the car was just 42 but at the restaurant it was 86 after dinner back at the motel it was still just 45.Wow, that’s an impressive temp gradient! From Summer to Winter in a span of only 3 Miles. Incredible. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 On this last week of March, we set our sights on one final storm to effect our Sub and models are trending towards a Plains/Lower GL's storm system. I-80 special??? The last "share the wealth" of the season??? The Euro/EPS was the first model to see the storm target date of the 30th-31st and now the GFS is sorta heading in that direction. Should be an interesting week of tracking this system as there will be arctic air to work with as a strong Canadian HP bleeds south into the pattern while a CO surface low ejects out into the central Plains and tracks near KC and through the MW in a west/east fashion. 00z EPS snow mean has blossomed across NE and somewhat growing in size the farther east you go. I also posted the 00z Euro Control.Lol @ same old 2" line cutting through here. Par for this winter.. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 "Cooler by the lake" is very common here on the Michigan side of the lake as well. And we get it from 4 of the Great Lakes. one of the biggest differences I have seen with the cooler by the lake was in June in Manitowoc, WI we had taken the boat across the lake and were staying in the downtown area and we went out to eat at a location just 3 miles from the motel. Downtown the outside reading in the car was just 42 but at the restaurant it was 86 after dinner back at the motel it was still just 45.That's crazy Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 Lol @ same old 2" line cutting through here. Par for this winter.. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 Currently mostly cloudy and cold w temps in the 30s (32F). Some light snow possible late tanite w slippery conditions for tomorrow mornings rush. Tomorrow should feature a rather cold, blustery day after some morning snow w temps not getting outta the 30s and lows in the teens. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 On this last week of March, we set our sights on one final storm to effect our Sub and models are trending towards a Plains/Lower GL's storm system. I-80 special??? The last "share the wealth" of the season??? The Euro/EPS was the first model to see the storm target date of the 30th-31st and now the GFS is sorta heading in that direction. Should be an interesting week of tracking this system as there will be arctic air to work with as a strong Canadian HP bleeds south into the pattern while a CO surface low ejects out into the central Plains and tracks near KC and through the MW in a west/east fashion. 00z EPS snow mean has blossomed across NE and somewhat growing in size the farther east you go. I also posted the 00z Euro Control.That looks scary. Just a tad north of my area is the hvy snow accumulations. Still puts me in a couple of inches though. Tbh, if I am to received a big dog w 10"+ w this one, then, I'll accept this snowstorm. Might as well go out w a bang. FWIW, my snowthrower still has some gasoline inside its tank. Might as well use it up instead of emptying it out uselessly by having my machine running for nothing just to empty out the tank. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 "Cooler by the lake" is very common here on the Michigan side of the lake as well. And we get it from 4 of the Great Lakes. one of the biggest differences I have seen with the cooler by the lake was in June in Manitowoc, WI we had taken the boat across the lake and were staying in the downtown area and we went out to eat at a location just 3 miles from the motel. Downtown the outside reading in the car was just 42 but at the restaurant it was 86 after dinner back at the motel it was still just 45.Living in Grand Haven I certainly know about this. I work in GR and some summer days when it’s 90 in GR I need a long sleeve shirt when I get home in the evening. Especially when the fog rolls in around 5:30 pm on clear days in June and July. Drops temps briefly 20-30 degrees along the shore. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 I would love to see Waterloo set the record and then immediately flip to spring. That would be awesome. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 Got .20” overnight and this morning. Temp is currently at 47. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 Models are still struggling with the late-week system. The trend today is to sag farther south. A cold front swings through and stalls to the south. Then, more energy rides along the front. Here's the 12z euro Total precip Snow precip 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 Yesterday's severe storms down near Amarillo, TX produced these unique lightning strikes flashing upward into the sky... 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 Had .50” of rain overnight. Looking forward to the 60s and possible 70s this week 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted March 24, 2019 Report Share Posted March 24, 2019 No thank you on the snow, please. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 25, 2019 Report Share Posted March 25, 2019 Wednesday is looking toasty. Mid 70s at least are likely, warmest since early October. Of course its probably going to snow a couple days later though 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pack402 Posted March 25, 2019 Report Share Posted March 25, 2019 My home and property took a huge hit from the floods. I can only hope we luck out and miss the heaviest of the precip. March can be so difficult in our region, will be a huge bummer if we can’t dry out a bit. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 25, 2019 Report Share Posted March 25, 2019 Still in Fargo. Cold and windy. Plenty of snow on the ground here despite a warm past few days, though bare patches on grass are becoming more obvious. 25°F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 25, 2019 Happy Monday all! It's a blustery and cold (34F) morning with winds howling (N 24, G33) out of the NNE ever since the lake enhanced CF swept down the lake late last evening. It's back to Winter early this week, then another hint at Spring by the middle of the week, before we head back to Winter again late week with our next Spring storm. I'll start a storm thread in my next post. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 25, 2019 Report Share Posted March 25, 2019 The cold shot is looking less impressive. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 25, 2019 Report Share Posted March 25, 2019 Yesterday's severe storms down near Amarillo, TX produced these unique lightning strikes flashing upward into the sky... It's looks like sprites! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 25, 2019 Report Share Posted March 25, 2019 45F and crystal blue skies in Marshall currently. Much much better day than was forecast. "Winter return" fail thankfully. It's actually just as nice as Saturday was around these parts. Solar summer baby! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted March 25, 2019 Report Share Posted March 25, 2019 45F and crystal blue skies in Marshall currently. Much much better day than was forecast. "Winter return" fail thankfully. It's actually just as nice as Saturday was around these parts. Solar summer baby! It always seems this time of year with sun temps well exceed forecasts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted March 26, 2019 Report Share Posted March 26, 2019 Weather yesterday was awesome, and today looks like it could be even nicer. Heading to spotter training tonight - finally! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 26, 2019 Report Share Posted March 26, 2019 These are 850's and not 2m temps as they show a different look. There are a couple days mixed in during the Week 1-2 period with warmth but generally are trending cooler in the extended. The next few days are prob the most ideal before it turns active next week but you may escape the rains early next week. I'm looking for a storm later next week in your neck of the woods.The 6-10 day map that I had posted for this period is gonna end up on the money. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 26, 2019 Report Share Posted March 26, 2019 Sunny and gorgeous outside w temps climbing into the 30s and 40s after a cold start. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 26, 2019 Report Share Posted March 26, 2019 Currently sunny and 38F. Splendid day! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 26, 2019 Report Share Posted March 26, 2019 Currently sunny and 38F. Splendid day! 44F attm - not sure we make the 46F in the grid Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 27, 2019 Report Share Posted March 27, 2019 44F attm - not sure we make the 46F in the gridStill feels pleasant enough. My average high has now reached 50F and low of 34F. Feels great and also the days are soooo much longer. Awesome indeed! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 27, 2019 Report Share Posted March 27, 2019 Currently at 32F w clear skies. Lows will be dipping into the 20s tanite. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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