Jesse Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Not Failshington County, though!Why do you want rain there anyway. You must hate summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Why do you want rain there anyway. You must hate summer.I like summer! Occasional rain in the summer is nice. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Details during the transition are muddled... but there is consistent trend towards retrogression which is climo in early July.Higher heights are definitely climo. Not sure about retrogression. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 I will be doing fieldwork on the south side of Mt. Adams through Wednesday. Looks like it could get exciting up there starting tomorrow night, maybe some storms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Higher heights are definitely climo. Not sure about retrogression.General expansion of the 4-corners high is climo. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 General expansion of the 4-corners high is climo.That’s probably a better way of saying it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 58 and mostly sunny in Tacoma. Not a bad day the first real sunshine in 2 days lol. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Had the weirdest dream. In this particular dream, I went outside after hearing some strange noises and was promptly knocked down by 75-mph winds. Huh Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 12Z ECMWF shows the convection that forms east of the mountains on Wednesday afternoon and evening wrapping around the ULL and pounding Vancouver Island on Thursday morning... Looking like a pretty likely outcome. Hard to say exactly where it ends up but we see that from time to time when the rain wraps in from the East like that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 But you guys don’t have air conditioning. Which makes it even more stupid to root for heatwaves. Again, what’s the fooking point? Why root for heat? WHY? Just because you can? What good does it do for you or for the ecosystem? It’s absolutely 100% pointless.I do. A lot of people do these days around here. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 I do. A lot of people do these days around here. more and more people have been getting AC units not every house has them but people have been installing them. You definitely need them a lot more in other parts of the country than here obviously. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 We almost never have that weather here... its so rare that its not even a thought. But its your default summer weather. Big difference. You are projecting. I understand why people in Portland and Eugene like summer troughing... it results in nice weather there. I don't like it here because its often gloomy. I would feel differently if I lived down there. It's not really that simple. If it were, Portland would be way sunnier on average than Seattle. It's not. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Had the weirdest dream. In this particular dream, I went outside after hearing some strange noises and was promptly knocked down by 75-mph winds. Huh Pipe dream. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 General expansion of the 4-corners high is climo.Well, that feature is likely to be persistently weaker than normal this year (for a multitude of reasons). The PNW can achieve warmth without a strong 4-corners high, however. The SW/Southern Plains are a different story. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 1/2" of rain is still fairly lame. Especially when you are as behind average as we are. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 It's not really that simple. If it were, Portland would be way sunnier on average than Seattle. It's not. I don't live in Seattle which also fares better during summer troughing than my area. During summer troughing like we have had over the last few days... Seattle and Portland have been running a couple degrees below normal while it has been 10-15 degrees below normal in the Snoqualmie Valley. I would not mind this pattern so much if I lived in Seattle and Portland. I might even cheer for summer troughing if I lived in Salem or Eugene. Its perfect down there in this pattern. And I know I would be a huge fan of summer troughing if I lived in DC! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 EPS still likes the idea of keeping troughing a lot closer to us in the 7-10 day range, approaching the big holiday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 1/2" of rain is still fairly lame. Especially when you are as behind average as we are.Better than nothing, which is what you can usually expect in late June these days. Some areas that really need it as well, like the coast range, Olympic Peninsula and Cascades get more like 1-2” on that map. I will take it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Better than nothing, which is what you can usually expect in late June these days. Some areas that really need it as well, like the coast range, Olympic Peninsula and Cascades get more like 1-2” on that map. I will take it. Best part would be the heavy rain on Vancouver Island... they really need it. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 I enjoy rain in the summer if it's occasional and it comes from a tropical source enough to keep temperatures 75 degrees or higher. In Hawaii, rain showers can be refreshing since it's not 62 degrees outside when it rains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Better than nothing, which is what you can usually expect in late June these days. Some areas that really need it as well, like the coast range, Olympic Peninsula and Cascades get more like 1-2” on that map. I will take it. If it ends up beating late June 2016 or especially late June 2014 for the Portland area, that would be a spectacular win. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 If it ends up beating late June 2016 or especially late June 2014 for the Portland area, that would be a spectacular win. 2012 was nice. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Nice day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 HOLY SH*T... the sun is shining! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 63 and mostly sunny currently. Even if we get 2 inches of rain before July 1st this would still be the driest January 1st-June 30th period I’ve recorded. The previous record is 2008 with 14.95” of rain throughout that time frame. Currently sitting at 12.05”. This is also following the driest July 1st-December 31st period I’ve recorded which was 11.72” during the second half of 2018. Closest to that record is 12.40” during the second half of 2013. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Lapse rates look impressive here tomorrow and especially Wednesday with almost direct southerly flow. Looking forward to some fun. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Thought this was a neat article. https://www.boldmethod.com/learn-to-fly/weather/thunderstorm-instability-how-they-form/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 2012 was nice. That's really setting your sights high. 2.25" the last week of June at PDX. Ended up as the second wettest June on record, after 2010. #coldphase Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 24, 2019 Report Share Posted June 24, 2019 Looks like HADSST4 was just released to replace HADSST3. To nobody’s surprise, they steepened the warming trend yet again. #OccamsRazor Funniest part is they bumped up the 2012-18 period more than most of the middle 20th century and blew through their own previously published margins of error in some instances. Lol. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 Nice day! Must have to do with the WHAM, the SST 140, and the #octopusrazorclams! Did I do good Phil? 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 Lapse rates look impressive here tomorrow and especially Wednesday with almost direct southerly flow. Looking forward to some fun.They don’t look that great. Surface heating won’t be as optimal as say a day that may hit 90 or so. But the LI’s look favorable for late tomorrow and Wednesday especially. We’ll see though, t-storms are hard to predict this far west. We don’t have “lines” of severe weather easily seen on radar coming at us routinely. Pop ups are really hard to predict, like a snowstorm in Portland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 They don’t look that great. Surface heating won’t be as optimal as say a day that may hit 90 or so. But the LI’s look favorable for late tomorrow and Wednesday especially. We’ll see though, t-storms are hard to predict this far west. We don’t have “lines” of severe weather easily seen on radar coming at us routinely. Pop ups are really hard to predict, like a snowstorm in Portland.Lapse rates (generally) have more to do with upper level dynamics than surface heating, though the degree to which convection is surface-rooted w/in the boundary layer would depend more on the heating/CAPE aspect. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 Mosquitoes are out in force here. Think they've eaten all the lightning flies. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 87% Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 Nice day today high of 66 little warmer than yesterday with the sunshine. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 GFS just took away Thursday’s rainstorm here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 GFS just took away Thursday’s rainstorm here.We will see what the ECMWF shows. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 High temp hasn’t hit 70 degrees here in a week. Might get close to it or hit it tomorrow. Really enjoyable cool stretch of weather doesn’t look like any heat waves in the foreseeable future. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted June 25, 2019 Report Share Posted June 25, 2019 We will see what the ECMWF shows.Yea we will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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