TacomaWaWx Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Looks like the high temp is going to be 76 for today. Warmest day since June 13th here. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Long wait for trailer spots to open up... have to sit here. Wish we had a lake house! It helps a lot!! Even better when you or your neighbors (like at our place) has a launch!I got the jetski fueled up and a new battery purchased...taking it to the lake on Wednesday for the summer...finally! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Oh Phil, you silly boy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 There's like three restaurants there and I think one of them is a Subway. Walk down the street and see what looks best.There’s like 5-6. We always liked Big River Grill or Joe’s El Rio. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Sand bar sort of back now... at least functional. Lake Sammamish almost down to normal summer level. Early... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 There’s like 5-6. We always liked Big River Grill or Joe’s El Rio.We ate at the Grill place. I thought it was pretty good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Rumbles of thunder in the distance and saw a few flashes of lightning this evening in La Pine. Life on the Deschutes is good 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Rumbles of thunder in the distance and saw a few flashes of lightning this evening in La Pine. Life on the Deschutes is goodBeen staying in Sun River the past 3 days and have been enjoying some amazing thunderstorms every evening. It’s been awesome! Looks like more thunderstorms earlier in the day tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Some crazy lightning and downpour that came out of nowhere about 30min ago. Tons of people were walking and biking and got drenched. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Been staying in Sun River the past 3 days and have been enjoying some amazing thunderstorms every evening. It’s been awesome! Looks like more thunderstorms earlier in the day tomorrow.Looking forward to tomorrow!!!!! Cheers to us! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Some crazy lightning and downpour that came out of nowhere about 30min ago. Tons of people were walking and biking and got drenched.I Lost hope of any action by 7pm but like you said they just popped up outta nowhere. We just got sprinkles here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Low to mid 70s every day here in Mexico City, with brief rain showers on a couple evenings. Other than that, a hellish shithole. IMG_20190628_164202869_HDR.jpg I saw this article today: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-48821306 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 The wild swings on the gfs are making me doubt the upgrade. Not just the GFS, the Euro has been terrible past day 5 as well. It keeps showing heat in the 7-10 day range only to push it back on the next run (not that I'm complaining). No idea if the upgrades have anything to do with it though, could just be a difficult pattern for the models to handle. I'm speaking for our area of course, the models might be doing a good job over other parts of the planet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 We needed another warmer and drier than normal month like JFK needed a hole in the head.Most of Oregon isn't in a drought and we're in much better shape than last year at this time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Most of Oregon isn't in a drought and we're in much better shape than last year at this time. Score!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 00Z GFS just took a crap on the 4th. Only 4 days away and still changing so much.The 00z GEM still looks good. Have to wait for the UKMET and EURO now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 The 00z GEM still looks good. Have to wait for the UKMET and EURO now. Not feeling it now... GFS can't be that lost at 4 days out. I am guessing the EURO will probably change as well with the new data. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 I saw this article today: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-48821306Wow, that's pretty crazy. Looks like it was a freak storm. Extreme weather at its finest! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Most of Oregon isn't in a drought and we're in much better shape than last year at this time. you guys are doing better than us here in western WA! Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Not feeling it now... GFS can't be that lost at 4 days out. I am guessing the EURO will probably change as well with the new data.Here's a comparison of the 00z GFS and UKMET for the 4th. Looks like the GFS is too aggressive with bringing the trough down from Canada. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Jesse with a quick 9-0 run after hitting back to back threes and getting hacked in the act driving the paint. 92-81 with 5:31 left in the fourth. Time out Tim! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Not just the GFS, the Euro has been terrible past day 5 as well. It keeps showing heat in the 7-10 day range only to push it back on the next run (not that I'm complaining). No idea if the upgrades have anything to do with it though, could just be a difficult pattern for the models to handle. I'm speaking for our area of course, the models might be doing a good job over other parts of the planet.I’ve been noticing the same thing with the Euro. There always seems to be heat at the end of the run lately, that inevitably gets pushed back. I remember when this coming week and the 4th were looking pretty toasty. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Jesse with a quick 9-0 run after hitting back to back threes and getting hacked in the act driving the paint. 92-81 with 5:31 left in the fourth. Time out Tim!Not looking good! Of course all I was hoping for was pleasant and sunny... not an inferno. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 I think the models have been doing OK with the general pattern... we are just in no man's land where small differences at the 500mb level make a huge difference in tangible weather. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 you guys are doing better than us here in western WA!Yeah, looks like your area is in a severe drought. Hoping you get some rain over the next few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 I’ve been noticing the same thing with the Euro. There always seems to be heat at the end of the run lately, that inevitably gets pushed back. I remember when this coming week and the 4th were looking pretty toasty.The EPS has a demonstrable bias towards WPAC convection in the long range (or at least the previous version did), which could explain some of the wavetrain behavior. As for the new GFS, I have no clue. Some of the model physics and the initialization/gridding schemes are very different. It doesn’t seem to have the same biases the old version had, though. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Yeah, looks like your area is in a severe drought. Hoping you get some rain over the next few days.Chris is under severe drought too. I wonder if any of the trees are still alive there. He has been baking in the 60s with frequent showers and drizzle. I bet his area is a barren wasteland now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 00Z GFS just took a crap on the 4th. Only 4 days away and still changing so much. The 00z GFS looks better than the 18z (colder with more moisture). Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 The 00z GFS looks better than the 18z (IE: colder).That is strange... seems like 72-75 and sunny would be better than clouds and gloomy weather all day which even you said would be depressing. Its not like it was showing 100-degree swamp conditions. Because I assure you that if I lived in DC... I would be a huge summer trough fan just like you! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 I’ve been noticing the same thing with the Euro. There always seems to be heat at the end of the run lately, that inevitably gets pushed back. I remember when this coming week and the 4th were looking pretty toasty. so it doesn’t only happen with cold and snow in the winter?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Thunder cell to the north of me is still flashing every 30 seconds! Absolutely love this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Looks like the GFS is verifiably having a seizure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Decent ensemble support for the 00z GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 June this year was not quite record territory but nonetheless was above average by some degree. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 00Z ECMWF still shows 77 in Seattle on the 4th and then 76 on Friday. It has been between 75-77 in Seattle that day for numerous consecutive runs now. It showed 75 for today in Seattle on the 12Z run this morning and it got into the low 80s in many places. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2019 Report Share Posted July 1, 2019 Saturday looks much cooler than previous runs on the 00Z ECMWF... no doubt Sunday will as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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