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April 2023 Observations and Disussion


Tom

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We’re crossing our fingers in Texas.  
We’re heavy on hope and clouds. 
Jip’d on rain! 

Chilly morning.  57*.  Cloudy
Low chance of rain in North Tx. Better in the south.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Yesterday was the warmest day of the year so far with the official H/L of 71/39. There was 1.23” of rain fall and just 4% of possible sunshine. The highest wind gust was 57MPH. The overnight low here in MBY so far is 33. For today the average H/L is 54/34 the record high of 81 was set in 1921 and 1991 the record low of 18 was set in 1943 and 2003. The record snow fall is 3.5” Last year the H/L was 54/42 and there was 0.69” of rain fall.

So far this year is the wettest year on record for Grand Rapids for the period of January 1 to April 5th So far 14.19” of precipitation has fallen that is +6.58” above the average up to this date. There were some storm reports around west Michigan yesterday but here in MBY it was nothing special just a few flashes of lightning and a crack of thunder.

After a cool and windy day and a cool day tomorrow the next week looks to be rather mild and very spring like. We could see highs back into the 70’s by late next week. With all of the rain fall that will get the grass growing so it will soon be lawn cutting time.

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Headed for 51 tonight. Downright chilly.  
74 for a High Easter. Should be gorgeous. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Not encouraging.  
 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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The official H/L yesterday at GRR was 45/34 there was no rain fall. The overnight low at GRR was 31 here in MBY the low was a colder 25 at the current time it is 26 here in MBY. For today the average H/L is 54/34 the record high of 81 was set in 1991 and the record low of 3 was set in 1982 the most snow fall of 5” fell in 1956 and that was after the big tornado that year.

After a cold start this morning the next week looks to be mostly sunny with a warm up and it could become much above average by late next week. So some warm spring weather is on its way.

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It’s really tough out there. 
 

EB23CB25-1927-4A52-83DC-E0D4BABD63DC.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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It was a beautiful day here yesterday as PHX topped out at 79F which is -5F BN, but that is likely that last BN day for about 6 days.  The pool was about as packed as I've seen it over the years.  There have been more families that have ventured out to the valley for the Spring Break/Easter holiday.  Lot's of new people have purchased condo's over the past couples years in our complex.  Prices did dip a bit in the Winter, but they are starting to rise again as the Spring season ramps up.

It appears some forecasts are showing that Tuesday we may reach the 100F mark in the valley.  Meanwhile, a well deserved break from what has been an ugly Spring for literally all of you out east.  Early summer tease for Chi???  Not to shabby to see a streak of 70's and possible 80's with sunny days.  The vegetation should really bloom next week, except for @Madtown where he has to melt his Glacier first!

nsm_depth_2023040705_Northern_Great_Lake

 

 

 

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The ol' saying that JB uses..."Ridge over Troubled Waters"....interesting Gulf system and one that will surely cycle throughout summer.  I got my eyes on the Gulf states for the post Memorial Day period, more importantly, the period between 7/20 - 7/22 should brew up something Big in the Gulf.  There have been several systems that have came out of the GOM during this years LRC cycle.  I'm really worried about it being a bad "home brewed" Hurricane Season.  Hope I'm wrong about it.

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16 hours ago, Andie said:

It’s really tough out there. 
 

EB23CB25-1927-4A52-83DC-E0D4BABD63DC.jpeg

I've been thinking about this as we go forward looking at the GFS precip maps. Looking like a dead-ringer for a dust bowl with little to no relief in sight.

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Hope you all have a splendid Easter holiday weekend and Mother Nature is delivering just beautiful weather across our Nation (except the SE)....

Well, alrighty then...Summer is making an appearance starting tomorrow...

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Yesterday was the 75th anniversary of a tornado outbreak that affected Illinois and Indiana.  Only 6 tornadoes were documented, but keep in mind that weaker tornadoes were not really recorded back then so the actual total from that day is undoubtedly higher, possibly by quite a bit.

Here are some images from that day.  One is a 500 mb plot from that morning, one is a surface map from mid afternoon and one is a map of the approximate tornado tracks.  All of these are courtesy of bangladeshtornadoes.org, which is a fantastic resource for significant tornado events.  Finally, I provided a photograph of one of the tornadoes -- the F4 that crossed from IL into IN.  This is one of the first photographs that clearly showed a multi-vortex tornado.

At least some of the tornado tracks are a bit off.  For example, the tornado that is shown crossing over Lake Michigan did not do so.  It was a bit farther south and passed a couple miles south of the lake.  But you get the general idea.

 

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62 and on its way to 79.  
Humidity at 47%.  
Beautiful for Texas.  
Easter is expected to be a repeat with highs at 79*.   
Have a beautiful weekend!  🌷🐇

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Can anyone explain what the cause of dirty snowfall from the April 4-5 snowstorm could be?  As that snow is now melting it's leaving a residue on vehicles, roofs, and on the snow itself. It's widespread over miles as well.

The only thing I can think of is dirt from the Iowa tornadoes getting pulled way up and depositing on the nw side of the low up here on the MN/Ontario border. Seems far fetched but looking for other ideas.IMG_20230408_124145710.thumb.jpg.a7b91c2ba32303555da364a3c3f91a7f.jpg

IMG_20230408_104428617.jpg

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They were a little over optimistic regarding No Tx high tomorrow.  
We’ll likely see 73 and a low near 56.  😀

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Happy Easter! Yesterday was a nice early spring day. With 62% of possible sunshine the official H/L at Grand Rapids was 59/32 there was no rain or snow fall. The overnight low here in MBY so far this morning is 32 and that is the current temperature. For today the average H/L is 55/35 the record high of 79 was set in 1931 and the record low of 18 was set in 1997. The record snow fall of 4.4” fell in 1973. Last year it was s cold 40/30 and there was a trace of snow fall.

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Happy Easter everyone.  Its going to be a great weather day for mby, I have a couple of rain chances over the next 7 or 8 days.  1/2 to 1 inch of rain possible with temps in the 70s and 80s.  Week 2 is starting to look cooler with some freezes possible as the weather pattern looks like a classic phase 7 for about a week.

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Happy Easter from the Valley of the Sun!  As the sun begins to rise just above the mountains to my east, it will be a glorious day here as we will likely top 90F for the 1st time this year.  It'll be a Hot one but nobody is complaining.  Have a splendid time with family and friends today.

 

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A very Happy Easter to all!   We’re anticipating a gorgeous day topping out at 73*.  Sunny, light breeze. 
74 tomorrow with a 20% chance of rain. (We hope)

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Yesterday was a mild Easter Sunday with the official H/L of 66/34 at Grand Rapids. There was no rain fall and the day had 89% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here in MBY so far is 35 looks like the official low was a much warmer 43 and the current official temperature is also much warmer at 46.

The average H/L for today is 55/35 the record high of 85 was set in 2011 and the record low of 15 was set in 1989. As we settle down on the snow fall the record for today is 2” set way back in 1894 there was 1” reported in 1961 all other snow fall reports for today are under one inch. Last year the high was 58 after a cold low of 24.

This week looks to be a very warm mid April week with highs in the 70’s and in spots there could be a 80 or so. But summer is NOT here yet as next week looks to cool down to near or below average.

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There is a marginal severe risk today as a few storms fire up along a low level boundary. Most of the action should be west and north of me, but I may get some leftovers. 

Next chance of something looks like around Friday or so. 

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6 minutes ago, Black Hole said:

There is a marginal severe risk today as a few storms fire up along a low level boundary. Most of the action should be west and north of me, but I may get some leftovers. 

Next chance of something looks like around Friday or so. 

Mostly over me as well... Earliest start between noon and 2 PM.

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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PHX did not hit the 90F mark yesterday as we topped out at 89F.  Today, will be another story as we are starting out in the low 60's and shooting up into the upper 90's.  Gotta love the large temp spread in the dry desert airmass.  Happy Monday!

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So 70's all week into the weekend.  Then Tuesday (the day my golf league starts) next week 40 and raining/snow?  Then it warms up again right after that.   Sounds about right.  I hate spring.  

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My favorite eastern Iowa meteorologist, Kaj O'mara, announced this morning he is leaving the local news field for another job (weather forensics consulting) after sixteen years at KCRG.  I had hoped he was sticking around for so long so he could take over for chief met Joe Winters when he retires.  ☹️

season snowfall: 5.0"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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On 4/8/2023 at 7:00 PM, Beltrami Island said:

Can anyone explain what the cause of dirty snowfall from the April 4-5 snowstorm could be?  As that snow is now melting it's leaving a residue on vehicles, roofs, and on the snow itself. It's widespread over miles as well.

The only thing I can think of is dirt from the Iowa tornadoes getting pulled way up and depositing on the nw side of the low up here on the MN/Ontario border. Seems far fetched but looking for other ideas.IMG_20230408_124145710.thumb.jpg.a7b91c2ba32303555da364a3c3f91a7f.jpg

IMG_20230408_104428617.jpg

As the upper low kicked up to the northeast dust from Texas was pulled into the storm system. We had dust suspended in the air. That dust worked into the storm system causing the dirty snow. 
 

 

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10 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

My favorite eastern Iowa meteorologist, Kaj O'mara, announced this morning he is leaving the local news field for another job (weather forensics consulting) after sixteen years at KCRG.  I had hoped he was sticking around for so long so he could take over for chief met Joe Winters when he retires.  ☹️

Kaj is also my favorite! Gonna miss his insights!

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On 4/8/2023 at 10:07 PM, OmahaSnowFan said:

Finally finished my YouTube video of the wedge EF-4 tornado I saw on 3/31

 

Amazing!  Thanks for sharing! All your footage  was 2 to 13 miles from my house!  One of those hog farms lost 9000 pigs I heard.  Its crazy that no one died in that monster!

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My daffodils are now if full bloom. Yesterday was another nice spring day with the official H/L of 67/43 there was 83% of possible sun and no rain fall. The overnight low here in MBY this morning is the current temperature of 42 with clear skies. For today the average H/L is now up to 56/36 the record high of 82 was set in 1977 and the record low of 14 was set in 1973. The record snow fall of 4.6” fell in 2007. Last year the H/L was 59/39.

The rest of this week looks to be on the very warm side before a cool down over the weekend that will drop temperatures to near and then below average. The is a chance of some snow to the north as well. So don’t put the winter coats away just yet.

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Today begins a stretch of well above normal temps that will last into the start of the weekend. Looks like we cool down to normal to a little below again by the middle of next week. We should see 80's by Thursday and Friday...but we should stay well below the record highs for those dates. We could use some rain as we are now at only 71% of normal through today.
Records for today: High 84 (2017) / Low 23 (1909) / Precipitation 1.85" (1894) / Snow - today in 1894 marks the end of the greatest 2 day late season April snowstorms in the counties history. With today's 18.5" of snow along with the previous day's 9.7" we recorded a wet snow total of 28.2" in Western Chester County.
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DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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I really enjoy these Spring mornings when the cool and warm air is layered and we get a bit of “atmospheric frosting” on our day.  
Were at 49. On our way to 74. 

44EE8B5C-1D1C-43A8-B90E-55977B979936.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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50 minutes ago, Andie said:

I really enjoy these Spring mornings when the cool and warm air is layered and we get a bit of “atmospheric frosting” on our day.  
Were at 49. On our way to 74. 

44EE8B5C-1D1C-43A8-B90E-55977B979936.jpeg

That looks wonderful...love everything about this photo...

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I love the way the clouds crawl here in the Spring and Fall.  It’s a special place tucked away in SW Tarrant County near Ft Worth. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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On our way to 82 today, and mid to upper 80's, possibly 90 Wednesday and Thursday.  Very surprised how little to no trees are budding out yet.  Starting to see a little green in some yards, but not much.  A few of the lawn services have mowed up dead grass/leaves, but most yards still look like they are a few weeks away, at least, from the first mowing.  Unfortunately, we've gotten dry again, and it seems like there are daily red flag and fire warnings.  

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Cedar Rapids hit 80º for the first time this afternoon.

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season snowfall: 5.0"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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