July 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Phil]

You can remove the "attm'.

 

I-5 is almost always a parking lot between Seattle and Everett. Its a joke.

Yeah I’ve been delayed 23 minutes heading southbound based on google maps. I’m used to it, but it’s a pain in the a** nonetheless.

[Omegaraptor]

18z totally de-balls any sort of heat event.

#plzverify

Interestingly, quite a few ensemble members agree with the operational.

[TacomaWaWx]

Yeah I’ve been delayed 23 minutes heading southbound based on google maps. I’m used to it, but it’s a pain in the a** nonetheless.

it’s as bad here in the Seattle area as anywhere in the country it’s absolutely horrible here traffic wise.

[Phil]

It’s like the I-495 Inner-Loop from McLean - Silver Spring.

 

Backed-up every day, even on weekends. Must be a similar situation here in Seattle. Volume is too condensed..need another major artery but water/existing infrastructure prevents it, just like back home. Screwage.

[Omegaraptor]

[Omegaraptor]

What is up with the models right now? They can’t seem to get anything right even 5 days out.

[ShawniganLake]

What is up with the models right now? They can’t seem to get anything right even 5 days out.

ULLs are a *****.

[Jesse]

Interestingly, quite a few ensemble members agree with the operational.

EPS looks like it’s liking the idea of the ULL ending up in a favourable spot for us too.

 

It’s gonna be August by then though, so it’s probably most prudent to expect that we will absolutely roast our faces off.

[Omegaraptor]

The August 2 storm looks incredibly strong for midsummer, and looks like it also might be able to deliver some t-storms.

 

Cliff Mass’ head is going to explode when he sees this.

 

 

#absolutelynothinglikelastsummer

[MossMan]

You can remove the "attm".

 

I-5 is almost always a parking lot between Seattle and Everett. Its a joke.

Actually between Seattle and Marysville these days...and not much better up my way due to construction and lane closures on I-5. I-5 is just a horrible joke these days...even at 10:30 on a Saturday morning it’s a parking lot.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Front Ranger]

[MossMan]

[Omegaraptor]

Hopefully the dying +ENSO means that all the Pacific storms hit the PNW instead of California.

 

Remember March when California was getting absolutely pounded while large swathes of the PNW were getting top 5 dry Marches?

[TT-SEA]

Hopefully we have another blocky winter... with long stretches of sunny weather and an east wind blowing. Punctuated by some periods of cold and snow. And spring comes by late February and stays.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Hopefully we have another blocky winter... with long stretches of sunny weather and a east wind blowing. Punctuated by some periods of cold and snow. And spring comes by late February and stays.

That would be ideal.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Hopefully we have another blocky winter... with long stretches of sunny weather and a east wind blowing.    Punctuated by some periods of cold and snow.   And spring comes by late February and stays.   

 

A fukkin top-tier regional event in Dec-Jan would be really nice and hasn't happened in way too long.

[Jesse]

Hopefully we have another blocky winter... with long stretches of sunny weather and a east wind blowing.    Punctuated by some periods of cold and snow.   And spring comes by late February and stays.

 

Opinion police!

[TT-SEA]

Opinion police!

 

 

Not policing at all.   Just stating an opinion like the post directly above it.  

[GHweatherChris]

#wherestheproof

[Requiem]

One good winter storm would be nice, but I really would like a regional windstorm, we're pretty overdue for a good one. Ideally I would love a winter like 2006-2007. That winter was great save for the November snow missing Portland and the Hanukkah Eve Storm being much weaker than expected down here in the Valley.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[TacomaWaWx]

77/54 day today. Getting a little breezy now here this evening. Overall another great summer day.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

One good winter storm would be nice, but I really would like a regional windstorm, we're pretty overdue for a good one. Ideally I would love a winter like 2006-2007. That winter was great save for the November snow missing Portland and the Hanukkah Eve Storm being much weaker than expected down here in the Valley.

I was barely old enough to remember this but the December 1995 windstorm was pretty intense, especially on the Coast. I wouldn't mind seeing something like that again.

[Omegaraptor]

One good winter storm would be nice, but I really would like a regional windstorm, we're pretty overdue for a good one. Ideally I would love a winter like 2006-2007. That winter was great save for the November snow missing Portland and the Hanukkah Eve Storm being much weaker than expected down here in the Valley.

Ever heard of the January 9, 1880 event?

 

https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/January1880.html

 

A 955mb low! 28.56” barometric pressure in Portland and of course the entire region got snow as well. Port Townsend got over 48”!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Ever heard of the January 9, 1880 event?

 

https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/January1880.html

 

A 955mb low!

 

Hopefully something like that with a monster bent-back occlusion dropping a bunch of snow behind it too.

[Guest CulverJosh]

Not unless this changes.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Ever heard of the January 9, 1880 event?

 

https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/January1880.html

 

A 955mb low! 28.56” barometric pressure in Portland and of course the entire region got snow as well. Port Townsend got over 48”!

That was a behemoth storm! But I'd sacrifice wind for snow if a situation like that ever presented itself. Get that sucker to track just south of Eugene!

[Omegaraptor]

Not unless this changes.

You know upwelling is far more extensive than it was even three weeks ago, right?

[Requiem]

Ever heard of the January 9, 1880 event?

 

https://climate.washington.edu/stormking/January1880.html

 

A 955mb low! 28.56” barometric pressure in Portland and of course the entire region got snow as well. Port Townsend got over 48”!

 

Indeed I have heard of that event. I'm hoping we can at least get PDX a gust over 60 mph this winter, hasn't happened since December 2014 (which wasn't a terribly widespread event). The Hanukkah Eve Storm was great, but there was a large disparity in the winds that Puget Sound got, and the far weaker winds that the Valley received. Most valley locations only recorded 45-55 gusts, in comparison to SeaTac which immediately jumped to 65-80.

 

That being said, anyone have any experiences from the Hanukkah storm here in Portland? I can't remember it, was it as weak as the peak gusts suggest?

[TacomaWaWx]

Indeed I have heard of that event. I'm hoping we can at least get PDX a gust over 60 mph this winter, hasn't happened since December 2014 (which wasn't a terribly widespread event). The Hanukkah Eve Storm was great, but there was a large disparity in the winds that Puget Sound got, and the far weaker winds that the Valley received. Most valley locations only recorded 45-55 gusts, in comparison to SeaTac which immediately jumped to 65-80.

 

That being said, anyone have any experiences from the Hanukkah storm here in Portland? I can't remember it, was it as weak as the peak gusts suggest?

We had 60mph+ gusts here on 12/20 and 1/6 this winter. As for the 12/14/06 storm I wasn’t in Portland but I do remember vaguely.

[Requiem]

We had 60mph+ gusts here on 12/20 and 1/6 this winter. As for the 12/14/06 storm I wasn’t in Portland but I do remember vaguely.

 

12/20 storm missed us completely (typical) and we had some decent 40-50 mph gusts on 1/6. Storm track was definitely more favorable for your area this year.

[TacomaWaWx]

12/20 storm missed us completely (typical) and we had some decent 40-50 mph gusts on 1/6. Storm track was definitely more favorable for your area this year.

Yeah both of those were pretty strong here. We had a couple other days this year with windy conditions like 12/14 and 2/27.

[GHweatherChris]

12/20 storm missed us completely (typical) and we had some decent 40-50 mph gusts on 1/6. Storm track was definitely more favorable for your area this year.

When yoi get old enough to have actual responsibilities, you would not eant another Hannukah storm.

[TacomaWaWx]

Latest gfs run takes the system a little farther offshore and impacts the coast more. Could be totally different by the 12z we will just have to wait and see.

[Requiem]

When yoi get old enough to have actual responsibilities, you would not eant another Hannukah storm.

 

No, I still probably would. I enjoy watching the spectacle, but that doesn't mean I want people to be hurt and property to be damaged. There are plenty of people who adore storm chasing, both close to their location and far abroad. I'm not that extreme, but I still enjoy extreme weather to an extent. Not everything needs to be chalked up to age.

[Jesse]

Not everything needs to be chalked up to age.

It does for grown a** adults whose number of trips around the sun are literally all they have to be proud of.

[Omegaraptor]

Massive changes on the 00z ensembles. Amazing how the potential for a big heat wave just died in two runs, and just 6 days out.

[seattleweatherguy]

Latest gfs run takes the system a little farther offshore and impacts the coast more. Could be totally different by the 12z we will just have to wait and see.

Wow not much rain then if verifies

[Jesse]

00z ensembles say, what heat wave?