November 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Timmy Supercell]

Did the PDX radar go down?

 

It works.

 

[Deweydog]

Time for a Tylenol pm chaser.

 

Nightly nite.

 

Fingers crossed for a surprise inch or two.

 

Take pictures please.

Write your SSN on your left forearm.

[seattleweatherguy]

Bothell is 33 with a dp of 18 wow all I need is moisture

[TT-SEA]

As I typed in one sentence about an hour ago... the 00Z GFS did not show any snow for the Seattle area. Still true.

 

I might also report on the ECMWF in about 45 min. No matter what it shows.

[Jesse]

Time for a Tylenol pm chaser.

 

Nightly nite.

 

Fingers crossed for a surprise inch or two.

 

Take pictures please.

 

Before you go to bed say you love me too, drunk guy!

[Deweydog]

TimWatch 2019!

[seattleweatherguy]

As I typed in one sentence about an hour ago... the 00Z GFS did not show any snow for the Seattle area. Still true.

 

I might also report on the ECMWF in about 45 min. No matter what it shows.

I’m honored to get updates like this. As a complete novice to reading models it helps. Prb other ppl too good or bad news

[TT-SEA]

Time for a Tylenol pm chaser.

Nightly nite.

Fingers crossed for a surprise inch or two.

Take pictures please.

Better be on here early!

 

I am going to be pissed if I see it snowing in Puyallup and you are not here.

[Jesse]

I’m honored to get updates like this. As a complete novice to reading models it helps. Prb other ppl too good or bad news

 

No one else here will actually tell you what's really happening on the models. True facts.

[Jesse]

I like the look of the long range 00Z GFS. Tries to get a more consolidated jet in here.

[The Swamp]

I love Jesse too.

 

I even got a Ryobi battery powered leaf blower because of him.

 

Gonna clear off the snowy sidewalks with it tomorrow,

[Jesse]

GFS shows a midweek system now too. First run to show that.

[Jesse]

Took advantage of the cold and dry weather today to check out Upper and Middle Lewis River falls in central Skamania county. Some pretty significant icing on the falls and the river itself.

 

 

[Blizzard777]

Tasmania Devil loose SW of Corvallis!

 

[Deweydog]

Tornado snow!!!

 

Thanks, Blob!

[Timmy Supercell]

This is going to reach 10,000 posts before midnight.

[TT-SEA]

I hope the 00Z ECMWF shows lots of snow!

 

Some people on here just want to know the actual model details... and some people only want good news for them.    Its easier when both can happen.

[GHweatherChris]

I hope the 00Z ECMWF shows lots of snow!

 

Some people on here just want to know the actual model details... and some only want good news for them. Its easier when both can happen.

Problem?

[Jesse]

A few more to put the size of the falls in perspective.

 

 

[Omegaraptor]

I like the look of the long range 00Z GFS. Tries to get a more consolidated jet in here.

Consolidated jet? That looks like an AR at hour 264.

[Jesse]

Problem?

People were starting to stray toward topics besides him again.

[TT-SEA]

Problem?

 

Nope.

[Jesse]

Consolidated jet? That looks like an AR at hour 264.

 

An AR is a type of consolidated jet.

[Blizzard777]

Crazy things happening down south! 
Thunder cell

windy cell

and a flash killer freeze!  (-40)

Tylenol PM effect 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Oh well. At least the 528dm thickness line crossed once this cold season.

[TT-SEA]

People were starting to stray toward topics besides him again.

 

 

I had no idea reporting on the latest model for tomorrow for the Seattle area in one sentence would generate a drunk snow weenie attack.  

[GHweatherChris]

 

I had no idea reporting on the latest model for tomorrow for the Seattle area in one sentence would generate a drunk snow weenie attack.

Nice try.

[High Desert Mat?]

Tell is more Tim how it’s gonna be dry and sunny for the foreseeable future. That’s what I come on here for!!!!

[High Desert Mat?]

Nice try.

He’s getting exactly what he wants.

[Deweydog]

Oh well. At least the 528dm thickness line crossed once this cold season.

We had him over for waffles early this morning before he left town. Said he might be back around spring break. Also said he hates Tim despite the fact he provides him so much future-melting snow.

[TT-SEA]

Tell is more Tim how it’s gonna be dry and sunny for the foreseeable future. That’s what I come on here for!!!!

You will take what nature gives you!

 

Nature does not care.

[Deweydog]

He’s getting exactly what he wants.

Bingo!

[Deweydog]

Euro!!!

[TT-SEA]

Snow totals per 00Z ECMWF... sort of agrees with the GFS.

 

[TT-SEA]

Side note... was down in North Bend and the wind was roaring down there. Not so much up here though.

[TT-SEA]

Looks like most people will see at least some snow falling. Seattle northward looks like the least likely area.

[Requiem]

Latest WRF run....hmmm.....

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Crazy things happening down south!

Thunder cell

windy cell

and a flash killer freeze! (-40)

Tylenol PM effect

If the airmass was colder we could have a 1-10-17 redux! ❄

[Jesse]

Latest WRF run....hmmm.....

 

 

The strength of the wind out there tells me that any map that shows Clark County getting dry slotted will probably be right.

[Requiem]

The strength of the wind out there tells me that any map that shows Clark county getting dry slotted will probably be right.

 

Double-edged sword-- brings in the cold but eats away at the precip.