Tom Posted December 6, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 00z Euro...looking like a refresher for you guys up north...keep stacking up the white gold and build the Glacier... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 NOAA:Precipitation associated with a low pressure system moving acrossHudson Bay/Ontario during the weekend will remain to the north, butit will draw a frontal boundary southward into the central GreatLakes Sunday night into Monday. This will set the stage for the nextround of precipitation as a strong southern stream jet crossing thecentral/southern plains leads to development of a low pressuresystem that will ride this frontal boundary northeastward intoMichigan. Temperatures in the 40s on Monday and the track of thislow will allow p-type for bulk of this event to fall as rain with achance to see a changeover to snow Monday night into Tuesday ascolder air begins to filter into Michigan behind a cold front.An arctic airmass will then plunge into the Great Lakes Tuesdaythrough mid-week bringing well below average temperatures and lakeeffect snow. Lead cold air advection with westerly winds will likelybring lake effect snow showers from Lake Michigan into the areaTuesday through Tuesday night. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 I'm very jealous of our friends up north, getting another blast of snow. This looks to be a high ratio event with solid amounts of moisture and plenty of cold, leading to high ratios. These have a tendency to over perform. If the flakes are good sized, it can really pile up in these events. Should be a fun start to your week next week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 I'm very jealous of our friends up north, getting another blast of snow. This looks to be a high ratio event with solid amounts of moisture and plenty of cold, leading to high ratios. These have a tendency to over perform. If the flakes are good sized, it can really pile up in these events. Should be a fun start to your week next week. Yep, that's what I loved about living in the snow belt of NMI. The season started fast, and there were a ton of snow chances between synoptic hits and LES. Fwiw, GEM's the odd model out per APX due to it's less than impressive calls on the last 2 storms. .LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Thursday)Issued at 231 AM EST Fri Dec 6 2019 High Impact Weather: Strong winter storm with strong windsand multiple precipitation types possible An elongated area of low pressure moves toward southern Michiganthrough the morning. Discrepancies still abound with the intensityand timing, but the general consensus is intensification as the lowmoves into southeastern Ontario. P-type issues are likely throughthe day Monday, and are heavily dependent on the choice of modelright now. The GFS is more bullish, both with the warm nose and thevery cold air undercutting it. The farther south/weaker Canadiangives mainly light to moderate snow, with the Euro in between.Given performance of the long range Canadian in the past few stormsystems, am leaning more toward a GFS/Euro blend. In fact thelatest Canadian has came more in line with the others: strongerand more northwest. Arctic air pours into the Midwest and GreatLakes following this system. 850mb temps drop into the negativemid-20s, with single digits overnight lows looking more and morelikely. Deep troughing rotates over Hudson Bay Tuesday andWednesday, likely bringing multiple rounds of lake effect throughmidweek. High pressure moves in late in the week, bringing quieterconditions. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 NOAA:Precipitation associated with a low pressure system moving acrossHudson Bay/Ontario during the weekend will remain to the north, butit will draw a frontal boundary southward into the central GreatLakes Sunday night into Monday. This will set the stage for the nextround of precipitation as a strong southern stream jet crossing thecentral/southern plains leads to development of a low pressuresystem that will ride this frontal boundary northeastward intoMichigan. Temperatures in the 40s on Monday and the track of thislow will allow p-type for bulk of this event to fall as rain with achance to see a changeover to snow Monday night into Tuesday ascolder air begins to filter into Michigan behind a cold front. An arctic air mass will then plunge into the Great Lakes Tuesdaythrough mid-week bringing well below average temperatures and lakeeffect snow. Lead cold air advection with westerly winds will likelybring lake effect snow showers from Lake Michigan into the areaTuesday through Tuesday night. Going to have to watch this for a ground whitening potential which would go wonderfully with my holiday decorations. Generally, the SR models will better handle net effects of the LES and often totals will increase from what the lower resolution globals show. I may be posting in here more wrt that as we get into closer range. Wind direction is critical as always for mby. The other consideration is GRR's concern that moisture levels are nothing impressive, a fairly dry atmosphere to work with. Any positive outcome for my place will be leaning heavily on the extremely cold air and Delta-T's anticipated. Let's see if Lake Michigan can be a massive steaming over-filled bath tub and generate it's own impressive moisture. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 Going to have to watch this for a ground whitening potential which would go wonderfully with my holiday decorations. Generally, the SR models will better handle net effects of the LES and often totals will increase from what the lower resolution globals show. I may be posting in here more wrt that as we get into closer range. Wind direction is critical as always for mby. The other consideration is GRR's concern that moisture levels are nothing impressive, a fairly dry atmosphere to work with. Any positive outcome for my place will be leaning heavily on the extremely cold air and Delta-T's anticipated. Let's see if Lake Michigan can be a massive steaming over-filled bath tub and generate it's own impressive moisture.Indeed. That might be the only option left tbh.... 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 This from Accu-Weather: Cities that could receive enough snow to lightly coat roads include Omaha, Nebraska; Des Moines, Iowa; Milwaukee; Chicago; South Bend, Indiana; and Detroit and Lansing, Michigan. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 3-6” in the point for Sunday night/Monday. Solid refresher incoming. Build that glacier! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 6, 2019 Report Share Posted December 6, 2019 Here is the EPS mean and ensembles for this storm. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2019 Report Share Posted December 7, 2019 Drives me NUTS how my office can have a FOOT or more of synoptic snow in parts of their coverage area twice and down-play the events, yet immediately hype a cold wave with graphics like this: Nonetheless, they do have the risk of impacts stretching almost to mby so I'm inclined to keep following their pathetic rhetoric about how terrible and life-threatening a LES event can be. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2019 Report Share Posted December 7, 2019 In the fwiw category, the backside of this early week system is coming into NAM's range and I like immediately what I see. It has at least a few hours of decent wind direction and ongoing transition from RN/mix to snow that's trying to reach into Calhoun Cnty. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 7, 2019 Report Share Posted December 7, 2019 In the fwiw category, the backside of this early week system is coming into NAM's range and I like immediately what I see. It has at least a few hours of decent wind direction and ongoing transition from RN/mix to snow that's trying to reach into Calhoun Cnty. 20191207 0z NAM_Surf_fh78-84.gifDo you see what I see down far south in the GOM, south of Brownsville, TX?! Could that be our crusher getting its act together............ 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 7, 2019 Report Share Posted December 7, 2019 Do you see what I see down far south in the GOM, south of Brownsville, TX?! Could that be our crusher getting its act together............ I don't think so. That'd be too soon. That looks like the possible Tue-Wed deal for the Mid-Atlantic. The GOMEX Low forms next Friday iirc. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2019 00z Euro keeps the snow farther north across the Northwoods primarily while MSP rides the southern edge...some of our members who have places up in N MN and N WI are going to benefit from this system. The trails should be in great shape! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 7, 2019 Report Share Posted December 7, 2019 Thanks for the updates! I’m out in South Carolina soaking up some rays and warmth before I return on Monday afternoon. I haven’t been able to follow this that closely so I appreciate the posts. Looks like MPX is now at 2-4”. Maybe that will help minimize any potential travel delays. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2019 Thanks for the updates! I’m out in South Carolina soaking up some rays and warmth before I return on Monday afternoon. I haven’t been able to follow this that closely so I appreciate the posts. Looks like MPX is now at 2-4”. Maybe that will help minimize any potential travel delays.Enjoy the rays! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted December 7, 2019 Report Share Posted December 7, 2019 00z Euro keeps the snow farther north across the Northwoods primarily while MSP rides the southern edge...some of our members who have places up in N MN and N WI are going to benefit from this system. The trails should be in great shape! The businesses up there are happy. First time in many years that the trails will not only open on time, but also be in good/great condition. It’s a winter wonderland up there already and sure seems like it’s going to stay that way for a while. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 8, 2019 The Northwoods cashin' in on this pattern...cash registers are ringin' up north! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 8, 2019 Report Share Posted December 8, 2019 NAM has this interesting little "tail" swiping the western Sub. Is it legit? 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 2-4” of snow and up to 0.1” of ice in the point for overnight into tomorrow noon. WWA now covers the entire metro. Flying back home might be an issue at 1pm. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 As the RN changes to SN overnight Mon-Tue, many of the SR models continue to show at least a period of decent LES coming inland on a W or WNW wind. The WRF-NMM has a really sweet looking I-94 band 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 As the RN changes to SN overnight Mon-Tue, many of the SR models continue to show at least a period of decent LES coming inland on a W or WNW wind. The WRF-NMM has a really sweet looking I-94 band 20191209 0z wrf-nmm_ref_frzn_neus_h30.pngRight ova ya area amigo....looks good! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Right ova ya area amigo....looks good! I'm sure if it verifies it WILL look good. Except I plan to be asleep at that hour so I won't be seeing it . I will, however, be chiseling it off my car windows as temps will be in the 20's by that hour 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 I'm sure if it verifies it WILL look good. Except I plan to be asleep at that hour so I won't be seeing it . I will, however, be chiseling it off my car windows as temps will be in the 20's by that hour Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Going to be a relatively brief but really intense burst of snow here. Monday morning commute buster for the metro. Heading up to 75F here in Savannah, GA today. Should be around 6F when I land at MSP. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Odd look to this with the area of snow so far removed from both the SLP and it's rain shield. Things are too much like spring here south of the track. Very Nino-like feel to this current pattern. Kinda like winter's afraid to trespass down at this LAT. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Live traffic cams out of Omaha show a mini blizzard going on...it will be brief but what a score out of a system that is mainly in Minnesota. I don’t think the forecast was this aggressive for snow in Omaha?? Snow surprises are fun especially when they over achieve. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Odd look to this with the area of snow so far removed from both the SLP and it's rain shield. Things are too much like spring here south of the track. Very Nino-like feel to this current pattern. Kinda like winter's afraid to trespass down at this LAT. 20191209 8am Surface.jpg Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Live traffic cams out of Omaha show a mini blizzard going on...it will be brief but what a score out of a system that is mainly in Minnesota. I don’t think the forecast was this aggressive for snow in Omaha?? Snow surprises are fun especially when they over achieve. Glad you/somebody was noticing and posting on that. I saw it on models yesterday and mentioned whether it was legit? Nice surprise! Rippin weenie band! 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Yep- just put in WWA mainly for short duration of blizzard like conditions. We'll take whatever we can get here in C.IA. https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=IAZ059&warncounty=IAC049&firewxzone=IAZ059&local_place1=2 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 NAM has this interesting little "tail" swiping the western Sub. Is it legit? namconus_ref_frzn_ncus_fh24-35.gifYeah looks like its verifying. WWA across central Iowa for a quick burst of snow and wind. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Live traffic cams out of Omaha show a mini blizzard going on...it will be brief but what a score out of a system that is mainly in Minnesota. I don’t think the forecast was this aggressive for snow in Omaha?? Snow surprises are fun especially when they over achieve.Definitely an overachiever here this morning. Was out in the worst of it when I took my kids to school this morning, visibility was pretty low and had a really quick burst of heavy snow and strong winds (it was dark out like a summer thunderstorm when the heaviest band rolled through). It was definitely a slow go for the morning commute, perfect timing to wreak havoc on commuters around here. It looks like we might have picked up about an inch of snow from this system as well... that's a winner in my book considering how slow this Winter has started around here. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Yeah looks like its verifying. WWA across central Iowa for a quick burst of snow and wind.Most definitely legit... even though it's a very quick hitter (a burst of snow for about an hour, that's it). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 we got 1/2" at most in west Omaha Someone must have left a window open on the dome... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 we got 1/2" at most in west Omaha Someone must have left a window open on the dome... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Snowing hard! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 I've just been put in a WWA until 1pm for near blizzard conditions. Quick hitter though so only an inch at best. Nice to see though! Cars and rooftops are white already. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 I've just been put in a WWA until 1pm for near blizzard conditions. Quick hitter though so only an inch at best. Nice to see though! Cars and rooftops are white already.Glad to see that the snow band held together for you guys out in Iowa. The sun is out and shining here, however it is still windy with snow still blowing around some, and temps are in the upper teens, brrrr! I am really surprised that the local NWS offices in Omaha and Des Moines didn't use the new "Snow Squall Warning" option for a headline... this event surely fits that category, am I right? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 The HRRR has the band of snow that is in Central Iowa right now falling apart by the time it gets here. I am not expecting much if any snow from this. The cold front has moved through here. It was 41 degrees at 10:00am and at 11:00am it is now 33 degrees. Winds have also really picked up as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2019 Report Share Posted December 9, 2019 Pounding here! Snowing sideways. Definitely looks like winter! Maybe half inch so far. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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