Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[Requiem]

Looks pretty good up north. I'm t Well we will have to see about mid week. I think we will see some snow tomorrow and Tuesday most likely. Wednesday and Thursday are up in the air at this point.

 

Yeah. I think hills could see some some dustings down here this week.

[TacomaWaWx]

Yeah. I think hills could see some some dustings down here this week.

at 900' you'll do just fine.

[El_Nina]

Snowing below 800' just to our west in the coast range

[Phil]

Physics generally suggest models will be a bit slow with low level cold air advection. I doubt they will ever be able to account for every single boundary layer nuance on a micro level, and those nuances generally slow its progression rather than accelerate it. This of course is most applicable in continental situations.

 

Of course the opposite is the case with low level cold situations when it’s well entrenched.

 

Just food for thought for the newbs and Josh.

I assume you mean “a bit fast”?

 

The model biases are almost universally on the fast side with the advection (and scouring) of cold air in the lower/surface boundary layer.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Snowing north of Shawnigan now, looks like the band that the models were showing over Victoria, someone needs to nudge that band to the south.

 

[Bham_Guy]

Light snow is starting to develop in Bellingham now

[TacomaWaWx]

Been really breezy in Tacoma all day in the sunshine. 35-40mph at times.

[bainbridgekid]

[Requiem]

at 900' you'll do just fine.

 

We'll see. A little skeptical after the models today.

[Timmy]

at 900' you'll do just fine.

we need to stop telling him that, he is in full weenie mode. And I hope he gets screwed.

[Phil]

Yep. Here, the models are almost always way too slow with low level cold.

That’s bizarre.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Looks like the cold air has crossed into western WA at Sumas. Little slower than expected but it's arrived.

 

 

Prolly stuck in traffic, but at least its made it to the border.  Border wait times are pretty much less than 5 minutes, so shouldn't be delayed there unless it gets pulled off for a secondary search.

[Timmy]

Up to 20” has fallen on the wettest parts of the island not far from here. In 24 hours...

[Requiem]

we need to stop telling him that, he is in full weenie mode. And I hope he gets screwed.

 

Aww, thanks Timmy. You've always been real "nice" to me (and to be honest, I don't know where these flashes of meanness come from).

[Phil]

Some of the heaviest snow I’ve ever seen

 

D81BFF56-7AD5-4A37-934A-096E3932ED8F.jpeg

That’s sick.

[Art_Digbee]

Prolly stuck in traffic, but at least its made it to the border.  Border wait times are pretty much less than 5 minutes, so shouldn't be delayed there unless it gets pulled off for a secondary search.

They probably thought it was bringing some pineapple or other fruit and got pulled for a search. Once they confirm the air is not tropical, it will be released. Full snow on Orcas now.

[Shawn]

Snowing down to at least 900’ in scappoose now.

 

My Brother just text me saying snow at his house at 800' up JP West.

[bainbridgekid]

Wouldn't surprise me at all to see some thundersnow embedded in the CZ right now around Everett.

[Timmy]

Aww, thanks Timmy. You've always been real nice to me (and to be honest, I don't know where these flashes of meanness come from).

go back, read your last few posts, then construct a logical argument about how what I am saying is wrong.

[Requiem]

go back, read your last few posts, then construct a logical argument about how what I am saying is wrong.

 

Oh, no doubt I want snow. Not at all, and your assessment of me being in "weenie mode" is fully correct. But I've always found you've had a particular dislike for me. Just a little observation.

[Timmy]

My Brother just text me saying snow at his house at 800' up JP West.

my buddy is just above him at the corner of jp west and mt view!

[GHweatherChris]

Radar shows some good precip over me, nothing falling at all, weird, but the temp is dropping fairly quickly.

[Requiem]

Radar shows some good precip over me, nothing falling at all, weird, but the temp is dropping fairly quickly.

 

Virga?

[BLI snowman]

we need to stop telling him that, he is in full weenie mode. And I hope he gets screwed.

 

There's close to zero chance he sees less than 3-4" these next few days. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

33!

[Timmy]

Oh, no doubt I want snow. Not at all, and your assessment of me being in "weenie mode" is fully correct. But I've always found you've had a particular dislike for me. Just a little observation.

nothing to do with you personally, I don’t know you other than what you post. What you are posting lately isn’t great, so I’m calling you on it.

[Requiem]

https://twitter.com/NWSSeattle/status/1216535397678796800

[GHweatherChris]

Virga?

Not sure, it showed less earlier and I was seeing moderate snow at times.

[Winterdog]

Snowing harder here. 32F

[Requiem]

nothing to do with you personally, I don’t know you other than what you post. What you are posting lately isn’t great, so I’m calling you on it.

 

Fair enough. I'll do my best not to be such a downer.

[Timmy]

There's close to zero chance he sees less than 3-4" these next few days.

id put my money over 5”! That’s why I’m calling him on his ish.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Down to 37 at BLI

[Requiem]

Not sure, it showed less earlier and I was seeing moderate snow at times.

 

Don't know much about the Aberdeen/GH area but I can't imagine it's dry enough just to evaporate all that moisture over there.

[wxmet]

00z NAM in 2.5 hours:

 

[kokaneekidz]

[Winterdog]

Fraser outflow still sitting around -19mb. 

 

Really would like to start seeing some progress of the north wind slowly making headway down the Sound over the next few hours.

 

Otherwise, that CZ will stay right where it is.

It looks to me like it's slowly receding to the north.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Wouldn't surprise me at all to see some thundersnow embedded in the CZ right now around Everett.

If we can get that arctic front pushing down soon it will work out real well. There is way more precip to work with than I was expecting and more coming in. Looks like the angle is turning down on the south end of Olympics.

[MikeInEverett]

It looks to me like it's slowly receding to the north.

Yup, stopped snowing here for now. Looks like it’s trying to fill back in though.

[GHweatherChris]

If we can get that arctic front pushing down soon it will work out real well. There is way more precip to work with than I was expecting and more coming in. Looks like the angle is turning down on the south end of Olympics.

I am waving at the precip as it goes by here lol.

[BLI snowman]

id put my money over 5”! That’s why I’m calling him on his ish.

 

You never know. Could be the rare event around here where the hilltops just see some light graupel with 517 thickness, frequent showers, and -9c 850mb temps.......