Tom 16887 Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 As we just had the unofficial kick off to Summer this past weekend, met Summer officially begins in less than a week as June is knocking on our doorstep. I'm pretty certain its going to get hot and humid for a lot of you as we open the door to a new month and a "well timed" heat wave looks to build across the Plains states and lobes of this heat will push east into the MW/GL's. I'm sure many of you are already in Summer mode and I think based on recent trends in the models this month should end up warmer and remain active. Who's ready for some summer heat??? Trends in the CFSv2 are warmer... 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MIKEKC 418 Posted May 26, 2020 Report Share Posted May 26, 2020 KC did finally get some rain to help get things watered. We certainly have had some bad luck in April and May. I scored 1.35 inches of rain in the last 24 hours. The grass loves it. We actually had yards turning brown in areas of KC north with mid to upper 80’s on Saturday and Sunday. Rained just in time. Hopefully we can get a few more rounds this week before heat shows back up that Tom is mentioning. Before the potential warm-up, Friday through Sunday look beautiful here in KC, cool mornings in the 50’s and highs in the 70’s. Looks like KC will finish meteorological spring with below average temps and below average moisture. (Unless we get 2+ inches more this week) 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16887 Posted May 27, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 27, 2020 @BAMWx is on board with what I had envisioned as the seasons first "Ring of Fire" pattern. The Euro has been advertising some intense CAPE values across the central ag belt states later next week. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted May 27, 2020 Report Share Posted May 27, 2020 @BAMWx is on board with what I had envisioned as the seasons first "Ring of Fire" pattern. The Euro has been advertising some intense CAPE values across the central ag belt states later next week.Bring on the storms! Will be interesting to see how this pans out. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16887 Posted May 27, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 27, 2020 Bring on the storms! Will be interesting to see how this pans out.June 2nd is my target period for your backyard to be in line to get some big time storms. The Upper MW near the Dakotas will start a day earlier and shift south the following day. That'll be the seasons highest potential up that way and in your neck of the woods. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 4600 Posted May 27, 2020 Report Share Posted May 27, 2020 As we head into June, I don't think we have had a single widespread thunderstorm (MCS) event across my area. June is typically our big month, so I hope it doesn't disappoint. 1 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted May 28, 2020 Report Share Posted May 28, 2020 June will enter in SEMI on a very cool note. Temps Monday morning will be in the nippy 40s (low 40s that is w even a couple of upper 30s in spots). Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
snowstorm83 2042 Posted May 28, 2020 Report Share Posted May 28, 2020 Looks like GFS has joined the cranking the heat and humidity by Tuesday. We're about to hop straight into summer. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" (so far) Average: 25.9" Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16887 Posted May 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 28, 2020 Well, looks like the N Atlantic blocking pattern will negate any real sustained warmth and humidity if you live closer to the GL's next week. Last nights Euro showing a wave of storms Wed/Thu across the eastern MW states and GL's as the first wave of the "Ring of Fire" pattern sets up. I'm starting to think the warmest temps will hold across the central Plains and Upper MW but allow a lobe of it to head east for a few days. DP's drop off dramatically later next week across the northern and eastern Sub as a refreshing Canadian airmass takes place. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16887 Posted May 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 28, 2020 The JMA weeklies pretty much showcase the center of the June heat across the SW/Rockies/Plains while storm clusters form on the periphery of this ridge. Temps overall are much AN for those in NE and near normal across the eastern Sub. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16887 Posted May 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 28, 2020 As we head into June, I don't think we have had a single widespread thunderstorm (MCS) event across my area. June is typically our big month, so I hope it doesn't disappoint.While a MCS might not be in play, early indication off the Euro is that the middle of next week would be the best chances of the season for your area to get hit with strong storms. The Euro is showing some very high levels of CAPE and the way this season has started off, I'm sure we'll see some intense storm clusters Wed/Thu. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16887 Posted May 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 29, 2020 Yikes, the last couple runs off the Euro suggest a major heat wave to inundate the entire Sub Forum later next week all the way from the GOM to the Canadian border! By next Friday, the Plains could be flirting with the Century mark as the seasons 1st 100F temps are in the cards. Very high humidity is possible with DP's in the low/mid 70's across the MW/GL's/OHV starting late next week and continuing into the following week. Looks like this heat wave may have some legs. Gear up for some real Summer time HEAT! The signal for multiple storm clusters/MCS's mid next week are increasing as we get closer in time. The seasons 1st "Ring of Fire" pattern should spell some trouble for our members across the central Sub. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted May 29, 2020 Report Share Posted May 29, 2020 Yeah DMX goin widespread 90s Tuesday and multiple MCS chances next week. Could be a lot of moisture to work with dew points up there. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1778 Posted May 29, 2020 Report Share Posted May 29, 2020 I’m hoping for a strong enough storm from the west so it rains onto the plants that are sheltered beneath the eaves on the west side of the house as need to water them occasionally. Looks a little damp under there now though. Just haven’t had much of any west winds during rain events for a long time! Quote ‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3” Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16887 Posted May 30, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 30, 2020 Blazing Heat is still looking likely for parts of NE/KS and the central/southern Plains later next week as lower DP's (relative to the others on here) are blown in from the deserts of the SW into the Great Plains. I wouldn't be surprised if @CentralNeb records his first 90F & 100F temp of the season all in one week. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
CentralNebWeather 4717 Posted May 30, 2020 Report Share Posted May 30, 2020 Blazing Heat is still looking likely for parts of NE/KS and the central/southern Plains later next week as lower DP's (relative to the others on here) are blown in from the deserts of the SW into the Great Plains. I wouldn't be surprised if @CentralNeb records his first 90F & 100F temp of the season all in one week.This typically is when we get a heat wave it seems like in the last 10 years or so. With all the rain we’ve had recently, I’m fearful that dew points will be higher than typical. We usually have higher dews when irrigation gets going and the crops release more moisture. Won’t have that worry yet. Not a fan of extreme heat. We have had a wonderful spring and have loved having windows open. The A/C bill will start going up. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted May 31, 2020 Report Share Posted May 31, 2020 Nice warm-up coming next week for SEMI, but nothing extraordinary. Back to near normal or maybe slightly above or below. Lots of sunshine though, but some t'stms are in the forecast for Tuesday. Lets see if they will be severe. Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted June 1, 2020 Report Share Posted June 1, 2020 Locals with 80s (90s Tuesday) and storm chances for the next 7 days. Typical summer pattern. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16887 Posted June 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted June 1, 2020 Fires are burning early this season and there were some that were sparked by lighting last weekend. https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/local/arizona-wildfires/2020/05/31/ocotillo-fire-evacuated-residents-cave-creek/5303809002/ I don't recall ever seeing 30 days straight of a spotless Sun...Zzzzzz Spotless DaysCurrent Stretch: 30 days2020 total: 121 days (79%)2019 total: 281 days (77%) 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Stormhunter87 969 Posted June 1, 2020 Report Share Posted June 1, 2020 Going to get toasty here. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
westMJim 1863 Posted June 1, 2020 Report Share Posted June 1, 2020 Welcome to the first day of meteorological summer. Looking back at May 2020. At Grand Rapids. The mean temperature was 57.7° that is a departure of -2.0. The high for the month was 90 on the 26th and the low for the month was 26 on the 9th There was a reported 4.22” of precipitation. There was a trace of snow fall and for the season the total will be 53.5” There was a reported total of 5 thunderstorms (I can not recall that many) There we 3 records reported at Grand Rapids. 1. A new record high of 90 was recorded on May 26th 2. A new record rain fall was recorded of 1.62” was recorded on May 18th and 3 a new snow fall record of a trace was recorded on May 8th 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
CentralNebWeather 4717 Posted June 1, 2020 Report Share Posted June 1, 2020 High of 93 forecasted today. South winds of 30 mph and dews in the mid 50’s so it won’t be bad. We got back to Weight workouts this morning with our high school football team. Beautiful weather. Kids were pumped to see each other and interact. Most hadn’t all been together since March 16th. Nebraska allows groups of 25 to work out together, though our head coach is having no more than 12 in a group for now per coach and we have multiple places to workout in stations. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted June 1, 2020 Report Share Posted June 1, 2020 Sunny skies w temps at 63F Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted June 1, 2020 Report Share Posted June 1, 2020 Hazardous Weather OutlookHazardous Weather OutlookNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI453 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-020900-Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-453 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan..DAY ONE...Today and TonightThere is a chance of thunderstorms tonight, mainly after midnight andnorth of I-69. The storms are not expected to reach severe limits butcould produce pea size hail and heavy downpours while moving west toeast at 40 mph. Localized rainfall total could approach 1 inch bysunrise Tuesday..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through SundayThere is another chance of thunderstorms late Tuesday night intoWednesday morning as a slow moving cold front approaches from thewest. There is a marginal risk for these storms to reach severelimits with damaging wind the primary hazard. Hail near 1 inch andlocally heavy rainfall are also possible.The Tues-nite storms have a better chance for my area, so we will see how that pans out. Once this CF rolls on through, drier, cooler air arrives. Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted June 1, 2020 Report Share Posted June 1, 2020 Nice cooldown coming by the upcoming weekend as temps drop into the 50s at night w a few 40s in the colder areas and highs mainly remaining in the 70s w low humidity. Great weather for June. Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1778 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 NW. Iowa is in the middle 90°s while I'm only at 78°. Even nw. Minnesota is warmer. Quote ‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3” Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 4600 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 The euro has consistently shown tonight's storms skipping over my area, but some models do show us getting something. Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
westMJim 1863 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 It looks like we are in store for some nice warm summer weather. I love it when there are high temperatures in the upper 70's to low 80's and lows in the upper 50's to low 60's. If I have my way that is the kind of weather we would have that all year long. But at this point I would settle for that all summer long. At this time it is sunny and 78 here at my house. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 4028 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Already 85F at 10am, heading up to 92 today. Dew point is only 60F but that should be increasing soon. Enhanced risk of severe storms just south of here. I'm hoping we get some rain. My lawn is looking real good, finally. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Just hit 90. And it feels all of it. 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Nice line of storms firing in MN back into SD. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 4600 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 We wanted some heat and we got it. It is currently 91/68 in Cedar Rapids. My body is not used to it. This it the first time Cedar Rapids has hit 90º since last July. 5 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
bud2380 3520 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 99 degrees currently in Clarion, IA. Tiffin is reporting 93 with a dew point of 69, heat index of 98.4 3 Quote Season Snowfall: 39.5" Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 4028 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 90F here but the dew point has fallen from 62 to 52 as the storms approach. The storms in that sagging line to the north are producing an incredible amount of lightning. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
bud2380 3520 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 The GFS is 15 degrees colder than the Euro for highs on Saturday in Iowa. UK is in the Euro camp. GFS has temps around 70 where the Euro has mid 80s. Quote Season Snowfall: 39.5" Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 4028 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Temp went from 90 to 71 in a matter of 20 minutes with the first storm cell. Good stuff. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 100° actual temp in Sheldon.....far NW Iowa! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snowstorm83 2042 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Upper 90s are pretty common this afternoon in Northeast NE. 99 in Wayne and 98 in Sioux City Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" (so far) Average: 25.9" Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 4028 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Tornado otg south of Mankato, MN. Good looking cell on radar. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16887 Posted June 2, 2020 Author Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 94F at ORD...setting a record for the date... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5220 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Hot hot hot. 90.9*F. I'm not liking the severe weather setup this far North tomorrow. PWAT looks good enough to maybe fire general storms up here, but I'm not liking the CAPE/DP setup for up here. I think the target zone for a good setup will be along a Lima-Canton-Youngstown line and then South of there. Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5220 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Sounding for Lima tomorrow. Way better setup for damaging wind. Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Storms are really getting going across S MN. I can actually see the high clouds blowing off the storms way off to my north. I love the anticipation. Sitting out on the deck with a cold one and chops on the grill. 93 degrees 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Sparky 1778 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 I could also see an overshooting top an hour ago in the FAR, FAR northern horizon. Not much to see from this far away though. Quote ‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3” Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 A hot, sunny day and a tad humid w temps being well into the 80s. Looks like some wild weather moving in here by daybreak. Currently, this batch of severe storms situated north of Minneapolis and making a bee-line towards MBY. My area could be increased in the "Enhanced Risk" category. So far, in the "Slight Risk." More severe weather on Friday as another CF rolls on through. Sunny, cooler, drier air follows afterwards w 70s for highs and 40s and 50s for low temps. Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 427 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-030830- Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer- St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- 427 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Thunderstorms are likely tonight in the primary time window of midnight to 6 AM. There is a slight risk outlook for storms to maintain severe levels while moving through southeast Michigan. The primary hazard is damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater. Large hail near 1 inch is also possible along with heavy rainfall that could lead to localized flooding. Storms are projected to move west to east at 45 mph. Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted June 2, 2020 Report Share Posted June 2, 2020 Those must be some tall storm tops cuz the mid and high clouds are getting here but the actual storms are up by the border yet. And its actually looking a bit dark off that way. Pretty amazing. Love these kind of evenings. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted June 3, 2020 Report Share Posted June 3, 2020 It's one of those things where it looks like the storm is almost here but its actually not. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted June 3, 2020 Report Share Posted June 3, 2020 A darkening sky to the NW and slowly moving in is one of my favorite things to watch during anytime of the year. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
St Paul Storm 4028 Posted June 3, 2020 Report Share Posted June 3, 2020 Picked up 1.3” of rain in about 20 minutes. Minor flooding on my property due to a clogged storm drain. Whoever answers the phone tomorrow morning at the city office is going to wish they hadn’t answered. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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