July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions

[Phil]

The asian tiger mosquito population is out of control this year. Walk outside and within 30 seconds there are dozens (if not hundreds) of them swarming you.

Looked around and found one source. I’ve unknowingly been breeding them just 20ft from the back door.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

54 minutes ago, Phil said:

The asian tiger mosquito population is out of control this year. Walk outside and within 30 seconds there are dozens (if not hundreds) of them swarming you.

Looked around and found one source. I’ve unknowingly been breeding them just 20ft from the back door.  

Fucking awful animals.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I guess malaria is back in the US this year. Don't know the details, but I heard something about Florida and maybe Texas? 

[YahRaEl]

Lows this morning.

KTCM (McChord) 49°

Eastside Tacoma Neighborhood 54°

Spanaway 51°

Lakewood Central 55°

Downtown Tacoma-Hilltop 55°

Tacoma Wapato Park 52°

Point Defiance Park 54°

South Hill Mall/Bradley Lake 53°

[the_convergence_zone]

Now that is a heat wave!

[TT-SEA]

Will be another underachieving high temp day... always happens when the marine layer is steadily moving in after dawn.   It usually takes until afternoon to clear on these types of days.   ECMWF started picking up on this yesterday.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I’ll post it later, there was a pod of 30 or more dolphins as we were approaching port in Long Beach

[ShawniganLake]

53 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Will be another underachieving high temp day... always happens when the marine layer is steadily moving in after dawn.   It usually takes until afternoon to clear on these types of days.   ECMWF started picking up on this yesterday.

Even some patchy marine clouds making an appearance here this morning. 
 

64F

[SilverFallsAndrew]

58 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I’ll post it later, there was a pod of 30 or more dolphins as we were approaching port in Long Beach

I saw the vid on FB, good stuff. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Glad we get a brief break before torching resumes. 

The burn ban has also been lifted for the weekend!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Dang. I think the file is too big. 110mb

[Phil]

Fernandina Beach, FL observed an 88°F dewpoint on 7/6. That’s almost instant heat stroke if you’re out in the sun.

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Dang. I think the file is too big. 110mb

That’s 760mb lower than the lowest pressure ever recorded.

[Omegaraptor]

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

Fernandina Beach, FL observed an 88°F dewpoint on 7/6. That’s almost instant heat stroke if you’re out in the sun.

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KFHB.html

Here's the obs for Fernandina Beach. Dubai tier heat indices.

[Anti Marine Layer]

23 minutes ago, Phil said:

Fernandina Beach, FL observed an 88°F dewpoint on 7/6. That’s almost instant heat stroke if you’re out in the sun.

Then you can walk into the Miami Airport and feel the chill with the AC set to the low-mid 60s. Sweater weather indoors and heat stroke weather outdoors.

[Phil]

50 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KFHB.html

Here's the obs for Fernandina Beach. Dubai tier heat indices.

Easily one of the worst starts to summer on record in FL/GA. Saint Simons (where I’ll be 8/12-8/26) has seen heat indices over 120°F already. My Dad in Sarasota has decided to join me in Seattle later this month, lol.

Which is why I desperately crave a troughy pattern when I’m up there 7/25-29. It’s the only reprieve I’ll get until late September (at earliest).

[Phil]

The off-equator NPAC (5-20N) is still experiencing anomalous trades, consistent with the -PMM/-PDO.

Very unlikely to be a PDO/PMM flip associated with this El Niño, which puts it in the camp with pre-1976 El Niños that occurred in conjunction with the “cold phase” NPAC.

Last time this happened was a half-century ago. The 2009/10 event tried, but it had a very different evolution (modoki type) and AMM/AMO signature was dormant.

Also that westerly burst in the NATL and IO is the canonical expression in +AMM regimes. If the EPS is correct, off-equator NATL SSTs will spike again later this month as wind-evaporative cooling effect is attenuated.

Normally you’d expect this in the NPAC at the same latitudes, but alas, not this year.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Going to take a while again for PDX to clear out today.

[Deweydog]

Outstanding car washing whether this morning.

[Omegaraptor]

 

North of Siskiyou Pass, summer perfection. South of Siskiyou Pass, hope and pray for no dry lightning or fire starts.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Just now, Omegaraptor said:

 

North of Siskiyou Pass, summer perfection. South of Siskiyou Pass, hope and pray for no dry lightning or fire starts.

Maybe California will have an above average month. 

[Eugene-5SW]

Euro going with triple digits for the Willamette Valley next weekend.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

Euro going with triple digits for the Willamette Valley next weekend.

Lock it in. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

 

North of Siskiyou Pass, summer perfection. South of Siskiyou Pass, hope and pray for no dry lightning or fire starts.

With all that hot weather right there it's only a matter of time.

[ShawniganLake]

Those patchy marine clouds burned off in about 1/2hr this morning.  Blue skies and 72F now.  
 

models seem to be converging on another modest heat wave around mid month. 

[Cold Snap]

High of only 64 so far after a low of 53. If temps keep underperforming maybe I can pull off a sub-70 high on Monday.

[Front Ranger]

14 hours ago, Phil said:

The asian tiger mosquito population is out of control this year. Walk outside and within 30 seconds there are dozens (if not hundreds) of them swarming you.

Looked around and found one source. I’ve unknowingly been breeding them just 20ft from the back door.  

I hear malaria is making a comeback!

EDIT: I see Andrew also heard this!

[TT-SEA]

Sun is out here now... jumped up to 70 in North Bend.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Fun fact: 

ALL-STAR George Kirby is tied for the MLB lead in quality starts. 

[YahRaEl]

Up 71° here at Eastside Tacoma Neighborhood and 69° at Spanaway 

[Tyler Mode]

66 and it appears clouds will clear soon.

[Deweydog]

70 burger for PDX!

[Phil]

It’s puffy cloud season.

[T-Town]

A cool 67 here. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Lots of underperformance today.

[TT-SEA]

A lovely 75 here with a dewpoint of 60.

[Front Ranger]

I see the Euro eventually gets to a brief heat spike days 7-9, but some below normal days before that.

[Meatyorologist]

Today was an old-skool style marine layer overperformance. Lasted well into the day and early afternoon. Looks like KSEA will top out a degree or two cooler than yesterday.

[HuskyMaestro]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

It’s puffy cloud season.

That is one massive bong rip

[HuskyMaestro]

Read about how at NOAA and NWS actively look for computer science majors who know the heavy conceptual programming for their weather models, and that's where I could come in. Always saw weather as a fun hobby but now I'm heavily considering to actually enter the field after numerous failed attempts with applying for traditional tech jobs. The industry is pretty miserable. But combining weather and CS, it's something that would at least get me out of bed every morning lol.