August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Cloud]

54 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

0.00 here so far... and the 06Z ECMWF does not show much during the day.  

King Euro had been showing generous amounts last 2 systems days out to only pull the rug at prime time. Yooo.. what gives?! I thought that's the Goofus' job! 

[TacomaWx]

8 minutes ago, Cloud said:

King Euro had been showing generous amounts last 2 systems days out to only pull the rug at prime time. Yooo.. what gives?! I thought that's the Goofus' job! 

Must’ve just underdone the shadowing in the central sound. There’s still more rain dropping in from the NW also…but for some areas this looks like a miss. More chances are coming up and Oregon is getting a good rain event this morning, they needed it more than us really. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

27 minutes ago, SunAndSnow said:

Rafted the McKenzie last year. Pretty but cold.

We did the McKenzie from

Hayden Bridge to Armitage Park on the 6th. My wife used to do that stretch a lot when she was young so it’s a favorite of hers. Nice on a hot day. There was some weird stuff going on at the nude beach that day…

[The Cats Meow]

Nice little rain shower here in the Puyallup Valley and 60.

Feels good outside.

[AlTahoe]

Roofs were covered in frost this morning. Winter is almost here! 

[RentonHill]

10 hours ago, RentonHill said:

August doesn’t deserve another post. See y’all in Seppy 

Ever forget there are 31 days in august? Because I did 

[Cloud]

There's a real possibly that SEA could end the month with a sub-70 average. Currently at 70.1 and +2.6. Too lazy to do the numbers crunch to see what SEA needs for today for a sub-70 average. 

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, Cloud said:

There's a real possibly that SEA could end the month with a sub-70 average. Currently at 70.1 and +2.6. Too lazy to do the numbers crunch to see what SEA needs for today for a sub-70 average. 

Guessing it ends up at 69.9

Last August was 70.0 so just about exactly the same.

I think 69.9 would be the 6th warmest month ever at SEA.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

0.15" overnight. Currently 58.8˚F.

[TT-SEA]

Assuming the low of 60 so far stands... it would need to get to 74 at SEA today for a monthly average of 70.00 and that won't happen. 

A high of 68 results in a monthly average of 69.90

 

 

[Cloud]

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Guessing it ends up at 69.9

Last August was 70.0 so just about exactly the same.

I think 69.9 would be the 6th warmest month ever at SEA.

Welp.. I went ahead and nerd out with it.. Assuming the low to 60 this morning remains intact, a 70 or lower will get SEA a sub-70 average for the month. The only unknown variable we have is the high for today. 

 

 

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Welp.. I went ahead and nerd out with it.. Assuming the low to 60 this morning remains intact, a 70 or lower will get SEA a sub-70 average for the month. The only unknown variable we have is the high for today. 

 

 

The low is still a variable... it could have officially been 58 or 59.    We won't know until 11.   

My calculation showed we need 74 today to get to exactly 70.00... assuming the low of 60 is where it ends up officially.   I might need to go check my math again.   Maybe your calculation would round up 69.95 to 70.0?   I went to 2 decimal places.  

[TT-SEA]

Either way... it seems pretty likely that this month ends up being the 6th warmest ever at SEA.  

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

The low is still a variable... it could have officially been 58 or 59.    We won't know until 11.   

My calculation showed we need 74 today to get to exactly 70.00... assuming the low of 60 is where it ends up officially.   I might need to go check my math again.   

I played around with it a little bit more. Indeed 74 is the maximum temperature, which we won't hit. And yes, the overnight low is still the unknown variable as the 60 isn't official. 

Regardless, it'll end up at 69.9.  That 74 aint happening today. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Cloud said:

I played around with it a little bit more. Indeed 74 is the maximum temperature, which we won't hit. And yes, the overnight low is still the unknown variable as the 60 isn't official. 

Regardless, it'll end up at 69.9.  That 74 aint happening today. 

68 or 69 seems like highest potential today.    

[MossMan]

.03” on the day so far, .74” for the month. 
58 degrees and cloudy. 

[TT-SEA]

Also... between hours its currently 59 at SEA.    So the low will probably end up lower than 60 which means 75 is needed and pretty much impossible.

[YahRaEl]

60° here at Eastside Tacoma this morning dry cloudy now but did get some rain earlier picked up about 0.06" 

[Cloud]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Either way... it seems pretty likely that this month ends up being the 6th warmest ever at SEA.  

The month certainly got saved at the end because it was pretty much on pace to be top 2 or top 3 warmest record. Last 4 days seems to offset the 4 straight days of 90s.. (somewhat).  Still a top 10 August. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Salem goes into today with a monthly mean of 73.4 a mere 0.1 above July 2021. Obviously will end up below that. August 2017 had a mean of 73.0 and that is where the drama is. 

[TacomaWx]

Feels like fall out there this morning gloomy and damp. Rain has taken a break but looks like it’ll be raining again here soon. 

[Jbolin]

Just wanted to say, take care you weirdos.

It's been a fun journey, see ya around.

Peace out. 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

24 minutes ago, Jbolin said:

Just wanted to say, take care you weirdos.

It's been a fun journey, see ya around.

Peace out. 

 

Peace  

[TT-SEA]

45 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Feels like fall out there this morning gloomy and damp. Rain has taken a break but looks like it’ll be raining again here soon. 

Not only it is dry here... its also quite sunny now.   Pretty common with systems that go south due to offshore flow aloft.

[MossMan]

41 minutes ago, Jbolin said:

Just wanted to say, take care you weirdos.

It's been a fun journey, see ya around.

Peace out. 

 

You have quit the forum about 3 times now…You will be back. 

[MossMan]

Not quite November-like today, but definitely getting a late September early October vibe through. 

[TT-SEA]

Definitely a different type of day in the EPSL... live view out the front window.

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Definitely a different type of day in the EPSL... live view out the front window.

Looks like a decent band of rain is going to move through for areas south of I-90. Then hopefully some better rain coverage on Sunday. 

[Deweydog]

[Jbolin]

12 minutes ago, MossMan said:

You have quit the forum about 3 times now…You will be back. 

No, I won't. 

A major life change has occurred, thus my leaving for good. 

[BLI snowman]

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Definitely a different type of day in the EPSL... live view out the front window.

Preview of the coming Nino season with a lot of the blessings aimed southward.

[TT-SEA]

Comparison of 12Z GFS and 12Z GEM for the Sunday system.    The 12Z GEM pretty much washes out that system while the GFS shows a small ULL moving through late Sunday.  

[TT-SEA]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

Preview of the coming Nino season with a lot of the blessings aimed southward.

Yeah... if systems are focused anywhere south of here along the West Coast then we usually end up being one of the driest spots with offshore flow.

[Cold Snap]

Picked up only 0.03” of rain from this system so far.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Comparison of 12Z GFS and 12Z GEM for the Sunday system.    The 12Z GEM pretty much washes out that system while the GFS shows a small ULL moving through late Sunday.  

Looks about the same here. Rain this morning shuts off pretty quick south of Halsey, but it ll get here. 

[Deweydog]

26 minutes ago, Jbolin said:

No, I won't. 

A major life change has occurred, thus my leaving for good. 

You’re back!!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Starting to rain in Junction City!

[LowerGarfield]

8 hours ago, Cold Snap said:

 

Here ya go!

@MWGmight want to start building an ark if she hasn't already. There was another poster from that area too. Great also for Roseburg and Eugene if it verifies so I don't mind sitting it out if they get rain 

[LowerGarfield]

3 hours ago, RentonHill said:

Ever forget there are 31 days in august? Because I did 

So did Cliff.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

0.16” at SLE already. @BLI snowman I don’t know why I don’t remember the august 2015 rain event, even my brother brought it up this morning.