September 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Hoosier]

18 hours ago, westMJim said:

For anyone who wants to take a road trip here is the latest on this falls color in Michigan.

https://www.woodtv.com/weather/weather-news/peak-colors-are-starting-to-emerge-in-parts-of-the-upper-peninsula/

Note at the end of the article it is mentioned that this weeks warmth could slow the process. I for one do not buy into that. I feel that sunny days and clear nights have more to do with the color change and also being dry may also help3  

There are several factors that affect the timing and vibrancy of fall colors.  Temps are one of them.  How much that this upcomimg warmth will slow the process remains to be seen.  May still notice the colors progressing, but would it be at a faster rate if it weren't going to be warm?

[Hoosier]

6 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

There is not much hope for us.  Next week's cold front should move through quickly, with just a little bit of rain if we're lucky.  After that it's bone dry nw flow again.  It has been a broken record all year and nothing is going to change.  I'm not optimistic about winter, either... probably warm and dry while storms track well south and east.

I'd root for the Nino to get as strong as possible.  Would increase the chances of warmth but it would also increase the chances of some moisture laden systems in the region.

[CentralNebWeather]

[Clinton]

2 hours ago, Black Hole said:

A couple of things I'm watching in the next 10 days. Of course in the shorter term looks like a good chance of rain/thunder in about 5-6 days along with the much cooler air pouring in behind this system. Probably going to see a few days in the 70s with sunny skies, looking forward to it!

Also, there is some possibility that any tropical system could get pulled into the southern states as the GFS shows in the 7-10 day period, should such a system develop given the flow pattern. 

I would love to see that system get pulled in off the pacific. Those type if systems have been big long lasting rain producers for me in the past.  The Euro also shows a system in a similar area at the end of the run.

[OKwx2k4]

11 hours ago, Tom said:

Has anyone on here been to Hot Springs, AR?  @OKwx2k4its kinda by your area and was wondering if you had ever visited this place.  Looks really nice and naturesque.

Believe it or not, I have never actually been there, but I do know the picturesque part to be truth. This whole area and northeast of me is really beautiful. A lot of the Ozarks are. I don't think you'd be disappointed. 

[Bryan1117]

3 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Dry, windy, and hot… 95 degrees on September 29th - the joke is definitely on us. Thankfully the pattern changes next week… can’t freaking wait!

[hawkstwelve]

Had an outside chance at some thunderstorms today but they stayed to our WNW and we ended up with nothing, as per usual. September should end up with only 20% of normal rainfall (-2.05). We are also running +5.2 on average temp with tomorrow doing absolutely nothing to help that figure be any lower.

Ultimately warm and dry, just like most recent months. Hope October can finally flip the script.

[Clinton]

Not a good sign for temperatures when it's 71 in the morning and the average high is 74.

The good news is next weekend looks to be about 25 degrees cooler and lows will dip into the 40s for the first time this season.  I think most of us are ready for this.

 

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 70/54. There was no rain fall the sun was out just 24% of the possible  time. There were 3 HDD’s For today the average H/L is 68/48 the record high of 85 was set in 1922 and 1971 the record low of 30 was set in 1993. The record rain fall amount of 3.10″ fell in 1981. Last year the H/L was 66/40. At the current time it is clear and 50 here in MBY

My wife and I are going down to Detroit today and see the next to last game that Miguel Cabrea will play in. It has been great to see such a great player play.  This is the forecast for today in Detroit.

[westMJim]

2 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Not a good sign for temperatures when it's 71 in the morning and the average high is 74.

Think of this as one great way to end the summer season. 

[Clinton]

27 minutes ago, westMJim said:

Think of this as one great way to end the summer season. 

I am certainly ready for this summer to end.  Hopefully this will be the last time I see these temps again until May.

[CentralNebWeather]

Absolutely beautiful morning. Got the relatives yard mowed, still green and lush. Leaves blowing around. By next weekend, NWS Hastings morning disco is hinting at some potential frost. Hopefully after Monday, this hot weather is gone until May. 

[chescowxman]

We had some light rain overnight with 0.04" in the bucket. Cloudy today but the sun returns tomorrow with a nice run of rare above normal days for most of the work week. A turn to chillier weather looks to be likely by next weekend with even some 30's and some lower elevation frost possible in about 2 weeks time.

Records for today: High 88 (1986) / 33 (1992) / Rain 2.99" (2010)

[james1976]

Thunderstorms yesterday morning, evening and overnight dropped a total of 2.85". Add that to the 2.99" we had from the cutoff system last weekend so thats 5.84" in the last week. Put a nice dent into the drought up here.

[Hawkeye]

1 hour ago, james1976 said:

Thunderstorms yesterday morning, evening and overnight dropped a total of 2.85". Add that to the 2.99" we had from the cutoff system last weekend so thats 5.84" in the last week. Put a nice dent into the drought up here.

Meanwhile, it's f'ing death valley down here.  I just spent two hours watering my entire garden, in the midday heat at the end of September.  I don't know if we will get another inch, total, the rest of 2023.  The Euro has a dry frontal passage next week, as always, followed by a bone dry fall pattern.

[james1976]

1 hour ago, Hawkeye said:

Meanwhile, it's f'ing death valley down here.  I just spent two hours watering my entire garden, in the midday heat at the end of September.  I don't know if we will get another inch, total, the rest of 2023.  The Euro has a dry frontal passage next week, as always, followed by a bone dry fall pattern.

Yeah I think I've mowed the lawn 4 times down at the IA home. Reminds me of 2012.

[Hawkeye]

Cedar Rapids has risen to 93º, setting a new record (old was 91º).

[OKwx2k4]

At 86/62 and 4.87 inches of rain, (today's data won't change much) September was very warm and humid as the DP averaged 60. 

The closing days' highs, at or above 85 degrees since the 23rd, have really boosted an already warm opening week to start things off. 

[OttumwaSnomow]

5 hours ago, james1976 said:

Yeah I think I've mowed the lawn 4 times down at the IA home. Reminds me of 2012.

I feel your pain fellas. This is unprecedented  here. 2012 dried  up in june and it rained good in mid sept. In 2017 here rain totally  cut off mid may until mid sept  when we had a 8 inch rain in one night!  BUT 2023??  ALMOST NO RAIN APRIL 20 THRU MAY!!!! OTHER THAN A DECENT  POPUP OR TWO JUNE 19 THRU JULY AND A FEW WET DAYS TO START  AUG.. ITS A RELENTLESS  DROUGHT!! in past 49 days i have 1.6"  basically  one decent rain since aug 12th!  Only rained over 1" twice in 2023 and once was feb! My pond soon will be dry and fish are dying.. 200 to 300$ water bils monthly. Thankfully  we have lake red rock!!! Otherwise  Ottumwa  would  die of thirst. And now 5 days over 90! 96 for hours downtown today!

[Madtown]

was supposed to be 75 to 80 almost all this past week...Instead we had 62 and showers/mist everyday. Saying maybe 80 and sun the next 3 days now before the bottom falls out on Thurs.

[Andie]

High of 96 today.  
Low 72. 
The real treat is our humidity. 43%.  
It’s feeling like we’ve finally made a turn away from the hell of this summer.  
I can feel my attitude picking up.  Thank goodness for cooler temps!!

[Andie]

55 minutes ago, OttumwaSnomow said:

I feel your pain fellas. This is unprecedented  here. 2012 dried  up in june and it rained good in mid sept. In 2017 here rain totally  cut off mid may until mid sept  when we had a 8 inch rain in one night!  BUT 2023??  ALMOST NO RAIN APRIL 20 THRU MAY!!!! OTHER THAN A DECENT  POPUP OR TWO JUNE 19 THRU JULY AND A FEW WET DAYS TO START  AUG.. ITS A RELENTLESS  DROUGHT!! in past 49 days i have 1.6"  basically  one decent rain since aug 12th!  Only rained over 1" twice in 2023 and once was feb! My pond soon will be dry and fish are dying.. 200 to 300$ water bils monthly. Thankfully  we have lake red rock!!! Otherwise  Ottumwa  would  die of thirst. And now 5 days over 90! 96 for hours downtown today!

Fall is at our doorstep.  
You and I can toast “adios!”  to this dreadful summer!!

[Clinton]

Another hot one today.  On the bright side Mizzou is 5-0.

NWSKansasCity

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Well, #KC hit 92° F for the high today. That mean's we now have a three way tie for 2nd place, 2023, 2002, and 1952 for today; only degree short of 1st place, 93° F, set in 1938.

[Andie]

Here it comes! 
 

 

[chescowxman]

Well we finished September at near to below normal temperatures at all Chester County locations with the exception of the Glenmoore coop station - which recorded one of their warmest Septembers on record.

Of the 5 COOP locations only Glenmoore finished well above normal with an average temperature of 68.4 which is +1.6 degrees above the 30 year average for the month. This was also the 19th warmest September at Glenmoore across 67 years of data. Both KPTW Pottstown 65.5 degrees finished at -0.8 below normal and Phoenixville 66.6 degrees (0.7) finished with below normal temperatures good for 65th chilliest at Phoenixville with 131 years of data and 10th chilliest at KPTW with 25 years of records. Both KMQS Coatesville 67.1 +0.3 and here in East Nantmeal 65.4 +0.02 finished with slightly above normal temps with KMQS recording their 8th warmest September with 16 years of records and EN recording their 62nd warmest September with 130 years of records.

The week ahead looks great with well above temps....we could in fact reach 80 degrees across some lower spots of the county for the last time this year on Wednesday. Much cooler weather returns by next weekend.

[Clinton]

Good riddance to September!

Kansas City September Climate Rundown...the avg temp was 71.7 which was 3.3 degrees above normal and the 37th warmest on the 136-year period of record. The avg high was 84.5 which was 5.3 above normal and the 12th warmest on record.

Precipitation for the month was 1.01" which was 3.03" below normal and the 10th driest on the 136-year record.

[jaster220]

On 9/26/2023 at 7:00 AM, Tom said:

I saw this on the news this morning...has anyone else seen a robust acorn crop this year?  This article doesn't necessarily suggest anything of note for predicting the winter season...

https://libanswers.nybg.org/faq/222824#:~:text=The idea goes like this,seeds in a mast year.

On 9/26/2023 at 7:22 AM, westMJim said:

On my daily walks I have seem acorns but I don't know if I would call it robust. I will say that for just the end of September there are a lot of leaves starting to turn but that may have more to do with how dry it was this past summer.

On 9/26/2023 at 9:07 AM, Clinton said:

Yes my trees are loaded!

Riding in the Hudson Mills metro park a week ago the acorns OTG were very noticeable, and you could hear more falling. The sun shining this morning on the maple that has turned already here outside my window was brilliant. There are some areas/trees very advanced for Sept. And it was a wet summer around here, unless our spring dryness somehow contributed? Sugar maples are ablaze as well as "burning bushes". Definitely the feel of early autumn sans the current warm spell.