MossMan Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Kayla said: Hey soooo....what'd I miss?!? You’re alive!!! Everyone missing has finally come back home to the forum!! Welcome back, this winter is going to be awesome now! 2006/07 incoming! Edited November 12, 2023 by MossMan 3 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Kayla said: Hey soooo....what'd I miss?!? Welcome back, we all missed you! You missed our late October Arctic Blast! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Welcome back!! Are you back in Montana? Thanks! And I am! Nice little break in the Canyon but back in Helicopter EMS. I saw that you did some cyber stalking 2 1 6 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 Just now, Kayla said: Thanks! And I am! Nice little break in the Canyon but back in Helicopter EMS. I saw that you did some cyber stalking When someone completely disappears with no warning we get worried! 4 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 Just now, Kayla said: Thanks! And I am! Nice little break in the Canyon but back in Helicopter EMS. I saw that you did some cyber stalking We were worried and were about to send out a search party until Tim did some investigating. 2 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 11 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said: GFS long range is fun. Should we talk about the ice storm for the Gorge on Thanksgiving(and after)? 925s shows definite low level cold to support this. Rod Hill was on to something after all when he said freezing rain chances were elevated this winter! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 My last flight(s) in the "ditch" before heading back up to the Great White North! 21 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 9 minutes ago, Kayla said: Hey soooo....what'd I miss?!? Heyyyyyyyyy! There she is! Now we can see those super Christmassy snowy scenes again this Winter! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: When someone completely disappears with no warning we get worried! It's nice to take a break from everything weather at times! 7 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Heyyyyyyyyy! There she is! Now we can see those super Christmassy snowy scenes again this Winter! You know it! Decorating today before the snow arrives! 6 2 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 12z GFS Day 9'er, not there yet as expected. GEFS running.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Kayla said: You know it! Decorating today before the snow arrives! I wanna help! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 45 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Really wet first half of November but might quiet down for the second half. Both the 00Z EPS and 06Z GFS were quite dry for the next couple weeks. I don't know if "really wet" will be particularly accurate. Definitely really wet for the first week, but the first half of the month will end up being pretty close to average in most places. SEA will end up around (or slightly above) 5" of precip for the first half which will put it in the top 10 of years, and that's about the most extreme example. OLM will barely be in the top 20 of wettest first halves of November also with just over 5" and BLI will be somewhere in the top 15 with about 3.5". Many of the other stations will end up less abnormal than that and quite a few of the mountain stations will end up drier than average. With little rain in this next couple of days, this map will continue to get less abnormal and even now it only shows slightly above average conditions throughout much of the Puget Sound and Cascades area of Western WA. And considering how dry it has been for the past year, two weeks of slightly above average precipitation is not that impressive (obviously it's been more above normal the further south you go towards PDX). 3 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 Crappy 12z runs. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 Just now, Skagit Weather said: I don't know if "really wet" will be particularly accurate. Definitely really wet for the first week, but the first half of the month will end up being pretty close to average in most places. SEA will end up around (or slightly above) 5" of precip for the first half which will put it in the top 10 of years, and that's about the most extreme example. OLM will barely be in the top 20 of wettest first halves of November also with just over 5" and BLI will be somewhere in the top 15 with about 3.5". Many of the other stations will end up less abnormal than that and quite a few of the mountain stations will end up drier than average. With little rain in this next couple of days, this map will continue to get less abnormal and even now it only shows slightly above average conditions throughout much of the Puget Sound and Cascades area of Western WA. And considering how dry it has been for the past year, two weeks of slightly above average precipitation is not that impressive (obviously it's been more above normal the further south you go towards PDX). Yeah... I was thinking about SEA which is running over 200% of normal for the month so far and western OR which has been pretty wet. Definitely different in the rain shadowed areas to the north. November probably won't end up being really wet anywhere. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 12z GFS Day 9'er, not there yet as expected. GEFS running.... The trend does seem to be that the first shot slides east but the NPAC high repositions into the sweet spot by day 10-11. Then the arctic air hammer drops Thanksgiving weekend. 6 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 Get out your extrapolating tools!! 7 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 The first 10 days of November were significantly wetter here last year. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 19 minutes ago, Kayla said: My last flight(s) in the "ditch" before heading back up to the Great White North! I might have seen you in mid April on Bright Angel rescuing a hiker at 3 mile resthouse! 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I might have seen you in mid April on Bright Angel rescuing a hiker at 3 mile resthouse! Wasn't me! I was based in Vegas so we operated solely in the West Rim area of the canyon. 4 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 33 minutes ago, Kayla said: Hey soooo....what'd I miss?!? The forum's most envied poster is back! Can't wait for -20F blizzard vids 2 4 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 7 hours ago, The Winter Warlock said: Happy birthday! Todays also my B-day. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: The forum's most envied poster is back! Can't wait for -20F blizzard vids I just missed the typical October blast of snow/cold here and even though this winter looks like a dud overall I'm sure they'll still be a few more fun surprises! Nice to be back! 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 39 minutes ago, Kayla said: Hey soooo....what'd I miss?!? KNIGHTS WIN THE CUP!!! And Jesse officially declared the forum unreadable 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Randyc321 said: Happy birthday! Todays also my B-day. Happy Birthday! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 42 minutes ago, Kayla said: Hey soooo....what'd I miss?!? Welcome back! 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 5 minutes ago, Kayla said: Wasn't me! I was based in Vegas so we operated solely in the West Rim area of the canyon. Oh nice. Amazing region! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 44 minutes ago, Kayla said: Hey soooo....what'd I miss?!? Kayla’s back! 2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 12z GEFS Day 7 (4-run trend) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 11 minutes ago, Deweydog said: KNIGHTS WIN THE CUP!!! And Jesse officially declared the forum unreadable Meh, tell me something I don't know! 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Winter Warlock Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Kayla said: Eh, tell me something I don't know! Feet pics became popular again a few weeks ago. 1 5 1 1 Quote Located near Covington / Black Diamond, WA. Elevation ~550 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 1 minute ago, The Winter Warlock said: Feet pics became popular again a few weeks ago. Oh, now that's fun! 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Kayla said: Eh, tell me something I don't know! Our foundation is in and framing starts this week! Hopefully we’ll get to test the lumber’s cold weather tolerance in the next 8-14 days! It’s not coming. 2 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 52 minutes ago, Kayla said: Hey soooo....what'd I miss?!? Hey stranger! Welcome back!!!!!!! 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Our foundation is in and framing starts this week! Hopefully we’ll get to test the lumber’s cold weather tolerance in the next 8-14 days! It’s not coming. That's exciting! Where did you end up buying land? 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Hey stranger! Welcome back!!!!!!! Thank you, great to be back!! 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Kayla said: That's exciting! Where did you end up buying land? As the crow flies we’re only about three miles from our old residence. The whole thing is pretty sordid and kind of the result of what’s been a pretty weird and crappy year. It’s been a 2023 thing on the forum. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 27 minutes ago, Kayla said: I just missed the typical October blast of snow/cold here and even though this winter looks like a dud overall I'm sure they'll still be a few more fun surprises! Nice to be back! Even the dud years are insane up there in Bozeman. 4 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: As the crow flies we’re only about three miles from our old residence. The whole thing is pretty sordid and kind of the result of what’s been a pretty weird and crappy year. It’s been a 2023 thing on the forum. Sorry to hear that. Building a home can be very exciting times so hopefully you guys can find some joy in it while not being too overwhelmed! 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 12, 2023 Report Share Posted November 12, 2023 Operational GFS and CMC to some extent look nothing like their ensemble means. Alaska blocking much stronger on GEFS/GEPS. Let’s see what Dr. Euro has to say. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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