Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Canadian ensembles looking pretty decent at just Day 9'er 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 28, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: HOT DOG 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: That's pretty awesome. Objectively speaking. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Real potential coming up. Good run to run improvement on the EPS. 10 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said: Here is my contribution to the political discussion. What's next? A probe into why Trump isn't the same shade of orange that he used to be? The fact he's gone from Tangerine to a mix of Squash/Apricot? Choose below the shade(s) of orange you feel best represents Mr. Trump now! Dark Orange, Orange-Red, Vivid Orange, Tomato, Metallic Orange, Pumpkin, Smashed Pumpkin, Yellow-Orange, Carrot Orange, International Orange, Spanish Orange, Tangerine, Princeton Orange, Deep Saffron, Alloy Orange, Halloween Orange, Tangelo, Gamboge, Vermilion, Fulvous, Pastel Orange, Flame, Beer Orange, Royal Orange, Coral, Papaya Whip, Rajah, Burnt Umber, Bittersweet, Persimmon, Bumblebee Orange. 6z GFS in 3 hours 24 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 I already told my stepdad’s cat. 1 1 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 First EPS run in this sequence to have some members go below 20 for SEA. 9 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 28, 2023 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 TOUCHDOWN!!! 3 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 6 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: TOUCHDOWN!!! I posted the snow map earlier. You get nailed on this run. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Models are looking great tonight. Hopefully this trend can continue! 8 Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Yikes. models now go to mid Jan and we are still waiting on our first storm of the winter. So much for enhanced Stj, El Nino etc. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 5 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Yikes. models now go to mid Jan and we are still waiting on our first storm of the winter. So much for enhanced Stj, El Nino etc. I heard last year was a gift at least. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 35 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I heard last year was a gift at least. Yep. Just funny that last year the seasonal models all had us dry and warm and it was wet and the coldest since 1978. This year's seasonal models all had us wet and it is now historically dry. I think the seasonal model forecast are essentially useless. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 I can see the DCA sensor from my window. It’s literally surrounded by dark asphalt. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Yep. Just funny that last year the seasonal models all had us dry and warm and it was wet and the coldest since 1978. This year's seasonal models all had us wet and it is now historically dry. I think the seasonal model forecast are essentially useless. Shh you’re not supposed to say that. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 20 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Yep. Just funny that last year the seasonal models all had us dry and warm and it was wet and the coldest since 1978. This year's seasonal models all had us wet and it is now historically dry. I think the seasonal model forecast are essentially useless. Bet you get a March miracle down there. Alas, it still means you spend most of the winter without much snow. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 hour ago, AlTahoe said: Yikes. models now go to mid Jan and we are still waiting on our first storm of the winter. So much for enhanced Stj, El Nino etc. Interesting that the CPC has a different outlook, at least for week 2. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Interesting that the CPC has a different outlook, at least for week 2. CPC is behind Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Interesting that the CPC has a different outlook, at least for week 2. Worrisome that the PNW is no longer safely in the orange. Things seem to be slipping. May have to settle for posting Kuchera snowfall maps instead of torchy max temperature maps. Guess I will just have to cope. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Another mild morning. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 57 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Yep. Just funny that last year the seasonal models all had us dry and warm and it was wet and the coldest since 1978. This year's seasonal models all had us wet and it is now historically dry. I think the seasonal model forecast are essentially useless. Phil has also been banging the wet CA drum this year. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Another mild morning. Have you sobered up? 1 5 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 11 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Have you sobered up? I think he was off his meds last night 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 55 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Bet you get a March miracle down there. Alas, it still means you spend most of the winter without much snow. Yeah if the heart of winter is shutdown then we usually get something in spring. 2017-2018 is a good example 39" Oct - 1st week of March and then 102" in the final 3 weeks of March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 22 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Phil has also been banging the wet CA drum this year. And the southwest in general. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 First troughs miss and hit CA but cold definitely arrives. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 29 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Phil has also been banging the wet CA drum this year. I think it’s just a slow start. There’ll be some STJ with the +EPO/+NPO pattern coming up 2nd/3rd week of January (brief throwback to last January?) but I’ve been wrong before. I am starting to get excited about nor’easter prospects out here starting in late January. Pieces are starting to line up nicely w/ subseasonal forcings constructively interfering w/ LP/ENSO, similarly to 1983 in some respects. If all goes well, kudos to you on the bullish forecast. I didn’t have the guts to go there. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Phil said: I think it’s just a slow start. There’ll be some STJ with the +EPO/+NPO pattern coming up 2nd/3rd week of January (brief throwback to last January?) but I’ve been wrong before. I am starting to get excited about nor’easter prospects out here starting in late January. Pieces are starting to line up nicely, similarly to 1983 in some respects. If all goes well, kudos to you on the bullish forecast. I didn’t have the guts to do it. Actually I’m looking at the PHIL index and it says no nor’easters ever again. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Not a bad GFS run. Might be the best we can do. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Phoenix might get snow before we do Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 6 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Actually I’m looking at the PHIL index and it says no nor’easters ever again. At least I got my SLUSHY INCH this month. By last winter’s standards that’s a huge W. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 10 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: First troughs miss and hit CA but cold definitely arrives. Nice donut hole of near normal temperature in the southern Willamette Valley. Someone's going to be pleased about that. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 12 minutes ago, Phil said: I think it’s just a slow start. There’ll be some STJ with the +EPO/+NPO pattern coming up 2nd/3rd week of January (brief throwback to last January?) but I’ve been wrong before. I am starting to get excited about nor’easter prospects out here starting in late January. Pieces are starting to line up nicely w/ subseasonal forcings constructively interfering w/ LP/ENSO, similarly to 1983 in some respects. If all goes well, kudos to you on the bullish forecast. I didn’t have the guts to go there. We need somebody to score this winter. The winter picture posting has been seriously lacking. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 This turbulence is rough. Worst I’ve experienced since the descent into DCA during in an arctic cold front passage in 2014. 1 1 2 5 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Sure Gfs 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 Ugh this is gonna undo the pain relief from the corticosteroid injection. I feel like a rag doll. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2023 Report Share Posted December 28, 2023 11 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: We need somebody to score this winter. The winter picture posting has been seriously lacking. I think you and Flatiron will be the first to score. Actually I think he’s already scored but will prob score again. Then maybe me? Unless the +EPO stretch is marginally cold enough for someone like @Brian_in_Leavenworth to score a slush bomb beforehand. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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