Black Hole Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 13 minutes ago, Tom said: Here it comes...snow flakes will be flying just about Lunchtime and it appears to rip hard till late evening across the White Mountains... I stayed at Pinetop Lakeside for a summer getaway once. Great area. I almost moved to Flagstaff as well. I could do without the traffic but they sure can get some big snows. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 Just now, Black Hole said: I stayed at Pinetop Lakeside for a summer getaway once. Great area. I almost moved to Flagstaff as well. I could do without the traffic but they sure can get some big snows. Yes! I stayed at Pinetop a couple years back and its gorgeous. I love the tall Pines and it looks almost like Aspen, CO. I'm going to take a look and see what area to drive up tomorrow morning. It's either going to be Pinetop or Greer. Greer is a little higher in elevation and are expecting more snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 NAM and 3KM look juiced. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 3KM only to 60 hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 NAM not backing down yet and has the low even further NW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 12z NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 Nam may be on to something. System is mostly onshore. Well see about other guidance. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 The NAM takes the SLP through Dubuque. I don’t see that happening given all other guidance. But what fun would this be if the models all agreed? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KTPmidMO Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 NAM was absolutely pathetic and ugly here for me in Central MO, to be honest I hope that's not what other models start trending to. I would have been pretty much in the bullseye here all week to only get the rug pulled out from under me the day or 2 before. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 Here’s the 6z Euro at HR 90 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 Same story each run. Icon is once again shifting NW earlier on with that first wave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 11 minutes ago, Money said: Here’s the 6z Euro at HR 90 Here's the EURO yday from 12Z at HR 108 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 ICON HR 69 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, Grizzcoat said: ICON HR 69 Looks a lot like the NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 12z ICON is showing almost 11 inches here at 10:1 ratios which would be over a foot with our usual 13:1 ratio. That's gotta be overkill. If it's not, there's going to be a lot of surprised people around here come Monday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 I've been watching this storm with model tracks over me for 2 weeks...but the last minute trend north will leave me with nothing but flurries...if that! Weird to look at how cold and strong the storm is and with a pretty good track and still have nothing to show for it. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 GFs also coming in NW early on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 GFS at 66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 Definitely NW compared to 6z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 Wow-is that trowal at HR 78 on GFS retrograding or what? - 12yday compared to most recent - keep it up!!! 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 12z GFS is about as good as it can get for mby. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 12z GFS 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 I'd say 3-6" is looking increasingly likely here. I'll take it. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 12z CMC took a jump north, now more in line with the GFS and Euro on track. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 12z GFS complete run 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KTPmidMO Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, Clinton said: 12z GFS complete run The way models are trending im about to be missed to the north with the main snow field.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, KTPmidMO said: The way models are trending im about to be missed to the north with the main snow field.. Its getting a little close but I think you'll be ok. Fingers crossed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 GFS has joined the Euro and NAM to a degree I. Coming further north. Totals are increasing significantly for my area. Up to 6” or so now even on the GFS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 12z GFS showing 9 inches here now. 12z CMC coming in with a little jog north with the heaviest totals up here, which moves me from 3 on the 00z to 6 on the 12z. Nice trends in crunch time for here which is good because I have a feeling the later week systems will stay further south. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 GEFS with a jog NW in C/E IA-- Low now further N in MO. 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 That band that develops west of the TC just falls apart before getting here. It looks like the omadome here on the snowfall maps lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 Like a two county jog N and W in Central and E. IA on GEFS-- if the trend continues== oh my!! 2 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 NAM for the win 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 UKIE with big shift N on snow shield in MO.. STL goes from 1' to 1". 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 23 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: Like a two county jog N and W in Central and E. IA on GEFS-- if the trend continues== oh my!! Wow. What a change here in the IC/CR area. 8-10”. I know it’s 10:1 but still huge jump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 It's a little early and I reserve the right to change, but with the thermal and track issues, I have a hard time seeing more than 3-4" total here. It's possible that a majority of that comes in the initial WAA thump. Hope things can trend better. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Wow. What a change here in the IC/CR area. 8-10”. I know it’s 10:1 but still huge jump. Trend is our friend right now: nothing to really stop this from cutting further north 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 14 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: UKIE with big shift N on snow shield in MO.. The UK, like all other models, has shifted the initial surge of snow north into Iowa. However, it still totally misses me with the main wave. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 6 Report Share Posted January 6 7 minutes ago, Money said: Trend is our friend right now: nothing to really stop this from cutting further north The significant weaker/east trend that we have seen so many systems pull off in recent years has apparently decided to not show up this time. Or at least not so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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